Severe today!

[CanisLupusArctos]

Thank you, Rose! Stuff I should've reviewed earlier this summer when I was going over the personal safety rules for them. Learned it too many years ago, and it doesn't get used much around here (until this summer.)

By that diagram, the scud ("funnel") we saw was at the gust front. So my initial assessment (no rotation = no funnel) was correct, and my after-the-fact thoughts based on things I've heard from others have been proven incorrect. This diagram also tells me that we may never see a tornado over Meredith neck from the northern side of the lake, because it will be hidden by the rain column.

The question remains for all who said they saw it rotating (and assuming they weren't smoking anything): Is it possible to have any sort of spin in a forward flank downdraft, in such a way that it could mimic a funnel cloud?

Originally Posted by Rose

Not every tornado develops from a supercell, and not all supercells develop tornadoes, but the majority of information is about supercells.

Some tornadoes can develop from Duracells, when teenage boys are involved.

[Rose]

Originally Posted by CanisLupusArctos

Learned it too many years ago, and it doesn't get used much around here (until this summer.)

Yeah, kinda depressing, ain't it? I like my severe weather to be warm...snowstorms really don't do it for me. But ya deal with what you're dealt.

By that diagram, the scud ("funnel") we saw was at the gust front. So my initial assessment (no rotation = no funnel) was correct, and my after-the-fact thoughts based on things I've heard from others have been proven incorrect. This diagram also tells me that we may never see a tornado over Meredith neck from the northern side of the lake, because it will be hidden by the rain column.

The question remains for all who said they saw it rotating (and assuming they weren't smoking anything): Is it possible to have any sort of spin in a forward flank downdraft, in such a way that it could mimic a funnel cloud?

Well if it really was rotating, it could have been a gustnado. But those are more typical of storms on the plains and usually go in the other direction, i.e., they're connected to the surface and not the base of the storm. But this isn't a typical season, is it?

Some tornadoes can develop from Duracells, when teenage boys are involved.

Do you think the little bunny gets transported to Oz, beating his drum all the way?

[CanisLupusArctos]

Excellent! Thank you Rose!

Need to switch this thread back to a "current" theme - severe is possible today although southern parts of the state have the best chance while a flood watch has been issued for northern NH (incl. Carroll Co.) Severe thunderstorm watch issued for NYC-Mid Atl. area where the best chance in the northeast is centered today. Decreasing chances as you go northeast from there.

[CanisLupusArctos]

We have one more chance for severe weather this afternoon and evening before the rain-free stretch begins. This activity will be associated with a cold front that will be passing tonight.

Once it passes early tomorrow morning, skies should remain sunny for several days. High pressure behind the front will give us its cold side (the eastern side) which may spell some nights in the mid-50s on the water and mid-40s away from the water until midweek when the high moves offshore. We will then get is warm side (the western side) which will give us summertime weather from late Wednesday through Sunday.

In the meantime keep your eyes to the sky and NOAA Weather Alert radios on standby for this afternoon.