I have been watching the increased spin of what is likely to become a tropical cyclone off the northeast Florida coast for most of this afternoon and evening. It looks to me that this will become a TD tomorrow and quickly become a TS in 24 hours. The waters are warm and the sheer looks low in the area off the SE US coast, so this could kick up.
Looking at the steering currents through early next week, whatever develops down there should be close to the NC coast this weekend and then could be on our doorstep next Tuesday or Wednesday. It looks like a trough will catch it and bring it NNE along the coast.
It is hard, well almost impossible, to predict tropical systems especially when they have not yet formed, so I do not consider this a forecast at this time, but rather a heads-up for what might happen.
Since I have a house full of company next week, I would not be surprised if we get a stormy day during the mid-week related to this system. I will be out buying a jig-saw puzzle or two tomorrow just in case!
Time will tell!
R2B