[jeffk]

I calculated the mean ice out date from all the recorded occurrences and it is April 19/20.

So after all the nasty winter weather, all the almost 3 foot thick ice measured, and the late start to the thaw we are only about 3 days past the historical mean ice out date. The 3 days is almost statistically insignificant since 3 days is well within 1 standard deviation (+/- 9 days) of the mean. 66% of the data points fall within one standard deviation of the mean.

Weather has a funny way of evening itself out.