Is it really going to rain?

[Rose]

Originally Posted by CanisLupusArctos

Remember, a 50% chance of showers (in summer) usually means literally that showers will be scattered around the area in such a way that 50% of all points in the area get a shower, while the other 50% do not.

From the National Weather Service Operations Manual, the Probability of Precipitation (POP) forecast is "The likelihood of occurrence (expressed as a percent) of a precipitation event at any given point in the forecast area. The time period to which the POP applies must be clearly stated (or unambiguously inferred from the forecast wording) since, without this, a numerical POP value is meaningless." (http://www.weather.gov/wsom/manual/a...411.HTML#z8-31)

So if the POP forecast for Laconia is 30%, then there is a 30% chance that Laconia will see precipitation.