Models are still in disagreement for Monday's storm and it will be hard for the humans to pick the right solution since we're in the middle of a weather pattern change and Monday will be about the first day of the new pattern. It's hard to tell which model is closest to reality without knowing at least a few things about how the current pattern is behaving. If this situation had presented itself back in mid-December's pattern I'd say we're getting a good-size snowstorm on Monday... but just how well our new pattern will compare to December's remains to be seen.
For now I can say WCSH-6 in Portland (Roger Griswold) is going for a snowstorm, The Weather Channel also just jumped on board, changing their forecast from "snow showers" on Monday to "snow and wind", and The National Weather Service in Gray is playing it conservative as I just did.
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