Official Ice-Out 2014 Thread

meredith weekender · 04-11-2014, 07:18 AM

Stevens Pond in Manchester was officially iced out yesterday and that is typically a two week indicator for Winni. Here's to hoping for some warm sunshine and strong winds.

ishoot308 · 04-11-2014, 07:56 AM

I was talking to friend who was out on the lake snowmobiling yesterday afternoon and while the edges are giving way, he said he cut a couple holes in Sanders bay and there is still 18"- 20" of ice...

Near 80 degrees on Monday followed up by a day of rain should do a number on it...

Dan

Webbsatwinni · 04-11-2014, 08:21 AM

A lot darker today, or wishful thinking?

Blue Thunder · 04-11-2014, 09:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Webbsatwinni

A lot darker today, or wishful thinking?

Yup...because it's cloudy.

Happy Gourmand · 04-11-2014, 12:35 PM

Hasn't one of the indicators for ice out for Winni been Lily Pond in Gilford?

SIKSUKR · 04-11-2014, 01:52 PM

Stevens pond is almost always about the same day as the pond across the street from my house which was almost out today.I usually add about 2 weeks for Winni.I'll add a little for the excess ice and say.......April 29.

mhtranger · 04-11-2014, 05:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Phantom Gourmand

Hasn't one of the indicators for ice out for Winni been Lily Pond in Gilford?

Yes it is usually two weeks after Lily goes out. My guess is it will be longer this year.

itchin for fishin · 04-11-2014, 05:26 PM

My pool has been a good two week indicator. Since 1999, I have always had the cover off by this date. Today, I went to check, it is at least 10 days out, maybe longer. It will be a May Ice-Out this year.

Rattlesnake Gal · 04-11-2014, 05:36 PM

I have been keeping track of Silver Lake in Hollis for the last ten years now in relation to the the big lake's ice-out. Silver Lake's ice was out this morning. If the last ten years hold true, Winnipesaukee will be next Friday.

I hope! Snake Eyes is looking very promising!

ishoot308 · 04-11-2014, 07:05 PM

I just went by Lilly pond and it's still locked up solid...

Dan

Merrymeeting · 04-11-2014, 08:52 PM

It's going to be a different ice-out from what we've been used to in the last few years. Most of the melting has been from the bottom up, and rather than receding from the edges, it seems to be going all at once, all over.

I sense that we will have ice pack one day, then it will soften/get porous, and disappear all at once when we least expect it.

I'm with RG...sometime in the next 7-8 days.

meredith weekender · 04-11-2014, 10:26 PM

Let's just settle on another 10 days and ice out will be my Birthday present this year. Lol.

Lakegeezer · 04-12-2014, 07:29 AM

The "three week till iceout" indicator that I've used for over 20 years started showing last Monday, which would put iceout on April 28'th. The ice changed a lot this past week, and is starting to look gray. However, where it pulled away from the shore, there is a foot or more of clear ice showing. The lake level rose over a foot in the past week, and moving the ice around will accelerate melting. I wouldn't be surprised if it holds out till May 1'st, but don't think it will be setting records. If a new iceout contest opened today, I'd go with Monday, April 28'th.

Slickcraft · 04-12-2014, 11:10 AM

The ice between Ellacoya and South Welch appears to be on the Last In First Out track.

Looking out from Belknap Point, the ice in general is getting darker in color, evidence that the ice candles are forming. I expect a lot of color change in the next few warm days.

Chaos · 04-12-2014, 01:08 PM

If my math is correct, the 21st would be your birthday and mine. that was my official pick, let's see if it happens

Rattlesnake Gal · 04-12-2014, 02:30 PM

According to Winnipesaukee Data Phone, the water temperature hit 40° Today! What a weird year.

Just Sold · 04-12-2014, 03:40 PM

I think it will be 2 more weeks before Ice Out is Declared.
Top to bottom 4/12/14: Smith Cove looking outward, Fay's Boat Yard channel at Rack building, 4"-5" thick ice at Fay's gas dock

tis · 04-12-2014, 04:35 PM

The 21st was my Mom's birthday and the most popular average day for ice out in my mind.

MDoug · 04-12-2014, 05:18 PM

Anyone have current photos of ice around Bear Island? Bear Cam seems to be down right now. Power out?

Merrymeeting · 04-16-2014, 06:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Merrymeeting

It's going to be a different ice-out from what we've been used to in the last few years. Most of the melting has been from the bottom up, and rather than receding from the edges, it seems to be going all at once, all over.

I sense that we will have ice pack one day, then it will soften/get porous, and disappear all at once when we least expect it.

I'm with RG...sometime in the next 7-8 days.

Still liking my "second" guess. My official one is long gone (April 8th)

PaugusBayFireFighter · 04-13-2014, 09:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ishoot308

I just went by Lilly pond and it's still locked up solid...

Dan

Dan, I noticed a big change this morning on Lilly. The shorelines and areas around the light stations have opened. The ice is very dark. This morning's heavy rain and tomorrow's warmth should accelerate the melting.

The lake will be up close to the bottom of my docks by Tuesday. The lake rise has been very fast. The ice has receded quite a bit along the bay.

Bass boat going in Monday...it won't be long before Paugus ice out is declared.

chipj29 · 04-11-2014, 08:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by meredith weekender

Stevens Pond in Manchester was officially iced out yesterday and that is typically a two week indicator for Winni. Here's to hoping for some warm sunshine and strong winds.

I use Stevens Pond as my indicator as well. I have seen it be as much as 3 weeks apart from Winni.

04-11-2014, 07:56 AM	#2
ishoot308 Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2008 Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island Posts: 6,341 Thanks: 2,412 Thanked 5,337 Times in 2,086 Posts	I was talking to friend who was out on the lake snowmobiling yesterday afternoon and while the edges are giving way, he said he cut a couple holes in Sanders bay and there is still 18"- 20" of ice... Near 80 degrees on Monday followed up by a day of rain should do a number on it... Dan __________________ It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!

04-11-2014, 08:21 AM	#3
Webbsatwinni Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Lebanon Ct and Rattlesnake Island Since 2007 Posts: 610 Thanks: 180 Thanked 137 Times in 72 Posts	A lot darker today, or wishful thinking? Attached Images

04-11-2014, 01:52 PM	#6
SIKSUKR Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 5,075 Thanks: 215 Thanked 903 Times in 509 Posts	Stevens pond is almost always about the same day as the pond across the street from my house which was almost out today.I usually add about 2 weeks for Winni.I'll add a little for the excess ice and say.......April 29. __________________ SIKSUKR

04-11-2014, 05:36 PM	#9
Rattlesnake Gal Senior Member Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: Central NH Posts: 5,253 Blog Entries: 1 Thanks: 1,455 Thanked 1,357 Times in 476 Posts	Ice-Out I have been keeping track of Silver Lake in Hollis for the last ten years now in relation to the the big lake's ice-out. Silver Lake's ice was out this morning. If the last ten years hold true, Winnipesaukee will be next Friday. I hope! Snake Eyes is looking very promising! Attached Images

04-11-2014, 07:05 PM	#10
ishoot308 Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2008 Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island Posts: 6,341 Thanks: 2,412 Thanked 5,337 Times in 2,086 Posts	I just went by Lilly pond and it's still locked up solid... Dan __________________ It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!

04-11-2014, 07:18 AM	#1
meredith weekender Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: Meredith / Manchester Posts: 373 Thanks: 87 Thanked 84 Times in 57 Posts	Stevens Pond in Manchester was officially iced out yesterday and that is typically a two week indicator for Winni. Here's to hoping for some warm sunshine and strong winds.

The Following User Says Thank You to meredith weekender For This Useful Post:
MDoug (04-11-2014)

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Pine Island Guy (04-11-2014), tabascocat98 (04-11-2014)

04-11-2014, 12:35 PM	#5
Happy Gourmand Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Ruskin FL Posts: 1,027 Thanks: 188 Thanked 322 Times in 179 Posts	Hasn't one of the indicators for ice out for Winni been Lily Pond in Gilford?

04-11-2014, 05:26 PM	#8
itchin for fishin Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 105 Thanks: 3 Thanked 2 Times in 1 Post	My pool has been a good two week indicator. Since 1999, I have always had the cover off by this date. Today, I went to check, it is at least 10 days out, maybe longer. It will be a May Ice-Out this year.

The Following User Says Thank You to Rattlesnake Gal For This Useful Post:
Webbsatwinni (04-13-2014)

04-11-2014, 08:52 PM	#11
Merrymeeting Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Merrymeeting Lake, New Durham Posts: 2,227 Thanks: 304 Thanked 800 Times in 368 Posts	It's going to be a different ice-out from what we've been used to in the last few years. Most of the melting has been from the bottom up, and rather than receding from the edges, it seems to be going all at once, all over. I sense that we will have ice pack one day, then it will soften/get porous, and disappear all at once when we least expect it. I'm with RG...sometime in the next 7-8 days.

04-11-2014, 10:26 PM	#12
meredith weekender Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: Meredith / Manchester Posts: 373 Thanks: 87 Thanked 84 Times in 57 Posts	Let's just settle on another 10 days and ice out will be my Birthday present this year. Lol.

The Following User Says Thank You to meredith weekender For This Useful Post:
Chaos (04-12-2014)

04-12-2014, 07:29 AM	#13
Lakegeezer Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2003 Location: Moultonboro, NH Posts: 1,680 Blog Entries: 1 Thanks: 355 Thanked 640 Times in 291 Posts	Sitting around, watching the ice melt The "three week till iceout" indicator that I've used for over 20 years started showing last Monday, which would put iceout on April 28'th. The ice changed a lot this past week, and is starting to look gray. However, where it pulled away from the shore, there is a foot or more of clear ice showing. The lake level rose over a foot in the past week, and moving the ice around will accelerate melting. I wouldn't be surprised if it holds out till May 1'st, but don't think it will be setting records. If a new iceout contest opened today, I'd go with Monday, April 28'th. __________________ -lg

The Following User Says Thank You to Lakegeezer For This Useful Post:
Smith Point (04-12-2014)

04-12-2014, 11:10 AM	#14
Slickcraft Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2008 Location: Welch Island and The Taylor Community Posts: 3,329 Thanks: 1,240 Thanked 2,118 Times in 968 Posts	LIFO and Candles The ice between Ellacoya and South Welch appears to be on the Last In First Out track. Looking out from Belknap Point, the ice in general is getting darker in color, evidence that the ice candles are forming. I expect a lot of color change in the next few warm days. Attached Images

The Following User Says Thank You to Slickcraft For This Useful Post:
ghfromaltonbay (04-12-2014)

04-12-2014, 01:08 PM	#15
Chaos Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Danville, NH and West Alton Marina Posts: 134 Thanks: 111 Thanked 32 Times in 20 Posts	meredith weekender If my math is correct, the 21st would be your birthday and mine. that was my official pick, let's see if it happens

04-12-2014, 02:30 PM	#16
Rattlesnake Gal Senior Member Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: Central NH Posts: 5,253 Blog Entries: 1 Thanks: 1,455 Thanked 1,357 Times in 476 Posts	Water Temp According to Winnipesaukee Data Phone, the water temperature hit 40° Today! What a weird year.

04-12-2014, 03:40 PM	#17
Just Sold Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Suncook, NH, but at The Lake at Heart Posts: 2,615 Thanks: 1,083 Thanked 434 Times in 210 Posts	I think it will be 2 more weeks before Ice Out is Declared. Top to bottom 4/12/14: Smith Cove looking outward, Fay's Boat Yard channel at Rack building, 4"-5" thick ice at Fay's gas dock Attached Images __________________ Just Sold At the lake the stress of daily life just melts away. Pro Re Nata

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04-12-2014, 04:35 PM	#18
tis Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 6,811 Thanks: 759 Thanked 1,469 Times in 1,025 Posts	The 21st was my Mom's birthday and the most popular average day for ice out in my mind.

The Following User Says Thank You to tis For This Useful Post:
Chaos (04-12-2014)

04-12-2014, 05:18 PM	#19
MDoug Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 343 Thanks: 116 Thanked 42 Times in 39 Posts	Ice Out Cameras Anyone have current photos of ice around Bear Island? Bear Cam seems to be down right now. Power out?

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ishoot308 (04-13-2014)

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