Official 2015 Ice-Out Thread

Island Girl · 04-02-2015, 04:53 PM

Chaos, I agree that the ice will melt from the bottom as well as the top. The rising temps indicate we are on the way... a slow start for sure. The reading from the Winnipesaukee Data Phone is 34 degrees. That is up a degree from earlier in the week.

PaugusBayFireFighter · 04-03-2015, 06:41 AM

Mild and raining last night after a sunny day. Today we come close to 70 with sun and more rain to follow tonight. Lots of wind tomorrow afternoon, 30mph+ and some sun. Temps for next week are in the 40's with the pattern turning milder towards weeks end.
Patriot's Day is looking better and better for ice out.
Lake temp up a couple degrees since last week. Lake level rising too.

Blue Thunder · 04-03-2015, 03:14 PM

Great write up by Barry at Silver Sands.
http://nhboat.com/Nhboat/Features/ice/ice-out2015.htm
BT

Paugus bay girl · 04-03-2015, 05:44 PM

Was out by Paugus today you could see the heat waves rising off the ice! Sign of serious melting, then rain and wind tonight and early morning tomorrow!

Steveo · 04-04-2015, 05:15 PM

I look forward to Silver Sands cam shots and Barry's forecast every year and can't wait to follow the evolving cam shots. I really appreciate that they show the previous years so you get excited that it might happen earlier than it is looking.

Thanks Barry and Silver Sands!!!

Blue Thunder · 04-05-2015, 05:21 PM

Today's MODIS view shows just a hint of darkening on the Big Lake. Sebago, however is looking way ahead at this point with a couple of areas of open water visible in the center of Big Bay.

meredith weekender · 04-05-2015, 06:55 PM

we seem to be making progress. the top pick is from today and the bottom pic from the beginning of the week.

Merrymeeting · 04-06-2015, 08:58 AM

While the daytime temps this week will continue to be below normal, the nights are going to stay above, or slightly below, freezing. The melting does accelerate when there is little to no refreezing during the nights. The water temps below also continue to rise (up a degree, to 35, yesterday).

Three weeks from today, April 27th, that's my plan! :-)

MAXUM · 04-06-2015, 09:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Merrymeeting

While the daytime temps this week will continue to be below normal, the nights are going to stay above, or slightly below, freezing. The melting does accelerate when there is little to no refreezing during the nights. The water temps below also continue to rise (up a degree, to 35, yesterday).

Three weeks from today, April 27th, that's my plan! :-)

That's my plan too ;-) It may actually be sooner.

PaugusBayFireFighter · 04-06-2015, 10:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Merrymeeting

While the daytime temps this week will continue to be below normal, the nights are going to stay above, or slightly below, freezing. The melting does accelerate when there is little to no refreezing during the nights. The water temps below also continue to rise (up a degree, to 35, yesterday).

Three weeks from today, April 27th, that's my plan! :-)

Some rain/wind in the forecast will also help. I noticed the overnight lows are favorable for melting. That's a big factor.
The forecast is much warmer and sunnier starting Saturday through next week.

The lake has risen a few inches over the past few days and Lakeport reports water temp at 36.

These floats were not visible a week ago. The snow atop Paugus is gone and the ice is being eaten both above and below. I still say April 20, Patriot's Day, will be the day.

Water Camper · 04-06-2015, 11:18 AM

Was up to the lake yesterday, no ice along shore line. Looking good, I may be too much of an optimist, but I'm sticking with April 15th.

Maybe wishful thinking,
Bill

MDoug · 04-06-2015, 12:12 PM

Got our reservation to fly up May 2 on Jet Blue!

Misha888 · 04-07-2015, 01:04 AM

snowmobiling in and out of Smith Cove, as of yesterday. Brave souls.

Paugus bay girl · 04-07-2015, 03:20 PM

The Weather Cam shows 39 degrees at 10 ft! Ice out happens not long after we reach that point.

Merrymeeting · 04-07-2015, 06:12 PM

I was on my waterfront for a short time this afternoon. While on the surface, the ice looks solid, and there is little to no indication of melting along the shoreline, the ice was making noises like I haven't heard since it first formed. Lots of gurgling and expansion noises. Something is changing...

CoastalWx · 04-07-2015, 07:34 PM

No way by April 15th. Enjoy the snow tomorrow night too. My guess is close to last year.

Mink Islander · 04-08-2015, 08:54 AM

My ip camera caught this group of geniuses passing in front of my place on Mink Island this morning. Yeah yeah, plenty of ice... Well not so much over by Mark Island in the channel they're heading towards. And Cattle Landing is quite sketchy at this point too. And no snow to lube the track or cool the engine. What could possibly go wrong?

Nice view of Mount Washington this morning, however....

Pine Island Guy · 04-08-2015, 09:59 AM

Doesn't look like we can get out to the island this weekend... but with predicted temps over 60 degrees and sunny all next week... maybe next weekend!

today's shot looking down the Pine/Bear channel -PIG

04-02-2015, 04:53 PM	#1
Island Girl Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: Central MA Posts: 2,352 Thanks: 18 Thanked 535 Times in 179 Posts	Lake Temp up to 34 degrees Chaos, I agree that the ice will melt from the bottom as well as the top. The rising temps indicate we are on the way... a slow start for sure. The reading from the Winnipesaukee Data Phone is 34 degrees. That is up a degree from earlier in the week. __________________ Island Girl ....... Make Lemonade

04-03-2015, 03:14 PM	#3
Blue Thunder Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Eastern MA & Frye Island/Sebago Lake, Maine Posts: 952 Thanks: 253 Thanked 351 Times in 158 Posts	Silver Sands page is up... Great write up by Barry at Silver Sands. http://nhboat.com/Nhboat/Features/ice/ice-out2015.htm BT __________________ " Live for today because yesterday is gone and tomorrow may never come"

04-04-2015, 05:15 PM	#5
Steveo Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 524 Thanks: 47 Thanked 123 Times in 63 Posts	Thank you Silver Sands I look forward to Silver Sands cam shots and Barry's forecast every year and can't wait to follow the evolving cam shots. I really appreciate that they show the previous years so you get excited that it might happen earlier than it is looking. Thanks Barry and Silver Sands!!!

04-05-2015, 05:21 PM	#6
Blue Thunder Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Eastern MA & Frye Island/Sebago Lake, Maine Posts: 952 Thanks: 253 Thanked 351 Times in 158 Posts	Slow progression...if any Today's MODIS view shows just a hint of darkening on the Big Lake. Sebago, however is looking way ahead at this point with a couple of areas of open water visible in the center of Big Bay. Attached Images __________________ " Live for today because yesterday is gone and tomorrow may never come"

04-05-2015, 06:55 PM	#7
meredith weekender Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: Meredith / Manchester Posts: 373 Thanks: 87 Thanked 84 Times in 57 Posts	we seem to be making progress. the top pick is from today and the bottom pic from the beginning of the week. Attached Images

The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Island Girl For This Useful Post:
Chaos (04-03-2015), meredith weekender (04-02-2015)

04-03-2015, 06:41 AM	#2
PaugusBayFireFighter Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2012 Posts: 837 Thanks: 361 Thanked 674 Times in 264 Posts	Mild and raining last night after a sunny day. Today we come close to 70 with sun and more rain to follow tonight. Lots of wind tomorrow afternoon, 30mph+ and some sun. Temps for next week are in the 40's with the pattern turning milder towards weeks end. Patriot's Day is looking better and better for ice out. Lake temp up a couple degrees since last week. Lake level rising too.

The Following User Says Thank You to PaugusBayFireFighter For This Useful Post:
Chaos (04-03-2015)

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04-03-2015, 05:44 PM	#4
Paugus bay girl Member Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 47 Thanks: 2 Thanked 7 Times in 7 Posts	Was out by Paugus today you could see the heat waves rising off the ice! Sign of serious melting, then rain and wind tonight and early morning tomorrow!

The Following User Says Thank You to Paugus bay girl For This Useful Post:
GodSmile (04-03-2015)

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04-06-2015, 08:58 AM	#8
Merrymeeting Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Merrymeeting Lake, New Durham Posts: 2,226 Thanks: 302 Thanked 800 Times in 368 Posts	While the daytime temps this week will continue to be below normal, the nights are going to stay above, or slightly below, freezing. The melting does accelerate when there is little to no refreezing during the nights. The water temps below also continue to rise (up a degree, to 35, yesterday). Three weeks from today, April 27th, that's my plan! :-)

04-06-2015, 11:18 AM	#11
Water Camper Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2004 Location: Pembroke, NH / Laconia, NH Posts: 451 Thanks: 10 Thanked 207 Times in 89 Posts	Was up to the lake yesterday, no ice along shore line. Looking good, I may be too much of an optimist, but I'm sticking with April 15th. Maybe wishful thinking, Bill

04-06-2015, 12:12 PM	#12
MDoug Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 343 Thanks: 116 Thanked 42 Times in 39 Posts	Hurry Up Got our reservation to fly up May 2 on Jet Blue!

04-07-2015, 01:04 AM	#13
Misha888 Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Gilford, NH Posts: 340 Thanks: 280 Thanked 90 Times in 62 Posts	They're still . . . snowmobiling in and out of Smith Cove, as of yesterday. Brave souls. __________________ ☮ _/♥\_ & (✿ˆ◡ˆ✿)

04-07-2015, 03:20 PM	#14
Paugus bay girl Member Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 47 Thanks: 2 Thanked 7 Times in 7 Posts	The Weather Cam shows 39 degrees at 10 ft! Ice out happens not long after we reach that point. Attached Images

The Following User Says Thank You to Paugus bay girl For This Useful Post:
windsail (04-07-2015)

04-07-2015, 06:12 PM	#15
Merrymeeting Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Merrymeeting Lake, New Durham Posts: 2,226 Thanks: 302 Thanked 800 Times in 368 Posts	I was on my waterfront for a short time this afternoon. While on the surface, the ice looks solid, and there is little to no indication of melting along the shoreline, the ice was making noises like I haven't heard since it first formed. Lots of gurgling and expansion noises. Something is changing...

04-07-2015, 07:34 PM	#16
CoastalWx Member Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 23 Thanks: 0 Thanked 3 Times in 2 Posts	No way by April 15th. Enjoy the snow tomorrow night too. My guess is close to last year.

04-08-2015, 08:54 AM	#17
Mink Islander Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 753 Thanks: 59 Thanked 271 Times in 129 Posts	This is nuts My ip camera caught this group of geniuses passing in front of my place on Mink Island this morning. Yeah yeah, plenty of ice... Well not so much over by Mark Island in the channel they're heading towards. And Cattle Landing is quite sketchy at this point too. And no snow to lube the track or cool the engine. What could possibly go wrong? Nice view of Mount Washington this morning, however.... Attached Images

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04-08-2015, 09:59 AM	#18
Pine Island Guy Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: pine island of course! Posts: 406 Thanks: 245 Thanked 246 Times in 112 Posts	melt melt melt... Doesn't look like we can get out to the island this weekend... but with predicted temps over 60 degrees and sunny all next week... maybe next weekend! today's shot looking down the Pine/Bear channel -PIG Attached Images

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