Quote:
Originally Posted by The Real BigGuy
Susie, your math is wrong. 0.03% is 0.0003. So 5,000,000 at a 0.03% death rate is 1,500 deaths. Based on the estimated mortality rate of COVID-19, using the CDC guess that once all cases are reported it will be 1% worldwide, there would be 50,000 deaths for 5,000,000 cases. Yes, far fewer than the flu in total but scarier because, as someone said previously, it is unknown and there is no vaccine.
I’m close to 70 and I’ve never been scared of the flue. I wasn’t bothered by the bird flu, MERS, SARS, H1N1, and the super flu scares. This scares the crap out of me
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The CDC “guess” indeed. Take at look at Italy. 15k reported. 1k dead already. 1k recovered. 13k ongoing. Depending on how you want to look at those statistics the mortality rate is anywhere from 7.333 to 50%. This is not an insignificant sample.
We don’t know enough yet to make an intelligent guess. If you are young and/or healthy and don’t know anyone that isn’t, Then maybe you are ok.
You still need to worry about any of your healthy friends that do know someone who isn’t.
Follow the advice from CDC and other sources you trust. Best way to get rid of this thing is to take it seriously.
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