2018 Ice Out Progress

[Paugus bay girl]

Originally Posted by ishoot308

Lily Pond was ice free a few days ago....usually one week later for Winni but doubt that will happen this year. It seems all usual indicators will be way off. Mother Nature proving she is still Queen!!

I wore my flip flops today, screw it. I don't care how cold it is, I refuse to wear anymore winter stuff till next winter. I put away all the boots, jackets, and shovels. It's flip flops, sneakers, and hoodies now.

[ishoot308]

Originally Posted by Paugus bay girl

I wore my flip flops today, screw it. I don't care how cold it is, I refuse to wear anymore winter stuff till next winter. I put away all the boots, jackets, and shovels. It's flip flops, sneakers, and hoodies now.

That sounds like an awesome plan to me! Count me in! Maybe Mother Nature will get the hint!

Dan

[8gv]

As I was putting my snow shovels and snow pullers away this evening it started to snow.

Grrrrrrrrrrrrr!

[Paugus bay girl]

Originally Posted by 8gv

As I was putting my snow shovels and snow pullers away this evening it started to snow.

Grrrrrrrrrrrrr!

I walked in the snow thru my front yard with flip flops on to my car,about an inch, didn't care.

[jeffk]

I only put ONE of my snow shovels away.

I live next to a pond in Center Harbor and usually it is thawed a little before Winnipesaukee has ice out. It is still solidly iced in.

The 10 day forecast is for cooler than normal temps and quite a bit of cloudiness. There is some heavy rain forecast for over the weekend but the temps won't be above mid 40's so I don't think it will help that much. The long range forecast predicts we won't break into a weeks of 50/60 degree highs until the week after next.

I think progress will be slow.

[Merrymeeting]

The good news is if you check the water temps, the ice must be eroding from below. Trexler site https://www.trexlers.com/lake-winnipesaukee-live-feed, shows temps approaching and sometimes exceeding 38, which typically is the magic tipping point for ice-out melting.

The water temps posted on this site seem to be high, but overall increasing.

[MAXUM]

Hey 50-60 degrees may not seem terribly warm, but it's still 18-28 degrees north of freezing and that's not nothing!

With all the ice pull back from around the shore line once this stuff starts to move around it will actually begin to destroy itself and anything in it's path if the wind is kicking at a good clip.

I think we're less than a week out.

[JasJackson]

If you check the camera and time lapse for Flightcraft, you can see how much the ice melted away from the shore just today...

https://flightcraft.lakehost.net/index.php/webcam/

[dt5150]

glendale today. it's gettin there...

[joey2665]

Love it Bob. Thank you!!!


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[Grady223]

Strong NW wind, sun through the weekend and 60s Monday and Tuesday should move things along quickly. Hoping to get out to Barndoor Wednesday or Thursday. 🤞


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[nj2nh]

We have a security cam pointed out at Alton Bay towards Little Mark and have been watching the ice inch out. However, I swear it looks like the open area has refrozen. Is the ice moving or could parts have frozen in? I would post a photo but the app will not let me.


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[WINNIPESAUKEEBOB]

Originally Posted by nj2nh

We have a security cam pointed out at Alton Bay towards Little Mark and have been watching the ice inch out. However, I swear it looks like the open area has refrozen. Is the ice moving or could parts have frozen in? I would post a photo but the app will not let me.


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HI nj;

I have just posted a reply, but I think it went to the webmaster, so to answer your question, Yes, the winds will move the ice around, easily, this time of year,... Once we get a southerly wind-flow from the northeast, the ice chunks will flow right down through the Weirs channel and smash into every dock on the way through. That's why there is a barge right next to our jetty/docks as seen on my web cam. it's repairing last-years damage.

That's why you see so many of the docks on the east side of Paugus Bay have their docks "LIFTED" for the winter.....they have been destroyed too many times. Those that don't lift the docks, are supporting the guys who operate the barges.

Winni Bob

[ishoot308]

Made it out to the camp on Welch today!

Fishing tomorrow!

Life is good!

[Hillcountry]

Originally Posted by ishoot308

Made it out to the camp on Welch today!

Fishing tomorrow!

Life is good!

Life is good! I’m jealous! Good luck out there and post what you catch!

[bclaker]

Originally Posted by ishoot308

Made it out to the camp on Welch today!

Fishing tomorrow!

Life is good!

Good Luck!!!

[SteveO123]

Watching Opechee go now... only hours left! Winni is usually 2 days later. BRING IT ON!!

[nj2nh]

Watching on my webcam from halfway down Alton Bay. All I see is ice towards Little Mark but it is definitely changing color. Much grayer this afternoon than it was even this morning! Fascinating to watch.

[WINNIPESAUKEEBOB]

HI FOLKS:

ICE is black and mushey at Weirs Beach to Meridith....Wind is pushing it to the northeast shore(Meridith Neck) and Governors Island.A good Northeasterly wind will push it back towards Weirs and through the Weirs channel....then it's gone.

click on my "LIVE" WEB CAM LINK....... https://video.nest.com/live/cfVEpKU9JY

Winni Bob

[MAXUM]

Made it out to Bear today from Sheps, what's left of the ice between there and the post office is mush, but decided to go around loon island which was all cleared of ice. Ice was receding fast as the wind was creating a little chop which was chewing up the leading edge pretty good. By the end of tomorrow I would not be surprised if that entire area is open all the way down past Cattle landing.

On the other side of bear, it's locked up with some pretty decent ice still but over the course of the day the sun was taking it's toll on it. It still seemed pretty solid though and about 7-8" thick with mush on top.

Clear from Y Landing out to Bear as well. Beware the ice has taken out or shifted around markers out there.

Beautiful day to be out.

[MDoug]

Originally Posted by MAXUM

Made it out to Bear today from Sheps, what's left of the ice between there and the post office is mush, but decided to go around loon island which was all cleared of ice. Ice was receding fast as the wind was creating a little chop which was chewing up the leading edge pretty good. By the end of tomorrow I would not be surprised if that entire area is open all the way down past Cattle landing.

On the other side of bear, it's locked up with some pretty decent ice still but over the course of the day the sun was taking it's toll on it. It still seemed pretty solid though and about 7-8" thick with mush on top.

Clear from Y Landing out to Bear as well. Beware the ice has taken out or shifted around markers out there.

Beautiful day to be out.

Thanks, Maxum!

[Kings Bluff]

Originally Posted by nj2nh

Watching on my webcam from halfway down Alton Bay. All I see is ice towards Little Mark but it is definitely changing color. Much grayer this afternoon than it was even this morning! Fascinating to watch.


Attachment 13789

No ice at the north end of Alton Bay! Check it out at www.winnipesaukeecam.com

[Island Girl]

In case you are wondering how the iceout progress is around the lake, go here:
http://www.rattlesnakecam.com/watch.htm

You can view many webcams at once. Scroll down and there are links to live video cams as well.

Some cams are not displaying. If you are the owner please let us know the status or link if it has changed.

Welch Island Cam
Erika’s Cam
Faithaven Cam

Thanks
IG

[Moccasin]

Thank you Island Girl!

[gokart-mozart]

Ice went out overnight 4/20-4/21 after breaking up in the wind all day.

[nj2nh]

Originally Posted by Kings Bluff

No ice at the north end of Alton Bay! Check it out at www.winnipesaukeecam.com

Can I ask where you are exactly? It is so weird that your view has no ice at all and mine is still nothing but ice!


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[Dad sold the C * C]

Middle of Winnisquam is getting close. Looking east just south of Pot island




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[Slickcraft]

The ice That had been locked in near round island is breaking up and Floating south. We are on Welch watching it go by between here and Belknap point.


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[Pine Island Guy]

clear from Y-Landing out to the east side of Pine Island!

A beautiful day to be out on the lake -PIG

[MDoug]

Originally Posted by Pine Island Guy

clear from Y-Landing out to the east side of Pine Island!

A beautiful day to be out on the lake -PIG

Thanks, Pine Island Guy!

Our camp is in the cove behind Shepard Island. Any word on that getting to that area safely?

[JMR]

We had to break through a couple hundred yards of ice by using clubs, but it was worth it to be back on Rattlesnake! The wind shifted the ice around last night, so it was give up and go home or improvise. We broke through the ice that has accumulated between Ames Farm and the north side of the peninsula. On the south side of the peninsula there is ice damage to docks, including us. By the time we left a little while ago, the ice we broke through had disappeared. A little ice left north of peninsula when we left.

[Merrymeeting]

View from east end of Merrymeeting. Dark area at the top is open water. Should be gone by tomorrow.

[Slickcraft]

Large sheets of ice continue to flow south past Welch afternoon and evening. Tomorrow will accelerate. Wolfeboro Bay May be the only hold out for ice out on Tuesday.

Alan


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[nj2nh]

What a difference a few hours makes!!!!! From our view on Echo Point towards Little Mark, there was nothing but ice yesterday afternoon. This morning, there is absolutely nothing but water!!!!!






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[AC2717]

i hope emerson goes up this morning and declares ice out about 10:22 this morning

[Barney Bear]

Our guess is for 1:23 this afternoon. 🐻

[rsmlp]

Send up the drone!

[Island Girl]

Very frustrating to see little progress in front of my house. I bet Emerson will go up this afternoon to take a look at what the hold up is. We need an icebreaker to plow through the area.

[rsmlp]

Originally Posted by Island Girl

Very frustrating to see little progress in front of my house. I bet Emerson will go up this afternoon to take a look at what the hold up is. We need an icebreaker to plow through the area.

Which is where the preponderance of ice was shown by drone video two days ago (?) so maybe not as much progress as we were hoping.

[Slickcraft]

Coming over to Welch at about noon today we could see a lot of ice east of Rattlesnake. What blew south from this area has jammed up down there. Tomorrow at the earliest.


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[Island Girl]

Pretty scary watching the ice smash into my dock.

[Patofnaud]

Ouch ouch ouch ouch

[Island Girl]

Open water.

[Island Girl]

Still ice out there

[ishoot308]

There was a lot of massive sized ice sheets going by this morning in the broads. It was all piling up between down by Rattlesnake, Diamond and headed towards Parker...

Dan

[Slickcraft]

Last evening we took a ride around Welch. The only solid ice was in the cove and north Welch had a lot of free floating slabs near the shore; no ice on the east, west or south shores of Welch.

We then headed south into the north end of the Broads. There was a solid line of east to west ice starting somewhat north of Rattlesnake and extending southward; photo below. On our way back to Glendale this morning the line was clearly seen at a distance.

[SplendidSplinter9]

Does anyone know what boat launches are open at this time?

[granitebox]

How's Bear Looking? Need to get around to the North side by Nokomis.

[Bear Islander]

North side of Bear looks clear.

Try www.bearchow.com

[ishoot308]

Still a lot of ice flows in the broads between Lake Shore Park and Tuftonborough Neck. Pretty locked in right now...

Dan

[rsmlp]

Originally Posted by ishoot308

Still a lot of ice flows in the broads between Lake Shore Park and Tuftonborough Neck. Pretty locked in right now...

Dan

Methinks the crazy cold we had in Dec/Jan created thicker ice than we anticipated. Gotta be tomorrow

[jeffk]

Tomorrow!
Tomorrow!
I love ya
Tomorrow!

You're always a day away



The ice went out on the pond next to me yesterday. Any time now.

[PENIVISA]

Lots of Ice shifting around in Wolfeboro.

[ishoot308]

From my vantage point in Gilford this morning, The only ice I can see in the broads is on the northern shore along Tuftonborough neck. Everything else looks clear. This should not affect the Mount getting to its ports so most likely ice out will be declared today...

Dan