Looking at the recent weather history out of Concord, the closest weather station that reports such data, we have been above normal everyday since Feb 7th. That is 17 days in a row now. Looking at what the temperatures have averaged in this 17 day period, it has been more like what the temperatures should be in early to mid-March.
Looking at the forecast, this above average run looks to be continuing for the foreseeable future. There will be a windy period Friday and the effects from the wind on the open edges will be key to how quickly the lake opens up this spring.
The water is warm, the air is warm and the winds are coming. All point to a real early ice out, in my opinion. Even if we get a March cold spell, the March sun is strong and the winds are usually up, so if the edges start to open up, the sun and the winds will do their job eating up the ice.
It would be nice to have an early spring!
R2B
|