The NH Boat Show...

The Real BigGuy · 03-12-2020, 01:06 AM

Susie, your math is wrong. 0.03% is 0.0003. So 5,000,000 at a 0.03% death rate is 1,500 deaths. Based on the estimated mortality rate of COVID-19, using the CDC guess that once all cases are reported it will be 1% worldwide, there would be 50,000 deaths for 5,000,000 cases. Yes, far fewer than the flu in total but scarier because, as someone said previously, it is unknown and there is no vaccine.

I’m close to 70 and I’ve never been scared of the flue. I wasn’t bothered by the bird flu, MERS, SARS, H1N1, and the super flu scares. This scares the crap out of me

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Susie Cougar · 03-12-2020, 02:11 AM

Yes,The Real BigGuy, I’m the one that said there was no vaccine. I was trying to quote Major and give a rebuttal to him. But it sounded like I was agreeing with him instead of disagreeing with him.
The coronavirus is something to be taken very seriously and I don’t believe enough people are doing that yet.

Major · 03-12-2020, 09:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Susie Cougar

Yes,The Real BigGuy, I’m the one that said there was no vaccine. I was trying to quote Major and give a rebuttal to him. But it sounded like I was agreeing with him instead of disagreeing with him.
The coronavirus is something to be taken very seriously and I don’t believe enough people are doing that yet.

Sorry for the false information. You are correct. I heard the 80,000 number on the radio. The number your relate is correct. Worldwide, in a typical flu season, 290,000 to 650,000 die from the flue each year. Like I said before, since we know the risk, we are able to accept it. We are overreacting, in my opinion, to this particular risk.

fatlazyless · 03-12-2020, 09:33 AM

but has local lakes region importance:

From wmur.com ..... the Gov Wentworth SAU school district that includes Tuftonboro, Wolfeboro and four other local towns has CLOSED their schools today, Thursday-March 12 ..... and are looking at Friday-March 13.

Micker · 03-13-2020, 07:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Real BigGuy

Susie, your math is wrong. 0.03% is 0.0003. So 5,000,000 at a 0.03% death rate is 1,500 deaths. Based on the estimated mortality rate of COVID-19, using the CDC guess that once all cases are reported it will be 1% worldwide, there would be 50,000 deaths for 5,000,000 cases. Yes, far fewer than the flu in total but scarier because, as someone said previously, it is unknown and there is no vaccine.

I’m close to 70 and I’ve never been scared of the flue. I wasn’t bothered by the bird flu, MERS, SARS, H1N1, and the super flu scares. This scares the crap out of me

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The CDC “guess” indeed. Take at look at Italy. 15k reported. 1k dead already. 1k recovered. 13k ongoing. Depending on how you want to look at those statistics the mortality rate is anywhere from 7.333 to 50%. This is not an insignificant sample.

We don’t know enough yet to make an intelligent guess. If you are young and/or healthy and don’t know anyone that isn’t, Then maybe you are ok.

You still need to worry about any of your healthy friends that do know someone who isn’t.

Follow the advice from CDC and other sources you trust. Best way to get rid of this thing is to take it seriously.

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03-12-2020, 09:33 AM	#4
fatlazyless Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 8,855 Blog Entries: 1 Thanks: 303 Thanked 1,038 Times in 757 Posts	but has local lakes region importance: From wmur.com ..... the Gov Wentworth SAU school district that includes Tuftonboro, Wolfeboro and four other local towns has CLOSED their schools today, Thursday-March 12 ..... and are looking at Friday-March 13. Last edited by fatlazyless; 03-12-2020 at 10:08 AM.

03-12-2020, 01:06 AM	#1
The Real BigGuy Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 1,310 Thanks: 125 Thanked 473 Times in 288 Posts	Susie, your math is wrong. 0.03% is 0.0003. So 5,000,000 at a 0.03% death rate is 1,500 deaths. Based on the estimated mortality rate of COVID-19, using the CDC guess that once all cases are reported it will be 1% worldwide, there would be 50,000 deaths for 5,000,000 cases. Yes, far fewer than the flu in total but scarier because, as someone said previously, it is unknown and there is no vaccine. I’m close to 70 and I’ve never been scared of the flue. I wasn’t bothered by the bird flu, MERS, SARS, H1N1, and the super flu scares. This scares the crap out of me Sent from my iPhone using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app

03-12-2020, 02:11 AM	#2
Susie Cougar Senior Member Join Date: Aug 2019 Location: Parrish, Florida Posts: 626 Thanks: 297 Thanked 225 Times in 160 Posts	Yes,The Real BigGuy, I’m the one that said there was no vaccine. I was trying to quote Major and give a rebuttal to him. But it sounded like I was agreeing with him instead of disagreeing with him. The coronavirus is something to be taken very seriously and I don’t believe enough people are doing that yet.