Snow, to ice?!
It is looking more like we will see a switch to freezing rain in the middle of the storm at least in the southern parts of the lake. I do not think it will be anything like we had in December, but I am seeing warm air at the mid levels due to the strength and path of the primary storm. I also think the coastal secondary may be north of Long Island, NY and not off the coast until it crosses the coast near Plymouth, Ma.
So, it will snow very hard for the first half of the storm, due to the high vertical lift or omega, perhaps around 8 to 10 inches around Alton and around 12 inches or a bit more near Black Cat Island. But, the warm layer will cause mixing and that will pack the snow down some or at least make it wetter.
Time will tell, but I think the NWS will be making mentin of this soon.
R2B
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