Long Duration Snow - New Years 2010

Resident 2B · 12-30-2009, 02:23 PM

It is looking more and more like a sizable and long-duration snow storm hitting us tomorrow through Monday. The first shot of snow will be relatively light, 4" or so. However, the second wave is looking like the real deal, starting Friday night and lasting into Sunday night or Monday.

It looks like a upper level low will develop in the Gulf of Maine and collect lower level support. It should remain stationary and possibly retro-grade back to the west a bit while developing into a very deep low.

If it comes together the way I believe it will, we will be measuring the total snowfall in multiple feet across a very broad area including the lakes region. This is not completely locked in, but it is looking much more possible as time goes on.

R2B

jmen24 · 12-30-2009, 03:05 PM

Thanks for the forecast, now we will hope that it follows your course.

MAXUM · 12-30-2009, 04:11 PM

Have any opinions on how windy it's going to be?

Resident 2B · 12-30-2009, 04:26 PM

I think the wind will be low, almost calm, on Thursday and most of Friday. However, Saturday will be windy from the north or north-north-west, sustained 20 to 25 with gusts into the 30's. The winds will still be around into Monday, still from the north to northwest, but Saturday looks to be the day with the most wind.

This assumes my forecast of a cut-off low is correct. Mother Nature is more in control than anyone that forecasts.

Time will tell!

R2B

MAXUM · 12-30-2009, 05:24 PM

Thanks! Plan to spend the weekend riding the sled north of the notches and while lots of snow is great news, lots of wind can take the fun out of riding if the visibility stinks. Oh well we'll see what happens! I have heard anywhere from 20 to 40" is possible out of this storm, if it holds true that is insane!

Formula260SS · 12-30-2009, 06:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Resident 2B

I think the wind will be low, almost calm, on Thursday and most of Friday. However, Saturday will be windy from the north or north-north-west, sustained 20 to 25 with gusts into the 30's. The winds will still be around into Monday, still from the north to northwest, but Saturday looks to be the day with the most wind.

Wind Wind......when will the wind STOP !!!!

Resident 2B · 12-30-2009, 06:47 PM

It should be close to calm tonight. No idea when it will get calm if we get this storm.

R2B

Pepper · 12-30-2009, 07:47 PM

Looks like I'll be driving hubby's truck to work for a few days!

Resident 2B · 12-30-2009, 07:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pepper

Looks like I'll be driving hubby's truck to work for a few days!

Welcome Back!!!!!!

R2B

Pepper · 12-30-2009, 08:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Resident 2B

Welcome Back!!!!!!

R2B

Sooooo good to be here!

secondcurve · 12-30-2009, 08:56 PM

What has happened to CanisLupusArctos? He has been MIA for two months. Normally he would be all over a storm like this one.

Resident 2B · 12-30-2009, 10:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by secondcurve

What has happened to CanisLupusArctos? He has been MIA for two months. Normally he would be all over a storm like this one.

I usually wait for his lead on storms like this because I have a very high regard for his opinion and he was the motivator of this section of the Winni Forum.

I cannot wait for the next run of the models. This storm in our area could very well happen, but it is not a complete lock. It is very interesting combination of weather systems for those of us that are really into the weather. Somewhere in northern New England, perhaps a large area of northern New England, is going to get a memorable event.

R2B

Chubbs · 12-31-2009, 12:49 AM

Whats your best guess for the Wolfeboro area reguarding snow fall amounts?

Thanks in advance

webmaster · 12-31-2009, 09:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by secondcurve

What has happened to CanisLupusArctos? He has been MIA for two months. Normally he would be all over a storm like this one.

For those who are fans of CLA's reports, he posts an ongoing commentary on the weather at the Lake on his Facebook page. Right now he has over 440 "fans" that get his reports on their news feeds, sometimes several times a day.

I've asked CLA about pushing his Facebook feeds over to a Twitter account so I could include his live feed on this site. Maybe we'll see that in 2010.

I've also set up a Winnipesaukee.com page in Facebook to make it easier for FB members to find the site. Please click here and become a fan.

By the way, you do not have to be a Facebook member to view the FB pages mentioned here.

angela4design · 12-31-2009, 12:17 PM

I have carrots and my snowman kit ready to go!

Pineedles · 12-31-2009, 12:33 PM

If the first wave of the storm hits NH the way its hitting CT right now then get ready to take some zamboni lessons.

hilltopper · 12-31-2009, 01:07 PM

What's this current wave suppose to give the Lakes Region?

Very few meteorologists out there willing to give their total snowfall predictions through Monday...seems everyone is confused and gun shy!

Lakegeezer · 12-31-2009, 02:31 PM

Looks like light snow every day (Thursday-Saturday), with 1-3" depending on where you are. Saturday afternoon into Sunday is the wild card. If the storm moves west off the ocean and if it stays south enough - it looks like a good amount. Lots of ifs from the experts - but slippy roads throughout the holiday period seems to be a given. Its snowing lightly now and the roads are covered with a skim of snow.

hilltopper · 01-02-2010, 10:16 AM

So far this storm has been good for Winni's ice but not so good for the area snowmobile trails. Probably have about 4" of snow in Meredith and that's counting Thurdays accumulation. We'll see what happens over the next 48 hours...

12-30-2009, 02:23 PM	#1
Resident 2B Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: North Shore, MA Posts: 1,358 Thanks: 996 Thanked 314 Times in 164 Posts	Long Duration Snow - New Years 2010 It is looking more and more like a sizable and long-duration snow storm hitting us tomorrow through Monday. The first shot of snow will be relatively light, 4" or so. However, the second wave is looking like the real deal, starting Friday night and lasting into Sunday night or Monday. It looks like a upper level low will develop in the Gulf of Maine and collect lower level support. It should remain stationary and possibly retro-grade back to the west a bit while developing into a very deep low. If it comes together the way I believe it will, we will be measuring the total snowfall in multiple feet across a very broad area including the lakes region. This is not completely locked in, but it is looking much more possible as time goes on. R2B

12-30-2009, 03:05 PM	#2
jmen24 Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,139 Thanks: 223 Thanked 319 Times in 181 Posts	Love It!!!!! Thanks for the forecast, now we will hope that it follows your course.

12-30-2009, 07:47 PM	#8
Pepper Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Laconia, NH Posts: 1,284 Thanks: 409 Thanked 155 Times in 40 Posts	Four-wheel drive ... Looks like I'll be driving hubby's truck to work for a few days! __________________ Never waste time lamenting what was. Simply celebrate what is!

12-31-2009, 02:31 PM	#18
Lakegeezer Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2003 Location: Moultonboro, NH Posts: 1,682 Blog Entries: 1 Thanks: 356 Thanked 641 Times in 292 Posts	Looks like light snow every day (Thursday-Saturday), with 1-3" depending on where you are. Saturday afternoon into Sunday is the wild card. If the storm moves west off the ocean and if it stays south enough - it looks like a good amount. Lots of ifs from the experts - but slippy roads throughout the holiday period seems to be a given. Its snowing lightly now and the roads are covered with a skim of snow. __________________ -lg

The Following 4 Users Say Thank You to Resident 2B For This Useful Post:
DRH (12-31-2009), MAXUM (12-30-2009), SteveA (12-30-2009), trfour (12-30-2009)

12-30-2009, 04:11 PM	#3
MAXUM Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Kuna ID Posts: 2,755 Thanks: 246 Thanked 1,942 Times in 802 Posts	Have any opinions on how windy it's going to be?

12-30-2009, 04:26 PM	#4
Resident 2B Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: North Shore, MA Posts: 1,358 Thanks: 996 Thanked 314 Times in 164 Posts	I think the wind will be low, almost calm, on Thursday and most of Friday. However, Saturday will be windy from the north or north-north-west, sustained 20 to 25 with gusts into the 30's. The winds will still be around into Monday, still from the north to northwest, but Saturday looks to be the day with the most wind. This assumes my forecast of a cut-off low is correct. Mother Nature is more in control than anyone that forecasts. Time will tell! R2B

12-30-2009, 05:24 PM	#5
MAXUM Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Kuna ID Posts: 2,755 Thanks: 246 Thanked 1,942 Times in 802 Posts	Thanks! Plan to spend the weekend riding the sled north of the notches and while lots of snow is great news, lots of wind can take the fun out of riding if the visibility stinks. Oh well we'll see what happens! I have heard anywhere from 20 to 40" is possible out of this storm, if it holds true that is insane!

12-30-2009, 06:47 PM	#7
Resident 2B Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: North Shore, MA Posts: 1,358 Thanks: 996 Thanked 314 Times in 164 Posts	It should be close to calm tonight. No idea when it will get calm if we get this storm. R2B

The Following User Says Thank You to Pepper For This Useful Post:
White Rook (12-31-2009)

12-30-2009, 08:56 PM	#11
secondcurve Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 2,128 Thanks: 1,349 Thanked 564 Times in 291 Posts	What has happened to CanisLupusArctos? He has been MIA for two months. Normally he would be all over a storm like this one.

12-31-2009, 12:49 AM	#13
Chubbs Senior Member Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 82 Thanks: 1 Thanked 5 Times in 4 Posts	Whats your best guess for the Wolfeboro area reguarding snow fall amounts? Thanks in advance

The Following 13 Users Say Thank You to webmaster For This Useful Post:
angela4design (12-31-2009), Blue Thunder (12-31-2009), BroadHopper (01-03-2010), DRH (12-31-2009), eillac@dow (12-31-2009), jmen24 (12-31-2009), Meredith lady (12-31-2009), Mooseyme (12-31-2009), Pepper (01-01-2010), Resident 2B (12-31-2009), secondcurve (01-01-2010), trfour (12-31-2009), White Rook (12-31-2009)

12-31-2009, 12:17 PM	#15
angela4design Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2007 Location: Meredith Posts: 353 Thanks: 45 Thanked 54 Times in 38 Posts	I have carrots and my snowman kit ready to go!

12-31-2009, 12:33 PM	#16
Pineedles Senior Member Join Date: Aug 2004 Location: Moultonborough & CT Posts: 2,549 Thanks: 1,074 Thanked 672 Times in 369 Posts	If the first wave of the storm hits NH the way its hitting CT right now then get ready to take some zamboni lessons.

12-31-2009, 01:07 PM	#17
hilltopper Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Meredith Posts: 727 Thanks: 25 Thanked 109 Times in 70 Posts	What's this current wave suppose to give the Lakes Region? Very few meteorologists out there willing to give their total snowfall predictions through Monday...seems everyone is confused and gun shy!

01-02-2010, 10:16 AM	#19
hilltopper Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Meredith Posts: 727 Thanks: 25 Thanked 109 Times in 70 Posts	So far this storm has been good for Winni's ice but not so good for the area snowmobile trails. Probably have about 4" of snow in Meredith and that's counting Thurdays accumulation. We'll see what happens over the next 48 hours...