Quote:
Originally Posted by Bear Islander
The Long Lake fatalities will be part of this discussion as long as the opposition continues to claim there is no accident data to support speed limits. This claim is an outright lie as we know of 5 fatalities on Winnipesaukee involving speed. Yet they continue to say none exists.
High speed fatalities are rare enough that any particular lake is to small a statistical universe for evaluation. The sample must be increased to have the data show results. Looking at all lakes in a geographic area is perfectly valid. Especially as nobody has come up with a reason why that accident could not have happened on Winnipesaukee. The 150' rule has been quoted as a reason, but that was obviously a joke.
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BI...
FINALLY! You hit it on the head...
"HIGH SPEED FATALITIES ARE RARE ENOUGH" You & WINNCRABS
NEED TO INCREASE the statistical pool to legitimize your argument! The reality is that high speed accidents are
EXTREMELY RARE and statistically
NON-EXISTANT if you remove
ALCOHOL from the equation!
Statistically, every time someone gets behind the wheel of any sort of vehicle, car, truck, snomobile, boat, atv, etc there is a
POSSIBILITY of an accident occurring. The
PROBABILITY of an accident increases dramatically when the operator has been drinking!
If you dissect the Long Lake accident, All things being equal, if remove
ALCOHOL from the equation, the
POSSIBILITY of the accident doesnt change, however the
PROBABILITY of that accident occurring would be
NIL.
There is always the
POSSIBILITY of a boating accident on Lake Winnipesaukee, however the
PROBABLILITY IS NIL!!
Still waiting for that
SOBER High Speed accident.....
Woodsy
Possibility: the state or fact of being possible
Probability: Statistics: the relative possibility that an event will occur, as expressed by the ratio of the number of actual occurrences to the total number of possible occurrences.