Official 2015 Ice-Out Thread

[depasseg]

Anyone up for for some tubing?

[Misha888]

that my Sat. or Sun. 11 a.m. prediction is good.

I can't remember which day guessed. Does anyone have the link to where the predictions are?

FOUND It: http://www.winnipesaukee.com/contests/2015/

I'd be more confident if my guess was Sat. @ 11:37 a.m.

Originally Posted by depasseg

Don't beat yourself up. I had yesterday!

[Rich]

My guess may be close (this Thursday)! If it was only a bit warmer (I wonder if they will check for ice-out on a rainy day?):

April 23rd at 2:15 pm
http://www.winnipesaukee.com/contest...x.cgi?read=609

[gokart-mozart]

Lake Wentworth is ice-free at sunrise today, 4-21-15.

Ice-in 2015 guesses start now.

[Fargo]

Lilly Pond went out last Thursday so Winni goes a week later. Should be this Thursday.

[Paugus bay girl]

Paugus went out late Sunday night, early Monday morning. I left for work at 11:30 AM yesterday and it was all gone. I want to get the boats and kayaks in!

[Pine Island Guy]

Sunday morning was wide open... today, not so much! -PIG

[pjard]

Just drove from Smith Cove down to Ames Farm....some ice near Smith Cove but as you head south it is totally open. The broads looks completely clear.

[Island Girl]

We put the boat in Saturday... all dressed up and nowhere to go!

[Chaos]

A lot of the web cams are showing open water. I wonder if the ice will make it to Saturday (my ice out guess).

[Paugus bay girl]

Originally Posted by Pine Island Guy

Sunday morning was wide open... today, not so much! -PIG

all of that will melt pretty quick though.The same thing happened on Paugus, all the ice floated to the shore then it was gone by the next day.

[JerseyGuy]

Wentworth Cove was jammed up this morning and ice free this afternoon. It looks quite clear in front of the Weirs cam too. I'm thinking maybe even tomorrow.

[Patofnaud]

Ice Out isn't going to happen until Thursday at 3:33 in the afternoon, exactly.

[Ryan]

I'd be surprised if it isn't within 24 hours. Ice that filled the cove this morning is completely gone.

[Island Girl]

My unscientific calculation is that there are 45 guesses for the 22nd, 41 for the 23rd and 31 for the 24th.

My guess was today about an hour ago, April 21st. There is still ice in front of my camp, so I lose...again.. All day I thought my guess was the 23rd. Must do something about my memory!


Happy Spring, Happy Ice-Out to all

[Island Girl]

From Emerson Aviation. Click on one of the pictures then you can go forward or backward for all of them.

https://www.facebook.com/permalink.p...31847876851023


IG

[2DAMTS]

Thursday 4/23/15 at noon ice out!

[Blue Thunder]

Ice out on Sebago was yesterday. If history is any indication, Sebago and Winnipesaukee are always within 3-4 days of each other.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Island Girl]

A beautiful morning captured on a webcam.

[SIKSUKR]

Originally Posted by Blue Thunder

Ice out on Sebago was yesterday. If history is any indication, Sebago and Winnipesaukee are always within 3-4 days of each other.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

I thought Sebago only froze about 1/4 of the time?

[ishoot308]

Originally Posted by Island Girl

A beautiful morning captured on a webcam.

That is just an awesome pic Island Girl!!

Thanks for sharing!!!

Dan

[jazzman]

Looks like the ice is all flowing down the Broads... There is plenty down near BarnDoor Island still.

[Slickcraft]

Clear of ice from Fay's to Welch today. It was great to be able to look across to Belknap Point from Welch.

No ice damage at our camp nor did we see any damage walking two camps north and south.

[Island Girl]

View from Brookwoods Conference Center in Alton. This was full of ice a couple of hours ago. Though not quite clear.... it is gettin' there!

[Merrymeeting]

I think we could have ice-out on Merrymeeting sometime around sunset today. The few remaining ice packs are being gently pushed by the wind into the northern coves, breaking up, and disappearing quickly.

We seem to have had an almost perfect ice-out this year. With a few exceptions (like picture post in "Ice monster awakens" thread), the ice has receded/melted in place, and what little movement there was has been relatively gentle with no large ice masses slamming into things.

Despite the bitterly cold winter, and some with doubts, Mother Nature has once again delivered an average time ice-out.

[Island Girl]

These images are four minutes apart starting at 2:13 PM (bottom image) until 2:53 PM (top left image). It is going fast!

[Jersey Ed]

Yep, going fast, I've been watching the Wolfboro cam and that seems to be where it is going.

[Dad sold the C * C]

I have not seen any ice on the big part of Winnisquam since early yesterday morning. My camera looks south east towards Laconia.
Sorry can't do pics from work.

[AC2717]

Send the Plane UP!!!!!!!!

[Merrymeeting]

Originally Posted by AC2717

Send the Plane UP!!!!!!!!

See Emerson Aviation Facebook page.

[NewHaHagirl]

Ok, newbie question. Who actually makes the decision on when it's "ice-out"? And does the Mount actually make the trip once ice out is declared?

Thanks!

[Fargo]

Wind has been gusting at the lake this evening. I'll be amazed if any ice left will last through the night.

[Rattlesnake Gal]

Originally Posted by NewHaHagirl

Ok, newbie question. Who actually makes the decision on when it's "ice-out"? And does the Mount actually make the trip once ice out is declared?

Thanks!

Emerson Aviaion declares ice-out.

No, the Mount does not leave her Center Harbor winter dock until the Shakedown Cruise.

Welcome to the Forum, NewHaHagirl!

[NewHaHagirl]

Thank you Rattlesnake Girl! Shakedown Cruise???

[Merrymeeting]

Originally Posted by NewHaHagirl

Thank you Rattlesnake Girl! Shakedown Cruise???

The first cruise of the season. By invite only (and a very coveted invite it is!). Usually some time in early May, in preparation for the first big cruise of the year...Mother's Day!

[pjard]

If you look at the Emerson footage and all the web cams it looks like the east side of Rattlesnake and Wolfeboro bay have ice. I didn't see any other ice except in the Captain 'n Diet I just poured. This wind could do the trick overnight. Tomorrow may be the day!

[Rattlesnake Gal]

Originally Posted by NewHaHagirl

Thank you Rattlesnake Girl! Shakedown Cruise???

This first cruise of the year actually serves as a state inspection. As Merrymeeting stated, it is a big media event that occurs before the first public cruise of the year on Mother's Day. Very often state and local official are invited as well as many members of the tourism industry.

Here is the link for the Shakedown Cruise from 2012

[MikeF-NH]

one of the areas of the lake that does not get good visibility from webcams and that Emerson seems to skip is the water from Moultonboro Bay out to Hole in the Wall past Chases Island and Chase Point.

Does anyone have any visibility in that area of the lake? If so, how close is it to being able to take a boat ride from say 19 Mile Bay to Hole in the Wall or Long Island Bridge area???

[Rattlesnake Gal]

Does this help?

[Lakegeezer]

All of Moultonborough Bay, from Melvin Bay north, is free of ice.

[pontoonbarge]

Well, as I obsessively watch the melting -- eagerly waiting for the official beginning of summertime..... I'm psyched to see so much motion in the ice today!!

I note that I'm not alone in this obsession... 36000+ views on this thread.

Maybe a big "Hooray for Melting Ice" will help it dissipate!

Looking forward to seeing everyone out having fun on the __melted__ ice quite soon!

Best Wishes!!

-PB

[Rich]

Let's just get everyone that lives near the lake to take drive down to their local shore line in their car, then turn the heat up high in their car and open the windows!

For those of you on any islands or waterfront homes, please do the same, crank up any thermostats on your heat, and/or light any wood-stoves and fireplaces, then open your windows on the lake side of your home.

This should put us over the edge and give us ice out tomorrow!

[chasedawg]

Originally Posted by MikeF-NH

one of the areas of the lake that does not get good visibility from webcams and that Emerson seems to skip is the water from Moultonboro Bay out to Hole in the Wall past Chases Island and Chase Point.

Does anyone have any visibility in that area of the lake? If so, how close is it to being able to take a boat ride from say 19 Mile Bay to Hole in the Wall or Long Island Bridge area???

I was out today past Chase Island and took a ride out to chase Point. Did not see any ice on water even towards hole In wall. I would say ice is definite out in that area

[smith point boater]

Most of the cams (esp Rattlesnake) that showed ice yesterday look clear this AM. Maybe today is the day - or wishful thinking

[MikeF-NH]

Originally Posted by Rattlesnake Gal

Does this help?

Thanks RSG....I've been watching that shot on the ice out page but unfortunately it doesn't help. Historically, the ice can be stubborn from Chase Point out to Hole in the Wall/Six Pack/Barbers Pole which prevents travel through to the Broads from Melvin. That particular area seems to be a blind spot for webcams and because it is irrelevant to the Ice Out call by Emerson, it doesn't get any pictures when he makes his flights this time of year. I think this requires "boots on the ground".

[pjard]

Originally Posted by smith point boater

Most of the cams (esp Rattlesnake) that showed ice yesterday look clear this AM. Maybe today is the day - or wishful thinking

Agree the change off Rattlesnake is amazing. However, Wolfeboro Bay still looks jammed. Can't be very strong or thick...maybe today.

[CrownRay]

Here you go...

[Rich]

I didn't think to ask those with long hair to get out some electrical extension cords and bring your hair dryers down to the edge of the lake, set them on high, an point them at the water!

Let's get this baby warmed up!

[Rich]

Perhaps it's the wind pushing all the ice to this corner of the lake, but the last traces of ice I can see on the various webcams at 10:00 AM is in Wolfeboro:


(this image is live from the webcam and will change every time you view this thread)

Perhaps everyone should head to the Wofeboro docks and pour in a few cups of hot water!?!?!

[Broken Glass]

Yesterday I completed a shakedown cruise on my new motor that was installed this winter by Dave's Motorboat. Minge cove to Paugus Bay and back without any major ice. there were a few ice flows by Welch and quite a bit of big ice east northeast of Rattlesnake. I am back out to Rattlesnake this morning and the run out from Minge had no ice is sight. Motor is awesome! If you are looking for a new four stroke Dave and Kate will take good care of you.
Now I have to get to work and stop staring at the webcam........

[Accipiter290]

Originally Posted by Broken Glass

Now I have to get to work and stop staring at the webcam........

I should be doing the same but I keep coming back here for updates every 5-6 minutes

[Island Girl]

How is the wind on the broads side of Rattlesnake?

Originally Posted by Broken Glass

Yesterday I completed a shakedown cruise on my new motor that was installed this winter by Dave's Motorboat. Minge cove to Paugus Bay and back without any major ice. there were a few ice flows by Welch and quite a bit of big ice east northeast of Rattlesnake. I am back out to Rattlesnake this morning and the run out from Minge had no ice is sight. Motor is awesome! If you are looking for a new four stroke Dave and Kate will take good care of you.
Now I have to get to work and stop staring at the webcam........

[PENIVISA]

Wow .......How exciting! If I have to explain you wouldn't understand.

[Broken Glass]

The winds are brisk west northwest. There are no whitecaps but there is a stiff chop.

[ishoot308]

Originally Posted by Broken Glass

Yesterday I completed a shakedown cruise on my new motor that was installed this winter by Dave's Motorboat. Minge cove to Paugus Bay and back without any major ice. there were a few ice flows by Welch and quite a bit of big ice east northeast of Rattlesnake. I am back out to Rattlesnake this morning and the run out from Minge had no ice is sight. Motor is awesome! If you are looking for a new four stroke Dave and Kate will take good care of you.
Now I have to get to work and stop staring at the webcam........

Yo Broken Glass...don't leave us in suspense! What kind of motor did Dave put on for you??

Yes, Dave does great work!!

Good luck with your new motor and your new island home!!

Dan

[Pricestavern]

Broken Glass - did you notice any dock damage in your travels around Rattlesnake?

[Broken Glass]

Originally Posted by ishoot308

Yo Broken Glass...don't leave us in suspense! What kind of motor did Dave put on for you??

Yes, Dave does great work!!

Good luck with your new motor and your new island home!!

Dan

Hi Dan
Dave removed my 250HP OX66 Yamaha 2-stroke (2001) (a real mosquito killer), and installed a 300HP Yamaha Four Stroke. Need I say night and day!!Love the new motor but more thrilled to be back out on the island working on the camp.
Thanks,
Dan

PS The motor is on my 2001 Grady White 248 Voyager "Good Stuff". she is my lake Suburban. It carries lumber, people, and is a great fishing boat to boot!!

[Broken Glass]

Originally Posted by Pricestavern

Broken Glass - did you notice any dock damage in your travels around Rattlesnake?

I did not see an damage on Rattlesnake but I did see a bit of damage on Governors Island

[Rattlesnake Gal]

Wolfeboro Bay is the last hold out.
There is also some ice near Little Barndoor Island to Black Point.

[Island Girl]

In addition to RG's photo from Dave Emerson, is Wolfeboro Harbor. It has been very stubborn. If you go to Corinthian Yacht Club Web Cam you can see the water moving and the ice standing still. Maybe we can take Wolfeboro off the Mount's ports and declare ice out.

IG

[Island Girl]

Some brave person needs to go out there and break a hole in that ice in Wolfeboro, then the wind will take care of the rest. In the meantime I will be packing for an island excursion tomorrow.

IG

[chasedawg]

I'm in Wolfeboro and there is ice all the way out on the East side of the bay where the Mount makes it's passage to the dock landing. Sorry to say no ice out today

[madeinusa69]

Smooth sailing only seems to come once a year in Melvin Bay.

From http://www.melvinvillagemarina.com/webcam.html

[nhd]

We went from Melvin Village Marina to Pier 19 and Little Bear Island with no issues today. Looked like it was snowing in the Ossipees as we were leaving. Some pretty good size branches down in our yard... not a lot of leaves though!

[billy]

Originally Posted by Island Girl

Some brave person needs to go out there and break a hole in that ice in Wolfeboro, then the wind will take care of the rest. In the meantime I will be packing for an island excursion tomorrow.

IG

me too!! got the boat ready for launch today in the snow storm

[jazzman]

I feel honored to be the proud owner of the last of the ice

It has started to finally started to open some today though.

Looks like there are some pretty thick chunks too

[Island Girl]

There is still ice in Chestnut cove. While this does not impact the Mount getting to her ports, it could float elsewhere and become a hazard to boaters. With the wind blowing from the west, that is not likely.

[Irish Choppers]

Had dinner at Lago a few weeks ago and they were running an "Ice out" contest. Donate $5.00 to the Meredith food pantry and take a shot at guessing ice out. Winner gets dinner for six! My guess was 4/24 at 1:30 PM

Who's hungry???

[pjard]

Love their chicken parm...I'm in!

[Resident 2B]

Originally Posted by Irish Choppers

Had dinner at Lago a few weeks ago and they were running an "Ice out" contest. Donate $5.00 to the Meredith food pantry and take a shot at guessing ice out. Winner gets dinner for six! My guess was 4/24 at 1:30 PM

Who's hungry???

Great guess! Good luck!

Great idea by Lago doing a fun thing while helping people in need.

R2B

[smith point boater]

With the wind and water movement this morning its hard to believe any remaining ice would survive. Don't even see any "icebergs" like the last few days

[FWF]

Drove the boat from Thurstons Marina to the end of Alton Bay, all clear, very little debris, ice out soon!


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

[Blue Thunder]

Originally Posted by SIKSUKR

I thought Sebago only froze about 1/4 of the time?

For the most part that is true but this year it froze completely....I have a video of us crashing through 5 inches of rotten candle ice last Saturday on my Iphone but I can't seem to figure out how to post it here.

[Bernie Girl]

Originally Posted by jazzman

I feel honored to be the proud owner of the last of the ice

It has started to finally started to open some today though.

Looks like there are some pretty thick chunks too

Great to see your dock and breakwater all in one piece! Hope ours looks the same!

[Rich]

Now we only need to watch the Wolfeboro web cam: http://www.wolfeborocam.com/images/camera0.jpg

When the ice is gone, it's ICE OUT (Plus or Minus Emerson Aviation makging their check flight).

[Just Sold]

I agree that Wolfeboro's Ice is holding up the ICE Out but if you look at the Web Cam at Trexlers they still have an ice blockage out in front of their place. Won't change Ice but will limit travel under the LI Bridge.

[Island Girl]

This could present a dilemma for Mr. Emerson. The declaration of Ice-Out may still leave large chunks of ice for some folks including the Long Island Bridge area, Winter Harbor, and the area east of Barndoor Island including Chestnut Cove. Here is Chestnut Cove now. Also interesting is that the water temp was 41 degrees a couple of days ago, but today it is 39. A very different ice-out indeed.

[Island Girl]

A very stubborn patch of ice has Wolfeboro socked in still. Again, we need a brave soul with a strong boat to go an break that stuff up so the pieces will smash into each other and dissipate.

[bigdog]

Does anyone have the link for the Forum member projections for ice-out?

I think I had Apr.22 maybe?

Thanks,
Bigdog

[Island Girl]

April 10, 12:00pm
Bigdog -- Tuesday, 3 February 2015, at 8:31 p.m.

[Pineedles]

Send the Mount into Wolfeboro harbor to breakup that ice-pack and let's get summer going!!!

[AC2717]

looks like it could squeak around the ice left to get to her dock
c'mon

[paulvanslooten]

Hello @jazzman! its your next door neighbor (to the right) hope you are well! your dock looks in great shape considering all that damn ice out there (no pun intended). would you please take a pic of our dock to see if it has fared as well as yours has? cant wait to get up there! so long for now- see you soon (god willing this ice actually goes out!)

[Rich]

Hi to the Barndoorians! I have a relative that has a home on the Wolfeboro side of Barn Door.

[Accipiter290]

Will there be another pass over Wolfeboro today? Cuz it's gotta be justttttt about time to make the call!

[Just Sold]

Not Quite yet - Ice flow to Port!

[tis]

WMUR just said ice out was declared less than an hour ago!!

[Island Girl]

Hooray!!! Let summer begin.

[Puffin]

https://www.facebook.com/pages/Emers...851023?fref=ts

[NHBassMaster]

It's official!! 4:34pm on 4/24
Goodbye winter!! Hello Summer!!

[salty dog]

Fantastic!!!!

[pjard]

Excellent news...I'm going swimming!

[smith point boater]

Thank you to Emerson Air for the Daily updates and more importantly the GREAT news!!!!

[luckypete]

I had 3:56 pm 4/24...how did I do?

[Greene's Basin Girl]

Just like last year I picked the right day, but the wrong time of day!

[tis]

Originally Posted by luckypete

I had 3:56 pm 4/24...how did I do?

You did great! You came in second. Congratulations!

[soxfan]

Any idea who won the Lago contest for charity or was it one in the same ??

[vmlite84]

Exactly what are the prizes for the 3 winners,, first year I ever entered...

[webmaster]

Originally Posted by vmlite84

Exactly what are the prizes for the 3 winners,, first year I ever entered...

Winners can choose an item from our online store or a Bizer chart. It's in the contest rules.

[Island Girl]

Sometime is it so hard to watch the ice melt and it just does not happen fast enough. We keep clicking on this thread and the webcams. We click a lot... a whole lot... just how much you ask!

While waiting for the ice to melt I did a bit on fact gathering and here is how much you have clicked on the threads since Ice-Out 2006, when I first started the annual Ice-Out Thread. (the colors are the ice-in\ice-out pairs for a given year) You were very anxious in 2012!

Thanks to all who participated in this year's Ice-Out thread!
Enjoy
IG

	Thread	Last Post	Replies	Views	Year
	Ice-Out 2012	3/26/12 8:44 PM	276	83,034	2012
	Island Girl	by winniboy
	Official 2013 Ice-Out Thread	4/19/13 2:30 PM	341	65,438	2013
	Island Girl	by snowflake
	Ice-In 2012-13	3/10/13 9:01 AM	369	59,371	2012
	Island Girl	by Merrymeeting
	Official Ice-Out 2014 Thread	5/13/14 9:19 AM	258	54,070	2014
	Island Girl	by Sal
	The Official Ice Out 2011 Reports	5/2/11 8:58 AM	140	48,336	2011
	Island Girl	by Lawn Psycho
	Official 2013-14 Ice-In Thread	2/13/2014 10:25	242	46,611	2014
	Island Girl	by webmaster
	Official 2013-14 Ice-In Thread	2/13/14 10:25 AM	242	46,598	2013
	Island Girl	by webmaster
	Official 2015 Ice-Out Thread	Today 11:27 AM	298	46,464	2015
	Island Girl	by webmaster
	Ice-Out 2008	4/27/08 4:04 PM	214	40,298	2008
	Island Girl	by DayDreamer
	Ice-Out 2009	4/13/09 7:53 AM	204	36,405	2009
	Island Girl	by hazelnut
	Ice-Out 2007	4/25/07 11:34 AM	190	33,981	2007
	Island Girl	by AC2717
	Ice-in Watch 2006	3/6/06 6:43 AM	221	32,497	2006
	Island Girl	by Diamond Isle
	Official 2010 Ice-Out Thread	3/25/10 1:24 AM	177	32,427	2010
	Island Girl	by trfour
	Ice-in Watch 2007	2/15/07 9:09 PM	270	30,434	2007
	Island Girl	by Mee-n-Mac
	Ice-Out Watch 2006	4/2/06 1:40 PM	177	26,355	2006
	Island Girl	by webmaster
	Official 2015 Ice-In Thread	3/14/15 7:48 AM	110	21,762	2015
	Island Girl	by Blue Thunder
	The Official 2010 Ice-in Thread	1/24/10 5:11 PM	118	21,345	2010
	Island Girl	by riverat
	The Official 2011 Ice-in Thread	1/22/11 6:59 PM	79	21,161	2011
	Island Girl	by Waterbaby
	Ice-out Watch 2005	4/22/05 11:53 AM	133	19,101	2005
	Island Girl	by LongIslandfun
	Ice-in Watch 2007-2008	2/18/08 12:33 PM	118	18,002	2008
	Island Girl	by liberator211
	2009 Ice-In	1/26/2009 19:02	45	7,900	2009
	Island Girl	by Island Girl