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Old 07-18-2008, 10:38 AM   #3
CanisLupusArctos
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Default colder waters

Our saving grace from tropical systems in New England at this time of year is colder ocean water. That's not saying a big tropical hit can't happen, but our ocean water needs all summer to reach its max for the year. Until that happens, the cooler waters usually weaken tropical systems that try to venture this far north.

What we would most likely see from a tropical system at this time of year is flooding downpours and possible severe weather. The remnants of Bonnie (2004) produced a tornado that started around Sanbornton if I remember correctly, buzzed Meredith a little and got caught on video as a waterspout over Meredith Bay.

Again, this doesn't mean a full-fledged hurricane can't happen here right now. It's just a lot less likely than it will be later next month through Sept. and Oct. In the meantime, remnants are the most likely scenario, but keep in mind they can sometimes produce historic floods.

In New England tropical systems have also been known to collide and combine with other weather systems ("The Perfect Storm") to form a totally new animal.
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