Quote:
Originally Posted by Resident 2B
I just checked the dock this morning and based upon my very-unofficial marker, as of 11:00 this morning, we are at or slightly above full lake.
Quickly looking at the historical data from the Dam Bureau, we are likely to have the highest lake level for this time of year since 1982 with all the rain we are getting. I realize that we need rain to live, but this is getting to be too much.
Any tropical system that brings rain in the next five weeks will likely cause floods. I am not saying we will have a visit from a tropical system, but it is that time of the year and the lake now is full and it keeps raining.
Got to get back to work on the new ark!
R2B
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I noticed the same thing this morning. When Black Cat Shoals has just one tiny little rock sticking up (barely visible in the WeatherCam) the lake level is, as you say, at or slightly above full. Yesterday's sustained southeast winds at 30 mph (gust to 42 mph) brought large waves up the length of the lake and over the tops of the docks on the south side of the island.
Between 10 pm Monday and noon yesterday we had 1.65 inches of rain. This brings the total for the first six days of August to 2.25 inches. As R2B mentioned, this is the time of year when we normally need to think about tropical systems. To that I will add: We don't need an actual named storm to cause flood problems here; the remnants of a former tropical system are much more common around here, and usually drop a lot of rainfall.
In the meantime, the threat from regular showers and thunderstorms remains, due to the clash of the cold and warm air masses that has been happening here all summer. I had thought (hoped) that summer's air would've won the match and taken hold to give us at least a couple of hot/dry weeks by now, but as Labor Day approaches, it becomes more and more likely that our next sustained stretch of dry weather will come when the the cold air eventually wins -- autumn.
No need to spend your vacation in worry; just have a "ready" mentality.
ps I found several red leaves on the ground yesterday. Enough for a handful. There were a few more on the otherwise-green tree above them.