I really appreciate the information from CLA, metrotrade and all of the other weather experts on these threads.
The water temp is interesting. My son and his girlfriend are here visiting from Key West. He is telling us, all of the talk back home in the Keys is the warmer water temps. (almost 90 degrees) and the threat that poses for the upcoming Hurricane season.
I looked at the track on the first Atlantic named hurricane this morning. I also read up a little on the "New England Hurricane of 1938" The track looks very similar.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long_Island_Express
I was surprised to see that the 38 storm is ranked as the 6th most expensive hurricane in US history. There is a thread on here someplace, that I couldn't find, that mentions the considerable damage that storm did here in the Lakes Region.
I know Bertha is long way away. My question would be, what effect does water temp around, Burmuda, Long Island and Cape Cod have to play in the track of a hurricane?