Calling it a "big daddy" next week???

[Resident 2B]

Originally Posted by SAMIAM

Even though the prediction for a major warm front for late September did not come true......I think you're right about a chance of rain,or at least some very wet ,heavy snow on mon. or tues. which means we might want to think about snow load on our roofs.Up until now,the snow has been light and fluffy.

You are sooo right about roof loads if it rains!!

At this time it is looking like some kind of snow, but the models are really not hooked up on this one, so I still think anything can happen, maybe even nothing around here.

I am still looking for my January thaw, the one that I later thought would come in early February. Without the thaw, that snow is just waiting to suck up rainwater, and it will rain sooner or later. The last thing we need is another February like last February.

R2B

[Resident 2B]

Looks like the is going to be a non-event for us at the lake. It certainly will not be an inside runner as I thought it would be a few days ago! It may all go out to sea with little or no snow for us and some snow for Boston. Rose, you may have nailed this last night!

Big plus is the lake ice surface will not be turned into mush and the roofs will last another week or two.

It still could be a minor to moderate snow storm. We need to keep our attention on that possibility.

I think the weather will relax some for the next two weeks or so. It then could get very stormy for two or three weeks, from Feb 16th or so onward. Time will tell on that.

Tough winter overall!

R2B

[Rose]

Originally Posted by Resident 2B

Rose, you may have nailed this last night!

The only thing I'm going to nail is my hand if these darn models don't start agreeing on a solution!!! But I think I've found a site that has maps from the ECMWF in the short-range.

Glad to see the professionals are feeling the same way...NWS Taunton refused to go into the details of the models except to say that the US models gave us a snowstorm and the Canadian/European models gave either a glancing blow or a terrible tease.

If the current forecasts (06Z) from the US models were to verify, the NAM would bury most of us in about 16" of snow starting Tuesday morning and slowly tapering off into Wednesday morning, while the GFS would hit us with a double-barreled system giving central NH a foot and parts of southern New England a foot and a half, with most of it falling on Wednesday.

The Canadian model brings a light/moderate storm for parts of the coast on Tuesday, and the ECMWF and UKMET say "here, fishy, fishy, fishy."

Stay tuned...I'm sure one of the next model runs will say we'll be getting the first tropical system of the year.

[trfour]

Good news-Bad news; http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/28974906/

[Pine Island Guy]

i've gotten all kinds of conflicting reports for southern nh and mass, what's happening up north tomorrow? snow snow all snow?

thanks -PIG

[Resident 2B]

Originally Posted by Pine Island Guy

i've gotten all kinds of conflicting reports for southern nh and mass, what's happening up north tomorrow? snow snow all snow?

thanks -PIG

All snow at the lake, but very little. 2" at best, maybe just a dusting.

R2B

[Resident 2B]

Originally Posted by Rose

I think I've found a site that has maps from the ECMWF in the short-range.

Great Find!

Thanks!

R2B

[eyenotall777]

I thought I would let you all know that it has been snowing in the Boston area since 9am this morning. The snowflakes at this time...10am are big and chunky...lol. Hopefully they make there way to the lake

[SIKSUKR]

Not a flake here in Manch at 10:30 am.

[sa meredith]

Starting now (10:58) in the Merrimack Valley area.

[Pineedles]

Aunty Em, Aunty Em, its a twister!

We're all doomed! started an hour ago in Middleton, Connecticut.

[upthesaukee]

Alton Bay, 1/2 mile off the lake around the Lakewood Ave area, no snow now.

It's about 12:52 PM