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-   -   Ice Update...or lack thereof (https://www.winnipesaukee.com/forums/showthread.php?t=20144)

brk-lnt 01-15-2016 08:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JasonG (Post 255624)
Calling it now. Ice Out Feb 2, 2016. 2PM. :)

Funny, I was just looking at the long-term forecast and state of the lake right now and was going to say Feb 2 is probably about the time we'll have end to end ice thick enough to be safe.

Irish Choppers 01-15-2016 10:04 AM

Meredith Bay Wide Open
 
2 Attachment(s)
As of 9:00 am Meredith bay is still wide open. Pond hockey in 20 days?

AC2717 01-15-2016 10:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Irish Choppers (Post 255809)
As of 9:00 am Meredith bay is still wide open. Pond hockey in 20 days?

if it forms today and tomorrow, there is still a chance

joann721 01-15-2016 10:47 AM

ice in ?
 
Has there ever been a winter where the lake hasn't reached "ICE IN"... just curious..

MAXUM 01-15-2016 10:59 AM

Since there is no official criteria for "ICE IN" hard to answer that question, however there have been years where the lake did not completely freeze and there were areas of open water that survived the winter.

brk-lnt 01-15-2016 11:24 AM

1 Attachment(s)
As of this morning at 10:00, Paugus Bay is wide open. Shot taken from South Down marina.

Phantom 01-15-2016 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by joann721 (Post 255811)
Has there ever been a winter where the lake hasn't reached "ICE IN"... just curious..

Interesting question that we had as well .... but given that the various bays no doubt freeze up every year there is no correlation to Official "Ice Out" and whether the Lake ever completely froze (safely) over or not .... other than personal memories.




.

rsmlp 01-15-2016 01:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by joann721 (Post 255811)
Has there ever been a winter where the lake hasn't reached "ICE IN"... just curious..

Not sure if it was official but in '98 or '99 (I forget which) the broads did NOT freeze over.

VitaBene 01-15-2016 03:26 PM

Given the 2 week outlook weather-wise, it looks like a lot of ice will be made!

PaugusBayFireFighter 01-15-2016 04:07 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by brk-lnt (Post 255814)
As of this morning at 10:00, Paugus Bay is wide open. Shot taken from South Down marina.

You can see my house from there!

I still have ice building slowly from my shore line and the coves. Along Weirs Blvd the ice is out to ~75 yards. but the rest is open water.
This was earlier, looking south towards Lakeport.

brk-lnt 01-15-2016 05:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PaugusBayFireFighter (Post 255826)
You can see my house from there!

I still have ice building slowly from my shore line and the coves. Along Weirs Blvd the ice is out to ~75 yards. but the rest is open water.
This was earlier, looking south towards Lakeport.

I thought I saw you outside when I was taking that image ;)

KPW 01-15-2016 08:00 PM

1st Bob house on 19 mile bay
 
There is one bob house on 19 mile bay.

polarisman14 01-17-2016 01:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MAXUM (Post 255813)
Since there is no official criteria for "ICE IN" hard to answer that question, however there have been years where the lake did not completely freeze and there were areas of open water that survived the winter.

Not to start an argument, but I was under the impression that the criteria for ice in was that the Mount was no longer able to make it to its normal ports of call. Not sure if the entire route needs to be frozen or just a good portion of it, but that's my understanding. :)

Ryan 01-19-2016 09:05 AM

Ice Update...or lack thereof
 
http://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/2016...ce802d511b.jpg

No ice on Sunday as far as the drone can see!!!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

codeman671 01-19-2016 11:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by polarisman14 (Post 255871)
Not to start an argument, but I was under the impression that the criteria for ice in was that the Mount was no longer able to make it to its normal ports of call. Not sure if the entire route needs to be frozen or just a good portion of it, but that's my understanding. :)

I believe that ice-in has historically been when the lake is complete frozen over solid enough for it not to blow out the next day (a skim coat can disappear overnight with a few degree temp change or some wind). The definition that you gave is the reverse to ice out (the lake does not have to be completely clear of ice to have ice-out called).

joann721 01-19-2016 03:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Phantom (Post 255817)
Interesting question that we had as well .... but given that the various bays no doubt freeze up every year there is no correlation to Official "Ice Out" and whether the Lake ever completely froze (safely) over or not .... other than personal memories.




.

I am not a winter person - but I don't know what I will do with myself in April if I don't have ice to watch melt. :cool:

8gv 01-19-2016 05:35 PM

With apologies to Rod Stewart...


Tonight's the night

Gonna freeze alright

'Cause it's freezin' up

Ain't nobody gonna stop it now...

GusMan 01-19-2016 08:57 PM

Wow... I'm stunned that last picture was taken today at Winnie given the calm conditions. Here in northern Mass the wind has been howling since that little snowstorm blew through. Right now I'd guess the win is a constant 15-25mph with higher gusts.

Even the little protected ponds around here are having trouble locking up.

Cheers..

Gusman

KPW 01-19-2016 09:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GusMan (Post 255983)
Wow... I'm stunned that last picture was taken today at Winnie given the calm conditions. Here in northern Mass the wind has been howling since that little snowstorm blew through. Right now I'd guess the win is a constant 15-25mph with higher gusts.

Even the little protected ponds around here are having trouble locking up.

Cheers..

Gusman

It was taken on Sunday. It mentions that at the bottom of the picture.

codeman671 01-20-2016 12:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 8gv (Post 255973)
With apologies to Rod Stewart...


Tonight's the night

Gonna freeze alright

'Cause it's freezin' up

Ain't nobody gonna stop it now...

Ohh it stopped....Not seeing anything on the cams.

gokart-mozart 01-20-2016 12:32 PM

Lake Wentworth
 
After skimming over on January 5, a large pool of open water has appeared between the RR causeway and the Sister Islands.

It moves around a bit with the winds, and has shrunk and grown over the past week. This morning, with a typical NW wind howling, it's quite large.

The area between Stamp Act and Heath/Townsend Shores, down to Warren Sands, remains frozen solid.

Kinda weird. Maybe the reptilians have moved their underwater base to Fuller's Deep?

Gatto Nero 01-20-2016 02:24 PM

No ice on the lake but plenty on my dock
 
With the crazy winds and frigid temps the past few days my dock is covered in about a foot of ice due to waves and spray. I posted a few pics

https://www.flickr.com/photos/jpcole...h/24504152275/

Blue Thunder 01-20-2016 03:56 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Winnie is partially obscured by clouds but you can see enough to know that the wind is not our friend for building ice....

BT

VitaBene 01-20-2016 04:39 PM

BT, love those shots!

ishoot308 01-20-2016 05:06 PM

Video Clip
 
Here's a video clip from my web cam taken just a few minutes ago...

https://video.nest.com/clip/b36b2c9a...835bf420e2.mp4

Hard to believe its January 20th and not a speck of ice even around the edges!!:emb::emb:

Dan

donnamatrix 01-20-2016 05:09 PM

No wind-more ice
 
Now that the wind has backed off, and the snowstorm talked about for the upcoming weekend of 1/23 is now going to slide south of NH and out to sea, we should be seeing an intense uptick in ice. The weather is cold, with little cloud cover there is a lot of radiational cooling. The Derby is 24 days from now-plenty of time to make nice, solid ice.

trashman 01-21-2016 11:07 AM

Meredith Bay
 
Anyone know if Meredith Bay is frozen over? There arent any webcams of Meredith Bay, and views of the more open parts dont tell the whole picture. I was really hoping Pond Hockey Tournament would take place on the big lake, but I've just about lost hope. Hopefully things will be ready for Fishing Derby at the very least!!!

rsmlp 01-21-2016 11:26 AM

broads
 
I just don't see low enough temps in the next 10 days to form ice on the broads. December was too warm.

Winnisquamer 01-21-2016 11:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by trashman (Post 256021)
Anyone know if Meredith Bay is frozen over? There arent any webcams of Meredith Bay, and views of the more open parts dont tell the whole picture. I was really hoping Pond Hockey Tournament would take place on the big lake, but I've just about lost hope. Hopefully things will be ready for Fishing Derby at the very least!!!


Its not frozen over.

PaugusBayFireFighter 01-21-2016 02:12 PM

Close...but not yet
 
This morning's sunrise revealed an ice covered Paugus Bay. The winds were calm. As the sun rose, so did the wind. By noon it was back to water. This is a time lapse from just after sunrise to noon.
http://youtu.be/bTlR6-iWYvI

PCTim 01-21-2016 03:30 PM

So, what does everyone think the chances are that the Pond Hockey tourney will actually be played on Meredith Bay this year? Two weeks from today is player check-in. Is it enough time for Mother Nature to do her thing or are we playing on Waukewan this year?

Thanks,
Tim

ishoot308 01-21-2016 03:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PCTim (Post 256039)
So, what does everyone think the chances are that the Pond Hockey tourney will actually be played on Meredith Bay this year? Two weeks from today is player check-in. Is it enough time for Mother Nature to do her thing or are we playing on Waukewan this year?

Thanks,
Tim

Two weeks would be plenty of time normally to make safe ice if Mother Nature cooperated.

While we have a couple cold days coming up, the expected warm up early next week with temps nearing 40 degrees by Wednesday certainly don't and won't help! The extended forecast also calls for another warm up between January 31st and February 3rd with temps again nearing 40 degrees during the day...who knows?... this is the wackiest non-winter I have seen.

My guess is...I just don't know! :confused:

Dan

Bob G 01-21-2016 04:34 PM

I think it would be nearly impossible to have enough ice to have the tournament on Meredith Bay. They require 12" of ice.
My question now is how the lack of ice will affect spring/summer salmon fishing?:

codeman671 01-21-2016 05:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PCTim (Post 256039)
So, what does everyone think the chances are that the Pond Hockey tourney will actually be played on Meredith Bay this year? Two weeks from today is player check-in. Is it enough time for Mother Nature to do her thing or are we playing on Waukewan this year?

Thanks,
Tim

I think if they try it they are being foolish....What does Waukewan look like for ice thickness? I don't thing that I would want to be on any pond right now.

DUSTOFF 01-21-2016 06:09 PM

Winnipesaukee Jan 21
 
3 Attachment(s)
Some shots from today at 4000'.

Apologies for the quality, my phone takes terrible pictures.

mikea 01-21-2016 06:29 PM

Coming your way... maybe!
 
According to the UK BBC... you've got the possibility of some serious weather heading along the Atlantic coast! Maybe even making it's way to the lakes?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-35374741

but then again it could be wrong... Brit weather forecasts are not reknowned for their accuracy!

8gv 01-21-2016 06:34 PM

Hey dustoff,

Is that traffic on your nose or have you been smashing bugs? :D

DUSTOFF 01-21-2016 07:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 8gv (Post 256056)
Hey dustoff,

Is that traffic on your nose or have you been smashing bugs? :D

Something on the inside of my phone's camera lens. Shows up in all my pictures. Nice, huh?

8gv 01-21-2016 07:03 PM

Maybe a foo fighter...

Greene's Basin Girl 01-22-2016 02:19 AM

Driving through Meredith today the bay looked liked it looks in mid-April instead of late January.


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