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-   -   Official 2015 Ice-Out Thread (https://www.winnipesaukee.com/forums/showthread.php?t=18907)

CoastalWx 04-07-2015 06:34 PM

No way by April 15th. Enjoy the snow tomorrow night too. My guess is close to last year.

Mink Islander 04-08-2015 07:54 AM

This is nuts
 
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My ip camera caught this group of geniuses passing in front of my place on Mink Island this morning. Yeah yeah, plenty of ice... Well not so much over by Mark Island in the channel they're heading towards. And Cattle Landing is quite sketchy at this point too. And no snow to lube the track or cool the engine. What could possibly go wrong?

Nice view of Mount Washington this morning, however....

Pine Island Guy 04-08-2015 08:59 AM

melt melt melt...
 
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Doesn't look like we can get out to the island this weekend... but with predicted temps over 60 degrees and sunny all next week... maybe next weekend!

today's shot looking down the Pine/Bear channel -PIG

Mr Cooke's Crew 04-09-2015 06:09 AM

Ice Out
 
My guess is April 29.

Winnisquamguy 04-10-2015 11:21 AM

Ice out May 1 @ 10:40 am

Merrymeeting 04-10-2015 03:09 PM

In the FWIW dept. If anyone is interested in following ice-out on a lake other than Winni, you can follow the Merrymeeting one here, www.mmlake.org

At the very bottom of the page are links to two prior years for comparison.

AmericanBoatClub 04-10-2015 04:29 PM

Rain
 
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Rain and warm temps coming are going to do some real damage as you all know. Mix in a little wind.

It is sorta creepy and beautiful out this afternoon

Paugus bay girl 04-11-2015 01:10 AM

I highly doubt it will happen in May, this week is going to be almost in the 60's, with a couple days close to 70. A lot can happen with just a week of warm temps. Also, the long range looks like the warm temps will stay.Lets hope!

GodSmile 04-11-2015 03:53 AM

April 24
 
My original guess, and I think with the forecast that's still a good one. Lake seems to be rising nicely as well over the last week or so
.:)

Merrymeeting 04-11-2015 11:14 AM

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Took some pictures while walking the Cotton Valley Rail Trail from Wolfeboro this morning.

The 1st is Back Bay, along the trail toward the end. You can see open water at the top where the Smith River enters the Bay. The river is flowing strongly and the Bay is open on both ends.

The 2nd photo shows Crescent Lake, between Back Bay and Lake Wentworth, beginning to open up. The 3rd photo is also on Crescent, capturing four of everyone's favorite birds. I didn't take pictures, but when we drove by Wentworth, I didn't see any openings.

4th - Back Bay heading to bridge out to Wolfeboro Bay.
5th - other side of bridge
6th - More of the favorite birds off the Wolfeboro docks.
7th - looking down the bay toward Goodhue Hawkins Marina

Chaos 04-11-2015 12:42 PM

Black cat
 
Shows the 2 Ft temp higher than the 10 Ft for the first time that I've seen. The weather is working its magic! The pond I use as a 2 week ice out measuring stick should ice out today. April 25 looks good still :)

Just Sold 04-11-2015 01:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chaos (Post 242942)
Shows the 2 Ft temp higher than the 10 Ft for the first time that I've seen. The weather is working its magic! The pond I use as a 2 week ice out measuring stick should ice out today. April 25 looks good still :)

Which that pond be Long Pond?

Chaos 04-11-2015 03:58 PM

Pond Name
 
Just Sold,
Nameless man made pond on 111 in Atkinson.

rrr 04-11-2015 09:03 PM

rail trail
 
Merrymeeting - is the rail trail snow free for walking?

Slickcraft 04-12-2015 10:11 AM

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Belknap Point today, ice is getting darker. We'll see some real changes over the next few days.

Merrymeeting 04-12-2015 12:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rrr (Post 242949)
Merrymeeting - is the rail trail snow free for walking?

Not quite. It is mostly clear, but the places that get little to no sun (eg: the stretch from the WWII museum to Crescent Lake) still have a small layer of ice/snow. But I wouldn't be surprised if it's clear by tomorrow.

PaugusBayFireFighter 04-12-2015 05:37 PM

Lake temp 38/39 degrees. 70's tomorrow and rain Tuesday. All it takes is a week of favorable weather, and this is the week.

pjard 04-12-2015 06:39 PM

Very dark ice between Belknap Point and Welch...very dark! Looks like it could open up anytime.

Lakegeezer 04-12-2015 07:02 PM

MODIS April 12
 
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Looks like a tilted line of melt on Winnipesaukee. From MODIS Government web site

Pine Island Guy 04-13-2015 10:49 AM

melt melt melt
 
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here's the image from this morning... good steady progress showing on the melt-o-meter!!

We will be heading out to the island this weekend for sure, maybe earlier :)

According to our totally unscientific historical models... ice-out is declared 4 days and 7 hours after the first time we can get to our dock on Pine Island... hahahaha

-PIG

Accipiter290 04-13-2015 11:41 AM

Time Lapse view on the Echo Shores cam for today shows the ice darkening up pretty significantly in a matter of just a few hours! Changes are going to start happening very quickly

dippasan 04-13-2015 12:52 PM

I declare ice out when I bring my first bag of "ice out" to the island and pour a cocktail. Can't wait!!!!

Island Girl 04-13-2015 01:12 PM

72 degrees outside
 
It looks like a lovely warm day at the lake. The lake temp is up to 38 degrees. This is the fun part... it is melting and every hour shows progress. :D

Pine Island Guy 04-13-2015 01:18 PM

perfecto!!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by dippasan (Post 242999)
I declare ice out when I bring my first bag of "ice out" to the island and pour a cocktail. Can't wait!!!!

That is an excellent definition!! I'm guessing there will be many island residents that will jump on that as their new mantra :)

Cocktails ready to go, just waiting "ice out" -PIG

Ms Molly McKever 04-13-2015 03:32 PM

Ice out
 
Mr Web Master, Can I change my ice out guess I have may 8. I think we will be swiming by then. Ha Ha

Just Sold 04-13-2015 03:43 PM

Just saw a Boston Whaler running around in the open water at the Wolfeboro Corinthian Yacht Club. Also saw a golden jump in from the dock after the Whaler went off camera heading toward where the boat went. There was a boy and a woman on the dock with it before it jumped in. Sorry I did not have enough time to grab the photo.

Chaos 04-13-2015 03:53 PM

Weirs Cam
 
Time lapse. If you look at it you can actually see the ice melt and the surface change, and it's only several hours of coverage.

Just Sold 04-13-2015 03:55 PM

Just saw a Boston Whaler running around in the open water at the Wolfeboro Corinthian Yacht Club. Also saw a golden jump in from the dock after the Whaler went off camera heading toward where the boat went. There was a boy and a woman on the dock with it before it jumped in. Sorry I did not have enough time to grab the photo.

Rob M 04-14-2015 06:57 AM

Massabesic Ice Out
 
Yesterday/Last night the ice disappeared on Lake Massabesic in Manchester, this usually occurs one week before the big Lake opens up. The lake was covered yesterday morning with very little open water. With these warm temps it would not surprise me to see the big Lake broken up and navigable by this weekend.

radar4401 04-14-2015 07:27 AM

Not just yet
 
While it has been warm down in Manchester area, we have had cool nights before this week. I doubt the big lake will be navigable this weekend. Some of the coves will take more time to open up.

WINNIPESAUKEEBOB 04-14-2015 09:54 AM

Been fIshin the lake 50 years
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by island girl (Post 241862)
this is the official 2015 ice-out thread. If you reply to this thread all of the information about this year's ice-out will be easily accessible to our forum friends.

Today is the first day of spring (6:45 pm edt)

post your observations, concerns, pictures and whatever else comes to mind re: ice-out. Did i say pictures? We love your pictures.

The ice-out page is up at http://www.rattlesnakecam.com/iceout.htm. There you will find all of the images to watch the ice melt as well as links to special ice out features such as saunder's bay daily picture with information about previous year's ice out. (i will post link when it is available. This link if for 2014 and previous years)

ice-out has occurred in recent years when the lake temperature is from 39-41 degrees as reported by the winnipesaukee dataphoneat the lakeport dam. Today the temp is 33 degrees. Previous years include 2014-35 degrees, 2013-37 degrees and in 2012-41 degrees! We have a lot of warming up to do.

Many anticipate a late ice-out this year, so we need some rain dancers... And some warming up to prove them wrong. :coolsm:

Let's get on with our favorite activity ... Ice-out!

my condo is at rocky ledge (weirs beach) facing meridith..ice is getting very dark, and moving away from irwins pier and most of the shoreline. I'm guessing another week, and we'll see some major open water.

Island Girl 04-14-2015 11:08 AM

Any news on Lily Pond?
 
Please post if you have news on ice-out on Lily Pond.

Chaos 04-14-2015 12:30 PM

We have Movement!
 
The Echo Shores web cam now has a large ice sheet that broke off and is moving around. Also looks like the Alton Bay runway may go at any time. :)

nicelydunn 04-14-2015 12:31 PM

Florida to NH
 
Almost time to leave my winter paradise and return to my summer paradise.

PaugusBayFireFighter 04-14-2015 12:41 PM

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Paugus Bay is ready to go. I would be very surprised if there was any ice left on the Bay by weeks end. The ice is black/green. Yesterday and today have steady winds from the south and west. This cam shot is looking south towards Lakeport.
Water temp 39 @1.5 feet. Water level rising fast, typical of previous years.

Just Sold 04-14-2015 12:41 PM

Melvin Village Marina web cam shows some ice breaking up and moving around.
http://www.melvinvillagemarina.com/webcam.html

Rattlesnake Gal 04-14-2015 01:02 PM

Ice!
 
Silver Lake in Hollis is almost always one week ahead of Lake Winnipesaukee. Ice-out happened overnight or early this morning. One more week!!! Winnpiesaukee Data Phone is still reporting 38° at the dam. Black Cat Island is recording 41.8° at 2 feet and 40.2° At 10 feet. :D

MDoug 04-14-2015 01:28 PM

Cattle Landing
 
How's the ice at Cattle? Anyone out that way?

Winni_Bay 04-14-2015 01:30 PM

ice out paugusbay
 
Hello paugusbayfirefighter
if possible when paugusbay is clear of ice post it here
what happened to our docs last year was terrible
hope we get through this year without damage
Im located at shipahoy condos 301 weirs blvd
if its ice free for saturday i will head up and get the boat lift in

Thank You
Dave

Tired of Waiting 04-14-2015 01:48 PM

Welcome
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by WINNIPESAUKEEBOB (Post 243029)
my condo is at rocky ledge (weirs beach) facing meridith..ice is getting very dark, and moving away from irwins pier and most of the shoreline. I'm guessing another week, and we'll see some major open water.

Welcome to the forum.

Now go get a VERY BIG shaker of salt cause you'll be tossing some over your shoulder around here!:D Cause of folks like me.


Lots of good folks with lots of help and info.


ToW


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