Covid-19 Poll of the Lakes Region

[Andromeda321]

I think this poll is frankly not very useful when we all know that testing is in no way available for the number of people who want to be tested.

[jeffk]

Can I change my vote? I now know someone who has TESTED positive.

[Lakegeezer]

Originally Posted by jeffk

Can I change my vote? I now know someone who has TESTED positive.

Sorry Jeffk. I don't think there is a way to change your vote. I realized that shortly after the poll went up. Perhaps we should start a new one at the beginning of each week and watch how it changes.

[ApS]

Originally Posted by Lakegeezer

Sorry Jeffk. I don't think there is a way to change your vote. I realized that shortly after the poll went up. Perhaps we should start a new one at the beginning of each week and watch how it changes.

Good idea.

Today, a retired Army doctor has put forth his dispassionate opinion of how COVID-19 will proceed. Since he's addressed other questioners, I've shortened his response for clarity:

"The new deaths will continue to increase until the impact of our isolation program kicks in. We will see the number of new deaths start to increase then.. think of it as a supply chain.

"[T]hink of it as a roller coaster train going up a hill. The new infected are in the front car, the mild in the next, the seriously ill in the next, and the dying in the last.

"Obviously, the dying are going to be the 'last over the hump'. That will happen next weekend some time and the number of total [US] dead will be around 5,000 which is what I sort of guessed days ago.

"The scary part will be when half of that comes in just 24 to 36 hours. People may panic. Don’t. It’s to be expected".

I think he's got a handle on this "viral" epidemic, and plan to ask for corrections following this weekend. Much depends on how well our citizens have "sheltered-in-place" or should have isolated themselves.

[SailinAway]

This poll is a bit disconnected from reality. It needs the following additional options:

(X) I know someone who has COVID-19.

( ) I have been diagnosed with COVID-19.

( ) I know someone who died of COVID-19.

(X) I or someone I know couldn't get treatment for another urgent illness due to hospitals overrun with COVID-19 cases.

(X) I know someone who died because they couldn't get treatment for another illness due to COVID-19.

(X) I had to postpone elective surgery due to COVID-19.

I've checked four of the above. COVID-19 has impacted me in other ways. Many of my clients are in New York City and China. A friend in France is at great risk because she needs radiation therapy for stage IV cancer. Another friend is on lockdown in Germany. I thank God I procrastinated about elective surgery because my aftercare would have put me in danger. If you don't feel impacted by COVID-19 you must be living in some kind of really small local bubble, or a mental bubble.

People who are fixated on the low number of cases in New Hampshire aren't seeing the bigger picture of the pandemic. This is surprising, when you look at the big red dot on the virus map at https://www.nytimes.com/ We are on the fringe of the expanding epicenter. The main error of our government has been its failure to act until forced to, and to deny the reality of the crisis. It's the same with people who don't see the need for social distancing and closing businesses in New Hampshire: by the time you realize that yes, YOU are in a pandemic, it will be too late. Same for those who keep comparing COVID-19 to H1N1 etc: by the time you realize that this is very different, it will be too late. The way this poll was phrased reflects denial of the severity of the situation.

[Lakegeezer]

Originally Posted by SailinAway

This poll is a bit disconnected from reality. The way this poll was phrased reflects denial of the severity of the situation.

As the author of the poll, I agree. It was created over two weeks ago when there was no testing available and far back the exponential curve. It is unfortunate that people can't change their votes, so that we'd have a current understanding of the local situation. The local hospitals are still not overrun, but are getting prepared to be. Already, people are denied treatment for non Covid19 issues. In a few months, we can have another poll to record local history, rather than the impossible task of reporting the current situation.

[JEEPONLY]

"Mental bubble"!!!

Best part of your post!

[SailinAway]

Originally Posted by Lakegeezer

As the author of the poll, I agree. It was created over two weeks ago when there was no testing available and far back the exponential curve. It is unfortunate that people can't change their votes, so that we'd have a current understanding of the local situation. The local hospitals are still not overrun, but are getting prepared to be. Already, people are denied treatment for non Covid19 issues. In a few months, we can have another poll to record local history, rather than the impossible task of reporting the current situation.

Your response shows how rapidly we've gone from "I'm not too perturbed because I'm way up here in New Hampshire" to "COVID-19 has impacted me directly."

[ApS]

Note BosNYWash concentration.

Guess what? Covid-19 originated in Canada, was stolen, and developed in Wuhan, China.

[Seaplane Pilot]

John’s Hopkins reports almost 200,000 people have recovered from Coronavirus worldwide. To use a favored term of the alarmists: It seems like the recovery rate is “EXPLODING”.

[ApS]

Originally Posted by Andromeda321

I think this poll is frankly not very useful when we all know that testing is in no way available for the number of people who want to be tested.

By mid-summer, that red bar will slow down.

Even at the newly-opened "drive-throughs", applicants will be screened to determine if the test is necessary. Symptoms would have to be apparent. A doctor's prescription would be best. As in Ebola determinations, it is at this early stage that errors can be introduced.

Like the CDC test for the Ebola disease, the CDC's Covid-19 tests are not 100% accurate. A faster, better, test was approved by the FDA only this week. A private firm, who pioneered in this form of testing, Roche can supply 400,000 tests, producing them within 24 hours.

As for "flattening the curve", isolation will extend the exposure period into September but reduce the fatal aspects of Covid-19 on those aged into their 70s. (Blue line >70s).

[TheProfessor]

Originally Posted by Andromeda321

I think this poll is frankly not very useful when we all know that testing is in no way available for the number of people who want to be tested.

They should test everyone.

On the tele - stay in car - drive up tests. 15 minute results.

Done.

[TheProfessor]

Here is link to State of New Hampshire map of cases.

My town has 1-4 cases.

LINK

[thinkxingu]

Originally Posted by TheProfessor

Here is link to State of New Hampshire map of cases.

My town has 1-4 cases.

LINK

*Confirmed cases.
I only point that out because the lack of testing is one of the points of contention regarding how we should be treating the situation and moving forward.

Sent from my SM-G950U using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app

[TheProfessor]

Originally Posted by TheProfessor

Here is link to State of New Hampshire map of cases.

My town has 1-4 cases.

LINK

Here is a different page of same website:

LINK

[ApS]

International graph, which has been down-corrected for nursing home deaths.

[ApS]

"THIS is PBS"