Official Ice-Out 2014 Thread

[jeffk]

I calculated the mean ice out date from all the recorded occurrences and it is April 19/20.

So after all the nasty winter weather, all the almost 3 foot thick ice measured, and the late start to the thaw we are only about 3 days past the historical mean ice out date. The 3 days is almost statistically insignificant since 3 days is well within 1 standard deviation (+/- 9 days) of the mean. 66% of the data points fall within one standard deviation of the mean.

Weather has a funny way of evening itself out.

[upthesaukee]

Originally Posted by jeffk

I calculated the mean ice out date from all the recorded occurrences and it is April 19/20.

So after all the nasty winter weather, all the almost 3 foot thick ice measured, and the late start to the thaw we are only about 3 days past the historical mean ice out date. The 3 days is almost statistically insignificant since 3 days is well within 1 standard deviation (+/- 9 days) of the mean. 66% of the data points fall within one standard deviation of the mean.

Weather has a funny way of evening itself out.

I went to Bentley College in Boston, back in the day, and had to take Statistics 101. Can't remember a darn thing from the class, not even the Prof's name. I just remember his welcome the first day : "Welcome to Statistics 101. This is where you will learn how to tell your side of the lie!"

Seriously, love your data...and Mother Nature once again proves she pretty well knows what she is doing.

[upthesaukee]

Number of days thread was up : 24.

Views as of a few minutes ago: 38,205

Avg per day: 1592

Who cares about ice out???? a whole bunch of people!

[Island Girl]

Thank you all for participating in this year's ice-out thread. Your comments, pictures and videos are most valued by those of us who need our ice-out fix. On this forum we can indulge our passion for the Lakes Region. Ice-out has been declared... be safe out there!

Let's have a great season and look for good weather.

Again, thanks for your participation!

IG

[upthesaukee]

There's my guess for Ice In.... oooooopppppssss....wrong thread.

[Island Girl]

Good grief... no ice in yet, uppy!

[GBerg]

In case you like graphs...

[fatlazyless]

Apparently, and somewhat like a frost heaved possessed road that flattens out once the ice underneath melts away .....the Cattle Landing town dock has returned back to horizontal probably thanks to the wind driven waves of late ....... it looked like a level would have it right on the bubble.....as I drove past this morning!

It is a very heavy concrete construction floating dock, held in place by three pylons, and apparently, the wind driven waves of the last 18-hours were enough to shake it loose from its topsy-turvy, somewhat twisted platform performance and return it to a horizontal, all-level and very usable flat surface.

So's .....how abouts that? ....... just like the NH frost heaved roads .....this 125-thousand dollar town dock is smart enuf to self-correct itself.......ayuh!


Will someone please call town hall and tell them to come remove their yellow safety barriers and yellow csi tape because the dock is back to normal except that the three pylons are still all pushed out of position which may not make any difference since the dock sort of functions as a template for alignment, or something.

[Happy Gourmand]

Originally Posted by fatlazyless

Apparently, and somewhat like a frost heaved possessed road that flattens out once the ice underneath melts away .....the Cattle Landing town dock has returned back to horizontal probably thanks to the wind driven waves of late ....... it looked like a level would have it right on the bubble.....as I drove past this morning!

It is a very heavy concrete construction floating dock, held in place by three pylons, and apparently, the wind driven waves of the last 18-hours were enough to shake it loose from its topsy-turvy, somewhat twisted platform performance and return it to a horizontal, all-level and very usable flat surface.

So's .....how abouts that? ....... just like the NH frost heaved roads .....this 125-thousand dollar town dock is smart enuf to self-correct itself.......ayuh!


Will someone please call town hall and tell them to come remove their yellow safety barriers and yellow csi tape because the dock is back to normal except that the three pylons are still all pushed out of position which may not make any difference since the dock sort of functions as a template for alignment, or something.

Either that, or they fixed it!!

[fatlazyless]

Originally Posted by The Phantom Gourmand

Either that, or they fixed it!!

Maybe it was fixed by either the DPW or a construction company but I doubt it, and my best guess is that it was originally damaged by a moving ice sheet and then the big wind driven waves earlier this week were strong enough to shake the wobbly two floating dock sections loose from the three repositioned fiberglass pylons and return them to their normal floating position.

It looks like at least one pylon is damaged enough to need to be replaced, plus maybe two of the dock pylon sockets were slightly twisted out of correct position.

Maybe a seasonal dock that gets removed every thanksgiving could have been used here?

[Music Man]

Well, today is May 12th - imagine if we were setting a new record for ice-out....

[Sal]

My wife's family has a place on Back Oak Lake in northern Wisconsin. The lake is a little smaller than Moultonborough Bay.
Their "ice out" was yesterday, May 12, 2014. Brrrrr.