Winter Carnival is on, and will be held on Sunday Feb. 21st. It will be held regardless of the ice condition, with plans to have the festivities across the street from the lake, to the left of Pop's if the ice is not safe enough for crowds.
Alton Bay runway is not open, and is not looking good to be opened. They do have the markers out so that folks with bob houses will not put a bob house where the runway is, or in the parking area. Still a chance that it will open, but it is slim at best.
To answer your question, No Bozo, the fly-in will occur when Mother Nature gives her blessing. Too much snow means plowing can be difficult especially for the volunteers who are taking their own vehicles out to plow. And this year, of course, the lack of ice is the problem. Paul, the airport manager, is still committed to the runway for what it can do for the businesses in the bay.
The two incidents at the Alton Runway were both pilot error. One tail-dragger that got caught up with some wind at the threshold and spun out next to the band stand. The other was the aforementioned Cirrus that landed an estimated halfway down the runway, with a tailwind, and no braking. Prior to that, the operations at the airport have been pretty much normal since I have lived here, since 1996.
Bottom line, the volunteers that put these things on do what they can, with what they have to work with. And if anyone is wondering, the reason the Carnival is not on President's Day weekend is that the organizers felt that it would be too many people on the bay with the Fishing Derby going on the same weekend. So the decision was made to push it back a week to the 21st, not a bad decision. Of course, the Derby subsequently pushed their dates back two weeks.
Can't win for losing, sometimes.
