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-   -   Official 2017 Ice Out Thread (https://www.winnipesaukee.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21729)

MikeF-NH 04-10-2017 09:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rsmlp (Post 276901)
Very warm temps this week and wind picks up TH. Ice out 4/13?

I don't know about official ice out by the 13th. While large stretches of the Borads are wide open. Alton Bay is still covered in ice the before the gazebo and that sheet ice has to clear for The Mount to reach AB. Wolfboro also looks locked up as well as the view from Weirs...locking in merideth. I'm sure at least one of those bays will still be locked in...possibly even Center Harbor

codeman671 04-10-2017 09:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeF-NH (Post 276903)
I don't know about official ice out by the 13th. While large stretches of the Borads are wide open. Alton Bay is still covered in ice the before the gazebo and that sheet ice has to clear for The Mount to reach AB. Wolfboro also looks locked up as well as the view from Weirs...locking in merideth. I'm sure at least one of those bays will still be locked in...possibly even Center Harbor

I agree, the 13th is pretty optimistic. Lily Pond is historically a solid indicator, and someone already updated on that situation.

Island Girl 04-10-2017 11:50 AM

Not up yet
 
I keep checking, but it is not up yet.

IG


Quote:

Originally Posted by Chaos (Post 276770)
Hi Island Girl, any idea when the Silver Sands page will be online? It's getting to be that time :)

Thanks,
Mike


MDoug 04-10-2017 01:46 PM

Ice Out Salmon
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mattmass (Post 276896)
Landed a beautiful 22" 4lb. Salmon yesterday just off Welch. Launched from Ellacoya.

What were you using?
Trolling?

Apology for fish thread but I gotta know!

kawishiwi 04-10-2017 04:16 PM

Turnover
 
Water @ 11 ft @ Trexlers/Quayside hit 40 today. Thats gonna start rising through the water column and do serious damage to the ice.





__________________________
Censorship is evil.

Slickcraft 04-10-2017 04:36 PM

Update on Lily Pond at the end of the day it's more than half Open Water.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app

Meredith_Resident 04-10-2017 06:34 PM

Meredith Bay
 
I bet Meredith bay will be clear of ice by the end of this week! It has that dark, granulated appearance today and it'll be in the upper 70s again tomorrow!! :)

CaptT820 04-11-2017 06:31 AM

West Alton Iced Out
 
1 Attachment(s)
Courtesy of www.echoshorescam.com. Happy to see this, since we live on Sleepers.
Attachment 12876

Slickcraft 04-11-2017 11:09 AM

Lily Pond is 80% out will be gone by the end of the day

Sent from my SM-G920V using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app

Lakeboater 04-11-2017 12:22 PM

1 Attachment(s)
I guess you don't have to wait for ice out!

sum-r breeze 04-11-2017 02:32 PM

I'm out
 
My guess was today at 11:00 .......4/11 at 11 Whatever ;0)

MAXUM 04-11-2017 07:43 PM

4 Attachment(s)
Nope sure don't, but you do need to be careful doing this!!!!

Being the only idiot on Bear Island on a beautiful 85 degree day, PRICELESS!

Ice report, what I went through had no structure to it, just ice tubes and maybe 2-3 inches in length. Ice line as I was leaving was as follows, to the north between 3 mile and the beavers then to black cat. All clear to right about six mile blocking access to the LI bridge then from what I could see opens back up 3/4 the way down LI and over towards Welch. Between Pine and shore was clear to where it opens up between bear and shore. What ice is there (what I pushed through) just needs wind to clear it out. Ice has receded about 1/4 the way out from Bear and there are large breaks here and there of open water. About half way between sheps and cattle it opens up again all the way down past cattle and into the open area beyond the narrows there.

It won't be long however some areas do look like there is still even after all this warmth still bright white ice.

Meredith bay looks ready to go at least the first 1/3 of it very dark almost black, the ice does turn to a lighter grey looking down towards weirs.

Water temp on the fish finder was 38 degrees.

WJT2 04-12-2017 09:29 AM

Thanks for the update. Be a good day for a Steelcraft!

Blue Thunder 04-12-2017 11:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MAXUM (Post 276998)
Nope sure don't, but you do need to be careful doing this!!!!

Being the only idiot on Bear Island on a beautiful 85 degree day, PRICELESS!

Ice report, what I went through had no structure to it, just ice tubes and maybe 2-3 inches in length. Ice line as I was leaving was as follows, to the north between 3 mile and the beavers then to black cat. All clear to right about six mile blocking access to the LI bridge then from what I could see opens back up 3/4 the way down LI and over towards Welch. Between Pine and shore was clear to where it opens up between bear and shore. What ice is there (what I pushed through) just needs wind to clear it out. Ice has receded about 1/4 the way out from Bear and there are large breaks here and there of open water. About half way between sheps and cattle it opens up again all the way down past cattle and into the open area beyond the narrows there.

It won't be long however some areas do look like there is still even after all this warmth still bright white ice.

Meredith bay looks ready to go at least the first 1/3 of it very dark almost black, the ice does turn to a lighter grey looking down towards weirs.

Water temp on the fish finder was 38 degrees.

A little tidbit...the condition of the ice you describe is called "Candle Ice" as it looks like thousands of little candles vertically stacked together. In a slight breeze they rub together making a tinkling sound. It's cool to actually hear it happen.

BT

MikeF-NH 04-12-2017 11:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MAXUM (Post 276998)
Nope sure don't, but you do need to be careful doing this!!!!

Being the only idiot on Bear Island on a beautiful 85 degree day, PRICELESS!

Ice report, what I went through had no structure to it, just ice tubes and maybe 2-3 inches in length. Ice line as I was leaving was as follows, to the north between 3 mile and the beavers then to black cat. All clear to right about six mile blocking access to the LI bridge then from what I could see opens back up 3/4 the way down LI and over towards Welch. Between Pine and shore was clear to where it opens up between bear and shore. What ice is there (what I pushed through) just needs wind to clear it out. Ice has receded about 1/4 the way out from Bear and there are large breaks here and there of open water. About half way between sheps and cattle it opens up again all the way down past cattle and into the open area beyond the narrows there.

It won't be long however some areas do look like there is still even after all this warmth still bright white ice.

Meredith bay looks ready to go at least the first 1/3 of it very dark almost black, the ice does turn to a lighter grey looking down towards weirs.

Water temp on the fish finder was 38 degrees.

Based on the pictures and great report....it seems "marginally safe" to launch from Sheps as of yesterday (is that accurate)? I am hoping to launch my 1875 Lund on Friday morning. Please provide any updates if anyone else is in the area today or tomorrow.

Of course if ice blows in from the south....it could lock everything up quickly with drifting ice. I'm hoping winds from the north will blow ice out toward Cattle Landing.

Formula260SS 04-12-2017 01:20 PM

Rattlesnake
 
Planning to hit Rattlesnake Saturday, does anyone know how the landing or minge looks? We've busted through ice before and we'll do it again :D

Here's to getting back to some lake time !!!

MAXUM 04-12-2017 02:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeF-NH (Post 277027)
Based on the pictures and great report....it seems "marginally safe" to launch from Sheps as of yesterday (is that accurate)? I am hoping to launch my 1875 Lund on Friday morning. Please provide any updates if anyone else is in the area today or tomorrow.

Of course if ice blows in from the south....it could lock everything up quickly with drifting ice. I'm hoping winds from the north will blow ice out toward Cattle Landing.

Yes that's accurate....hard to predict exactly what you'll find I was lucky yesterday in that there wasn't much in the way of wind so coming back after being out on the island all day conditions didn't really change from an ice flow perspective a whole lot so the return trip was easy enough but I will admit I was prepared to be marooned for a few days if need be.

If I were you I'd say go for it even if there is some ice out there it's disappearing fast. If you find the need to push through any ice pick your path carefully and creep through it. I had no problem going as fast as my outboard idles in gear occasionally using my paddle to push a solid piece out of the way. I do agree wind from the SE could be a far bigger problem than from the NW.

Good luck and I hope you get out there.

flyguy 04-12-2017 02:55 PM

2 Attachment(s)
Made this while editing our newest set of aerials- available at http://www.ice-out.com

flyguy 04-12-2017 03:01 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by MAXUM (Post 277033)
If I were you I'd say go for it even if there is some ice out there it's disappearing fast.

Here ya go! (taken 4/11)

Island Girl 04-12-2017 03:07 PM

Minge Cove
 
Minge is still somewhat iced in. A lot has melted today all around the lake. We plan on putting the boat in the water Saturday if that ice you see melts. I do not want the wind to pick up and have icebergs crash into my boat. There is a lot of ice at the southern end of the lake. Once that breaks up, if there is a wind from the SE give or take a few degrees, that will come rushing past Rattlesnake and smash into anything in its way. We are hoping for an overnight, but not if there is the chance of damage to the boat. Andrew's Marine Service website has a new image every day. This is from April 12. That is a thick chunk of ice there!

http://www.andrewsmarineservice.com/...ed_302x537.jpg

Quote:

Originally Posted by Formula260SS (Post 277030)
Planning to hit Rattlesnake Saturday, does anyone know how the landing or minge looks? We've busted through ice before and we'll do it again :D

Here's to getting back to some lake time !!!


Hillcountry 04-12-2017 05:19 PM

Ice out caller, Emerson Aviation, just had an interview a minute ago with Mike Haddad of WMUR and he predicted "official" ice out would be on Wednesday or Thursday of next week...

Barney Bear 04-12-2017 05:27 PM

Ice-0ut on TV
 
Nice piece on the 6:00 news on WMUR today. Interview with pilot Dave with views and discussion about this special anticipated event. ��

http://www.wmur.com/article/monday-m...ce-out/4982756

MAXUM 04-12-2017 06:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flyguy (Post 277040)
Here ya go! (taken 4/11)

Surprised you didn't catch me out there picking my way through all that in the boat. Probably would have had to add the caption, look at that knucklehead!

Looks a lot more ominous from the air.

;)

Awesome shot!

Island Girl 04-13-2017 06:21 AM

More frequent aerials
 
Flyguy's aerials are important to seeing what parts of the lake are still iced in as well as the color of the ice. Please go to his site to donate money so he can go up more often. Airplane fuel is not cheap. flyguy, what does the fuel cost for each flight? This would help our generous viewers understand how much to donate.

I am always amazed how much the lake changes in a day and would love more frequent images.

IG





Quote:

Originally Posted by flyguy (Post 277040)
Here ya go! (taken 4/11)


mattmass 04-13-2017 06:27 AM

Tandem streamer on sinking tip fly line
 
Trolling with sinking tip fly line and a #4 tandem streamer.

Quote:

Originally Posted by MDoug (Post 276926)
What were you using?
Trolling?





Apology for fish thread but I gotta know!


smith point boater 04-13-2017 06:35 AM

Rattlesnake
 
All open water from Smith Point to south side of Rattlesnake except in the 2 corners on either side of the "thumb". Cannot see the landing but it was almost out Tuesday so with the wind today should be clear by weekend

JMR 04-13-2017 04:43 PM

Rattlesnake Landing & Minge
 
2 Attachment(s)
Drove to lake today and took some pics. hopefully they attach. Having difficulty with Explorer

Pine Island Guy 04-13-2017 10:24 PM

Reporting from Shep's
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeF-NH (Post 277027)
Based on the pictures and great report....it seems "marginally safe" to launch from Sheps as of yesterday (is that accurate)? I am hoping to launch my 1875 Lund on Friday morning. Please provide any updates if anyone else is in the area today or tomorrow.

Of course if ice blows in from the south....it could lock everything up quickly with drifting ice. I'm hoping winds from the north will blow ice out toward Cattle Landing.

Wide open at Shep's today thanks to a strong wind blowing down the channel from the north. Could see ice further south, guessing about the end of Bear.

Nice to be out on the island! PIG

Pine Island Guy 04-14-2017 07:13 AM

Update...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pine Island Guy (Post 277096)
Wide open at Shep's today thanks to a strong wind blowing down the channel from the north. Could see ice further south, guessing about the end of Bear.

As MAXUM pointed out a south wind could change things, and sure enough the ice has blown back in. However just saw a fishing boat plow through it easily, so assume it is "candle ice".

-PIG

upthesaukee 04-14-2017 10:29 AM

Lily Pond is open.

Sent from my SM-G930V using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app

phoenix 04-14-2017 10:53 AM

based on this usually how much later is ice out

Island Girl 04-14-2017 11:01 AM

Ten days
 
Did Lily Pond just go out or earlier in the week?

IG

Kerk 04-14-2017 11:14 AM

Cow Is.
 
I went to Cow Is. yesterday in A.M. .Orchard ove was still ied in so walked the shore to 110 --112--113 area and all was good with no damage to my place and neighbors either. Good Day and Dock is together. Hope water level does not come way up so decking floats away a it did many years ago.. Seems to be almost full lake!. Enjoy the weather. Kerk

Slickcraft 04-14-2017 11:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Island Girl (Post 277119)
Did Lily Pond just go out or earlier in the week?

IG

It was out late in the day of 4/11.

CAVU 04-14-2017 01:26 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Here is the latest shot from space.

CAVU 04-14-2017 01:28 PM

Huh? No image, wonder what I did wrong..

Island Girl 04-14-2017 01:53 PM

Or this
 
1 Attachment(s)
Here is my crop from today's MODIS image. It shows Squam, Winnisquam and Wentworth along with Winnipesaukee.

Slickcraft 04-16-2017 02:00 PM

1 Attachment(s)
We finally got out to Welch late yesterday when the ice in the end of Smith Cove finally gave way. Great to be here, very nice calm morning today prior to the wind kicking up a bit. Riding around Welch no sign of ice except in the small cove by Winter Harbor Yacht club. I was surprised that we saw no floating debris however we keep a lookout at modest speed.

LadyJane 04-16-2017 04:24 PM

My Ice Out guess is for tomorrow, 4/17 @ 9:42 am. I think I'll be close !! And better yet......I'm coming up to the lake tomorrow !! YES !!!!

MAXUM 04-16-2017 07:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Slickcraft (Post 277180)
We finally got out to Welch late yesterday when the ice in the end of Smith Cove finally gave way. Great to be here, very nice calm morning today prior to the wind kicking up a bit. Riding around Welch no sign of ice except in the small cove by Winter Harbor Yacht club. I was surprised that we saw no floating debris however we keep a lookout at modest speed.

That is an awesome island boat!


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