Quote:
Originally Posted by VtSteve
I have less faith in the forecasts and alerts now than ever before. They're all on computer models and auto pilot. Now I just look around and guess myself  |
I can assure you that most forecasters are not on auto pilot. With all the information that is now readily available to forecasters, in some ways it is harder to complete a forecast in a timely manner.
I had a double-E tell me over ten years ago that human forecasters would soon be obsolete...I'm still waiting. Of course, many double-E's ignore noise as long as the signal-to-noise ratio is large enough. That's impossible in meteorology...it's the noise that busts forecasts.