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Old 01-17-2012, 07:39 AM   #1
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue Thunder View Post
Somebody said yesterday he didn't think the lake would freeze last night...

Todays satellite pic showing most area lakes have ice...except the Big Lake and Sebago Lake. Not uncommon at all, IMO.

BT
Thanks nice visual. It looks like Squam is open, too.
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Old 01-17-2012, 08:29 AM   #2
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Today's image will be different. Note that on the one posted yesterday, Merrymeeting Lake (dark spot to the right of Alton Bay finger) shows as open.

Until yesterday, it was. But yesterday it skimmed over, with still clear, dark ice. I expect this would show as "open" in a satellite image.

This morning the thin ice is covered with a light layer of snow so it's now white. However, there are already dark spots showing from water coming up along ice cracks. With above freezing temps in the next 24 hours, rain predicted, and then high winds, it will be interesting to see if it lasts.

Next weeks predicted warm temps will also have an impact.
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Old 01-17-2012, 10:30 AM   #3
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today's time lapse on the Weirs cam, just the short light up time there has been today, shows the ice and snow receeding, man am I bummed
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Old 01-17-2012, 02:14 PM   #4
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This year is very similar to 2007. We were looking to buy a place on the lake and ended up taking a boat ride with our realtors on 1/18, by 2/14 we came over on snowmobiles to look again. I believe it will ice over but may be a short window of time.
2007 ice out was April 23rd.
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Old 01-17-2012, 04:48 PM   #5
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It is pouring here in Milton. The temps for the next week do not look overly favorable for rapid ice growth. Next week sounds even warmer.

What do things look like from either Glendale to Mark or Meredith/Sheps to Mark? I need to get out if possible.
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Old 01-17-2012, 05:10 PM   #6
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We stopped by Glendale today. Thin ice from the docks part way to Pig then some open water. Some ice toward light 26 but mostly open water by light 26. Looking from Belknap Point mostly open water toward Welch, Round and Timber.
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Old 01-17-2012, 05:10 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bear Island South View Post
This year is very similar to 2007. We were looking to buy a place on the lake and ended up taking a boat ride with our realtors on 1/18, by 2/14 we came over on snowmobiles to look again. I believe it will ice over but may be a short window of time.
2007 ice out was April 23rd.
Welcome to Bear Island...
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Old 01-18-2012, 10:43 AM   #8
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I woke up about 5 AM this morning because the wind sounded like the house was going to blow down. With the almost 40 degree temps yesterday and all the rain, I expected to see the ice on Merrymeeting mostly gone once the sun was up.

Much to my surprise, the lake is still mostly iced over. A few spots have opened up and all the snow cover is gone. But despite the wind, the open spots don't seem to be getting any larger. The cold temps of the next few days should lock it in.
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Old 01-18-2012, 11:13 AM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Merrymeeting View Post
I woke up about 5 AM this morning because the wind sounded like the house was going to blow down. With the almost 40 degree temps yesterday and all the rain, I expected to see the ice on Merrymeeting mostly gone once the sun was up.

Much to my surprise, the lake is still mostly iced over. A few spots have opened up and all the snow cover is gone. But despite the wind, the open spots don't seem to be getting any larger. The cold temps of the next few days should lock it in.
SWEET!!!
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Old 01-18-2012, 12:40 PM   #10
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I just came back from a drive up to Gilford. Alton Bay is iced almost to the mouth, but it looks paper thin. The broads are completely open and the wind is howling. I followed the shore roads up to Gilford and saw nothing for real ice even along the edges. Nothing at Glendale looking out towards Mark, Round and Timber. Just a bit of ice between the dock fingers.

I stopped at a property in behind Barn Door, there was ice piled up in that sheltered area behind but you could see whitecaps beyond. Stopped at Rum Point as well, wide open and windy.
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Old 01-18-2012, 05:06 PM   #11
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Wind Wind Go Away, Come on back another day
Wind Wind Go Away, Come on back another day
Wind Wind Go Away, Come on back another day
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Old 01-18-2012, 06:14 PM   #12
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Anyone have eyes on Meredith Bay? How's it holding up to all this wind?
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Old 01-18-2012, 07:12 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bear Island South View Post
This year is very similar to 2007. We were looking to buy a place on the lake and ended up taking a boat ride with our realtors on 1/18, by 2/14 we came over on snowmobiles to look again. I believe it will ice over but may be a short window of time.
2007 ice out was April 23rd.


am i right assuming that is Island Service Company's boat?
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Old 01-19-2012, 10:18 AM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by winniboy View Post
am i right assuming that is Island Service Company's boat?
yes it is...Buddy brought us over from Cattle Landing.
We had to break through a few hundred feet of ice before we hit open water
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Old 01-19-2012, 11:04 AM   #15
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Are there any companies like Emerson that fly over the lake to declare "Ice-In"?
Wondering if the Broads were iced over today???
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Old 01-19-2012, 10:31 PM   #16
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yes it is...Buddy brought us over from Cattle Landing.
We had to break through a few hundred feet of ice before we hit open water
thats my dad lol
..



great pictures and a positive update.. glad to see the bay looking icy
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Old 01-20-2012, 08:15 AM   #17
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Default Ice-In Sunrises

Ice showing on most of the webcams - can we declare ice-in
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Old 01-20-2012, 10:52 AM   #18
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Default ice

anyone know if it is frozen over near ellacoya, i know thats usually one of the last places to freeze?
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Old 01-20-2012, 01:16 PM   #19
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Default Broads Ice

That skim of ice didn't hold up. Must have been windy yesterday. I hope the ice that's there now can hold up through next week's warm up and wind. Snow now would be bad.
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Old 01-20-2012, 01:35 PM   #20
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Photo taken today from Belknap Point Road looking out between Welch and Forty Islands. It looks about the same looking out from Ellacoya toward the Broads. A lot of blue water out there.

The area looking out from Glendale is skimmed over out past light 26.
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Old 01-20-2012, 08:50 PM   #21
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Default Nice Shot

Quote:
Originally Posted by Slickcraft View Post
Photo taken today from Belknap Point Road looking out between Welch and Forty Islands. It looks about the same looking out from Ellacoya toward the Broads. A lot of blue water out there.

The area looking out from Glendale is skimmed over out past light 26.
That's a nice shot of the lake right there Slickcraft. Thanks !
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Old 01-26-2012, 08:15 AM   #22
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Quote:
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am i right assuming that is Island Service Company's boat?
Winniboy, I know Island Services does a lot of island work during the winter month's, have they started any yet? If so how are crossing the ice?
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Old 01-26-2012, 01:06 PM   #23
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Winniboy, I know Island Services does a lot of island work during the winter month's, have they started any yet? If so how are crossing the ice?
Still not on the island yet, they have a project on bear for the winter building a new house. Ice is to think for boats but to thin to cross (safely) with snowmobiles. they are waiting for the ice to solid up a little bit, if it doesn't they can break out the fan boat.
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Old 01-26-2012, 01:20 PM   #24
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Default Still too thin

For a lot of the lake, the ice is still too thin for even the air boats. They weigh a lot and will break through, creating rivers of water. The wind can use these rivers to break up what ice there is and the lake will never freeze. Given the forecast for the next week, growing much ice is iffy at best.

In a couple of days we will start with our ice-out guesses. How about March 1st?? !!!

IG
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Old 01-26-2012, 01:31 PM   #25
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For a lot of the lake, the ice is still too thin for even the air boats. They weigh a lot and will break through, creating rivers of water. The wind can use these rivers to break up what ice there is and the lake will never freeze. Given the forecast for the next week, growing much ice is iffy at best.

In a couple of days we will start with our ice-out guesses. How about March 1st?? !!!

IG
The air boats can go out on water if needed. We will not be going out if not needed. id say april 1st
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Old 01-26-2012, 01:36 PM   #26
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Default Understood

Yup, drove one myself s few years back! As the ice gets thin, I love the undulating ice behind the air boat. It looks like waves of water but is really waves of thin punky ice. I think i have a movie of riding in the airboat somewhere on http://rattlesnakecam.com/pictures.htm. If not I will put one there in the next day or so.

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Old 01-26-2012, 01:54 PM   #27
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Some airboats dont do as much damage to the ice. The yellow 1000 Islands that I had was great. I could easily traverse from water to ice without plowing through like the standard square hulls do. I rode in the ISS airboat last spring a week or so before ice-out, it is the traditional flat bottom square nose style. It had a tough time getting on top of the ice, granted there were 5 of us in the boat.

March 1 sounds great to me!
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Old 01-26-2012, 04:03 PM   #28
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I'm new here to the forum, but have been keeping a watchful eye trying to find out how the ice is developing on the lake. Me and my family come up each year (about 15 years now) for the derby and we would like to fish the channel by Governors Island. I know there is usually open water under the bridge but what does the rest of the nearby area look like? I'd like to get out to the point in between Governors Island and Weir's beach.
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Old 01-26-2012, 08:57 PM   #29
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Island Girl View Post
For a lot of the lake, the ice is still too thin for even the air boats. They weigh a lot and will break through, creating rivers of water. The wind can use these rivers to break up what ice there is and the lake will never freeze. Given the forecast for the next week, growing much ice is iffy at best.

In a couple of days we will start with our ice-out guesses. How about March 1st?? !!!

IG
You know if that ever happens, we will be the World Poster child for global warming.
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Old 01-26-2012, 09:46 PM   #30
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Hope you enjoy the forum and the lakes region.
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Old 01-26-2012, 06:06 PM   #31
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Still not on the island yet, they have a project on bear for the winter building a new house. Ice is to think for boats but to thin to cross (safely) with snowmobiles. they are waiting for the ice to solid up a little bit, if it doesn't they can break out the fan boat.
Poor Erne is never going to get his camp finished
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Old 01-26-2012, 10:06 PM   #32
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Poor Erne is never going to get his camp finished
oh itl get done, they were still on boats untill last week or so, making good progress on it.
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Old 01-27-2012, 11:10 AM   #33
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Default Apologies for this question

Have there ever been two ice outs?
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Old 01-27-2012, 12:29 PM   #34
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Have there ever been two ice outs?
Great question! Yes, there were - but not officially. I forget the year, but ice-out was declared, the Mt. Washington routes were open - the winner of the contest was declared. Then, some wind blew an ice-flow back into the boat's route and unofficially it was not ice-out any more. True story, but the official statistics of ice-out over the years do not reflect it.
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Old 01-27-2012, 12:37 PM   #35
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I remember that, Lakegeezer. I think it was mid-week and the ice floes were gone by the weekend when I opened my camp... So no danger of my boat being hit by a wandering berg!

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Old 01-27-2012, 07:14 PM   #36
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How's the ice doing lately with the milder temps and the rain?
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Old 01-28-2012, 05:14 PM   #37
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Default Glendale

We took a look by the town docks today, there is water between the docks but iced over elsewhere. No indication that anyone has been out onto the ice to fish nor has anyone attempted to get a bob house onto the ice from there. The town has plowed what snow there was so as to partially block access to the area left of the docks where bob houses are normally towed onto the ice.
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Old 01-28-2012, 08:21 PM   #38
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I was out on Merrymeeting today. A layer of water, covered by slushy ice.

A friend who was fishing said the holes he drilled were ~6". It appears that the rain yesterday is still sitting on top of the ice. The ice below must be fairly good or the water would have drained by now. Then the sleet/ice of late yesterday covered over the top.

At the same time, there are a few areas of the lake that were iced over before that are now open (areas where streams or springs enter the lake). I also saw parts of the Merrymeeting River that had opened up that were frozen last week.

Finally, I drove over the Merrimack River today. Two weeks ago saw large ice floes in the water. Today, nothing, just water.
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Old 01-29-2012, 10:32 AM   #39
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I was there Friday. Drove by Meredith and through Center Harbor and up to Moultonborough. Certainly was pleny of open water no matter where we looked.
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Old 01-29-2012, 12:31 PM   #40
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Well, I admit that my winter prediction made a month ago did not materialize. It got cold in the middle of the month as I expected, but the cold did not last long and from there it warmed up again, something I did not think would happen.

Looking forward, this coming week the temperatures will be above normal and the following week looks to be below normal. After that, it looks like the temperatures will moderate and be at or above normal into early March. This is not to say there will not be any cold days, but on average it does not look to be all that cold. This winter just does not seem to want to act like a New England winter.

As you all can see, the days are getting longer and the sun is getting stronger. In fact the historically coldest time of the year is Jan 22 to Jan 26 and that is now behind us. All of this will result in only a minor building of the ice, most likely between next weekend and the derby. After that the higher sun angle and the longer days will start to kick in.

Again, I could be wrong and I have been more wrong this year than I have been right with these long range forecasts. Sorry about that. I also realize this is bad news to some and good news to others, but in the end it looks like this will go down as a very mild winter.

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