Quote:
Originally Posted by jeffk
I calculated the mean ice out date from all the recorded occurrences and it is April 19/20.
So after all the nasty winter weather, all the almost 3 foot thick ice measured, and the late start to the thaw we are only about 3 days past the historical mean ice out date. The 3 days is almost statistically insignificant since 3 days is well within 1 standard deviation (+/- 9 days) of the mean. 66% of the data points fall within one standard deviation of the mean.
Weather has a funny way of evening itself out.
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I went to Bentley College in Boston, back in the day, and had to take Statistics 101. Can't remember a darn thing from the class, not even the Prof's name. I just remember his welcome the first day : "Welcome to Statistics 101. This is where you will learn how to tell your side of the lie!"
Seriously, love your data...and Mother Nature once again proves she pretty well knows what she is doing.