Quote:
Originally Posted by John Mercier
That is current technology.
Precipitation forecasts beyond ten days are not accurate.
The forecast is for the area to get about 1/3 of an inch in the next ten days.
That may not cover the minimum outflow over that ten day period.
Not really anything they can do.
|
John is correct. The technology to monitor the lake level is there. Seasonal forecasting of the weather is not. There are several reasons why. The equations for forecasting are very complex and some terms in the equation are tossed out so they can be solved. This introduces error. Also, the data going into the numerical weather prediction models are not necessarily 100% accurate. This introduces error. And there are data sparse regions where data that goes into the models is derived from satellite data. Another source of error.