Looking like a wet weekend
Although the tropical wave has not developed into a depression yet, as soon as it get away from the mountains in the Dominican Republic, the warm water and favorable upper level conditions should allow for rapid development. Once developed, it will merge with a low off the Carolinas, perhaps becoming sub-tropical or a hybrid, and move up the coast.
Timing now looks like Friday or Saturday for a good solid soaking in the lakes region.
It is still early, and things can change, but we could have a named storm at our doorstep within three days, and very little is being mentioned outside of the NWS technical discussions.
It could get interesting!
R2B
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