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-   -   Official 2010 Ice-Out Thread (https://www.winnipesaukee.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9408)

Lakegeezer 03-15-2010 12:46 PM

North-eastern Winny Iceout
 
From as far as I can see into Moultonborough bay and as far north as I can see (up past Arey's/Ambrose cove), there is no ice. A few strands of slush, less than 10 feet wide, are washing up against the shore, but you could easily drive a kayak through them. There may be more ice from Arey's up to Lee's Mills, so my dock won't go in today - but for the moment, we have ice-out!

Rattlesnake Gal 03-15-2010 12:55 PM

WeirsCam Ice
 
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Or lack thereof! This is one crazy and hopefully historic year!

Bear Island South 03-15-2010 01:09 PM

more open water
 
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starting to see a channel of open water on the North side of Bear Is

robmac 03-15-2010 01:17 PM

BI,starting to see alot of water appearing from ice pulling back. Have to call Sheps and get the boat moved closer to the ramp.

Lucky1 03-15-2010 01:45 PM

How do I vote for the ice out day and time? I have no idea how this works but would like to try it. Thanks for any help with a link or??? Love the WF!!! We need BUMPER STICKERS!!!!

Resident 2B 03-15-2010 02:33 PM

Lucky1,

Sorry, but the contest deadline is Feb 28th. The contest is run each year and is open for guesses during February.

Good luck next year!

R2B

Merrymeeting 03-15-2010 04:41 PM

I think it's going quick. No hint of anything left on Wentworth. Channels opening up in many places, and it's looking very dark this afternoon.

hazelnut 03-15-2010 06:25 PM

That would be great! I'd love a super-early ice-out! I'm worried about debris this year though, more than ever. I am wondering how many people got caught with Bob-Houses still stuck on the ice. Be careful out there with any early boating!

nightrider 03-15-2010 07:19 PM

April 1 here we come
 
Looks like an ice-free lake to fish April 1. Riding was horrid this year so hopefully, fishing will be stupendous.

Merrymeeting 03-15-2010 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Merrymeeting (Post 121809)
FWIW, the small lake near my workplace here in central MA should be out within a few days. It's usually 2 weeks ahead of the big lake. But this year, it froze more solid and had more, longer snow cover than the big lake. It's going to be interesting...

This morning on my way to work, the ice on this small lake seemed fairy solid (it's about half the size of Mirror Lake), with only the edges showing.
Tonight on the way home, it was almost fully ice-free, with only a few very small "bergs" that appeared to be sinking and breaking up quickly.

boat_guy64 03-15-2010 07:29 PM

Ice thickness
 
I live on the South side of Meredith Bay. I walked onto the ice on Saturday. The ice was still 10 inches thick. If this ice breaks up too fast we're going to have some large chunks doing a lot of damage to docks. Hopefully, the rain ate it up the past few days and made it a lot thinner and lighter.

Bizer 03-15-2010 07:37 PM

The high temperature is expected to be in the mid 50's for the next five days. Could this be the beginning of the end of ice for the winter?

nj2nh 03-15-2010 08:03 PM

I am still pushing for April 5th. Won with that one a few years back for the old Main Street in Alton. My son's birthday so it has to be a winner!

nj2nh

JB Long Island 03-15-2010 08:18 PM

Ice at Harilla's ?
 
If anyone is passing by Moultonboro or Long Island area in the next few days would love a report on the ice (or hopefully open water) from Harilla's !

Greene's Basin Girl 03-15-2010 11:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JB Long Island (Post 121875)
If anyone is passing by Moultonboro or Long Island area in the next few days would love a report on the ice (or hopefully open water) from Harilla's !

Inner Green's Basin is almost all open water.

lawn psycho 03-15-2010 11:31 PM

On my commericial flight last week we flew right over Winni. It seemed like there was an area opening up between Rattlesnake and the mouth of Alton Bay. I couldn't get my camera out of my bag fast enought to snap a photo.

Lucky1 03-16-2010 07:58 AM

Well next year I hope to enter!!

Slickcraft 03-16-2010 10:43 AM

Off of Belknap Point there is a strip of open water (50 to 100' wide) running from Rock Island southeast past the point and then a very narrow strip running NW out toward Welch. The strip follows the path of this winter's ice ridge. I suspect the narrow strip will widen quite a bit this week subject to wind blown movement of the ice.

The ice is looking black, probable stage 4 below.

Following from http://climate.umn.edu/doc/ice_out/i...escription.htm
Quote
Quote:

"How Lake Ice Melts

A wonderful description of how lake ice melts away appeared on the web blog "Air Mass", hosted by the Star Tribune's Bill McAuliffe. Ed Swain, of the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency describes the process of freezing and thawing lakes.

1. In the late fall, the lake loses heat to the atmosphere, and then on a day or night when the wind is not blowing, ice forms. The ice gets thicker as long as the lake can continue to lose heat.
2. In most Januaries and Februaries, snow both reflects sunlight and insulates the lake. With a thick snow layer, the lake neither gains nor loses heat. The bottom sediment is actually heating the lake water slightly over the winter, from stored summer heat.
3. Around March, as the air warms and the sun gets more intense, the snow melts, allowing light to penetrate the ice. Because the ice acts like the glass in a greenhouse, the water beneath it begins to warm, and the ice begins to melt FROM THE BOTTOM.
4. When the ice thickness erodes to between 4 and 12 inches, it transforms into long vertical crystals called "candles." These conduct light even better, so the ice starts to look black, because it is not reflecting much sunlight.
5. Warming continues because the light energy is being transferred to the water below the ice. Meltwater fills in between the crystals, which begin breaking apart. The surface appears grayish as the ice reflects a bit more light than before.
6. The wind comes up, and breaks the surface apart. The candles will often be blown to one side of the lake, making a tinkling sound as they knock against one another, and piling up on the shore. In hours, a sparkling blue lake, once again!"

JonLevis 03-16-2010 12:58 PM

Manitou is sitting in the water ready to go...new cushions on the sun deck this year...she looks like a new boat! I was up last week and couldn't believe how little ice was left...even saw some shacks getting ready to fall through. See you all soon!

Chaos 03-16-2010 01:48 PM

Moving Sheets of ICE!
 
The Blackcat webcam loop shows large moving sheets of ice that are seperating. :liplick:

meredith weekender 03-16-2010 02:33 PM

With a temp of 59 degrees at 2:00 p.m. and warmer weather forecasted for the rest of the week it certainly won't be to much longer.

Rattlesnake Gal 03-16-2010 04:37 PM

Silver Lake in Hollis
 
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Silver Lake here in Hollis is completely open. It must have happened either yesterday or today. Maybe JRC knows for sure. Since I've been paying attention, Lake Winnipesaukee is a week behind. Hopefully it will be sooner than a week. It would be great to open up camp while both boys are home for spring break.

How is the Lily Pond looking? Not much longer now!:D

BearCam looks much different than yesterday's picture that Bear Island South's posted. (#43)
The BearCam time stamp seems to be a day off and an hour off.

SteveA 03-16-2010 04:42 PM

I have April 15th
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nj2nh (Post 121871)
I am still pushing for April 5th. Won with that one a few years back for the old Main Street in Alton. My son's birthday so it has to be a winner!nj2nh

I figured all the tears from all the wealthy folks here on Winni.com on "Tax Day" would add enough weight to the lake to sink the remaining ice. :rolleye1:

flyguy 03-17-2010 11:03 AM

Sooner than you think!
 
In this image from 3/16, the ice is looking mighty thin! All of Moultonboro bay (top right) is clear of ice, and the rest of the lake is quickly following. Stonedam Island is at lower left, Mount Washington is at top center, and the tip of Mark Island can be seen at far right.
http://www.winnipesaukee.com/photopo...-Pano-1AsW.jpg

Island Girl 03-17-2010 11:08 AM

Tuesday
 
My new unofficial guess is next Tuesday...

Thanks Bill, for the picture!!

IG

tricia1218 03-17-2010 11:21 AM

Any word on Lilly pond? Thanks

Chillin & Grillin 03-17-2010 12:57 PM

Looks like i'm getting the boat ready this weekend, for a splash next weekend! Yeah!:)

LadyJane 03-17-2010 03:16 PM

what a difference a day makes
 
It's interesting to watch the changes in the web cam images over the past several days. The change in the Ossippee Lake image from just this morning to this afternoon is astounding !!!

DRH 03-17-2010 03:29 PM

Lily Pond Today
 
As of 2:30 PM this afternoon, Lily Pond appears to be about 1/3 open water. All the open water doesn't show in the following photo, but you can get an idea of what's happening to the ice there.

http://echoshores.com/ice-out/2010/L...800_031710.jpg

Shedwannabe 03-17-2010 03:33 PM

Pickerel Pond is still COMPLETELY ice-over (well, holes at edges where streams run in...). We haven't even had the puddles that the snowmobilers like riding through, making a big splash and hoping they won't sink.

Still a month away to ice-out here....

Grant 03-17-2010 03:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flyguy (Post 121998)
In this image from 3/16, the ice is looking mighty thin! All of Moultonboro bay (top right) is clear of ice, and the rest of the lake is quickly following. Stonedam Island is at lower left, Mount Washington is at top center, and the tip of Mark Island can be seen at far right.
http://www.winnipesaukee.com/photopo...-Pano-1AsW.jpg

I live for these photos -- especially when they include Tuftonboro (hint-hint). :D

itchin for fishin 03-17-2010 06:15 PM

Crazy but true
 
My pool without exception has "iced out" two weeks before Winni for the past 15 years. Bad news is, it still has a lot of ice, good news is I bet big bucks that it goes ice free this weekend.

Island Girl 03-17-2010 06:42 PM

Ice conditions in 2008
 
I took this picture three days before ice out in 2008... Compare it with Fly Guy's pic above. He shows more ice, but not much more.

Click on the image for a larger picture.


Dhuberty24 03-17-2010 09:45 PM

took a trip to harilla landing today
 
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here is harillas

Dhuberty24 03-17-2010 09:49 PM

more
 
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Here are some pics of the broads taken from Jonathans landing

Dhuberty24 03-17-2010 09:52 PM

more
 
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The first one is the dog at harillas and the second one is the start of the grave yard heading to cow island

Merrymeeting 03-18-2010 07:42 AM

Ice (and runway) now gone from Alton Bay out to the bandstand. Looking very fragile everywhere else.

With temps not going much below 40 at night, and well into the 60's during the day, it won't be long.

Much as I would have liked more snow this year, I'm ready to switch. I just hope we don't have our fun dashed with a cold April! :eek:

wifi 03-18-2010 08:34 AM

Hold your horses
 
Long range forecast (for what its worth), is showing rain on Monday during the day and in the 40's, then snow Monday night in the 20's.

flyguy 03-18-2010 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tricia1218 (Post 122000)
Any word on Lilly pond? Thanks

SURE!
http://www.winnipesaukee.com/photopo...-Pond_3943.jpg

Steveo 03-18-2010 11:04 AM

Not sure where you get your forecast but - yes, rain on Monday but temps in the mid to upper 40's all next week. Of course it doesn't matter since there will be no ice by next Monday anyway.


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