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Old 01-09-2011, 11:32 AM   #1
Blue Thunder
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Default Possible Storm Jan 12th

Since the thread involving the Jan 7-9 storm has been driven into a ditch I thought I would start this one involving the possibility of a storm in the Tuesday (late night) through Wednesday timeframe.

Below is a snippit of text from today's Boston NWS discussion page:

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...SEVERAL OF THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS
CONTINUE TO SIGNAL THE DEVELOPING LOW WORKING UP THE COAST WILL
DEEPEN AS IT PASSES CLOSE TO OR JUST INSIDE THE 40/70 BENCHMARK.
THERE IS STILL SOME TRACK SPREAD AMONGST THE 00Z OP RUNS AS
WELL AS SOME ENSEMBLES...NAMELY THE GGEM WHICH CONTINUES TO TRACK
THE LOW WELL SE OF THE BENCHMARK. HOWEVER...WITH MORE CONSENSUS ON
THE STORM/S TRACK...HAVE MORE CONFIDENCE THAT THE LOW WILL BECOME A
GALE CENTER /AT LEAST/ AS IT PASSES SE OF NANTUCKET LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

EXPECT PRECIP TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT. HAVE INCLUDED
LIKELY POPS FOR THE ENTIRE REGION...WITH CATEGORICAL POPS INTO THE
CAPE AND ISLANDS...THOUGH SUSPECT THIS WILL SHIFT FURTHER INLAND
LATER TODAY.

STILL EXPECTING MAINLY SNOW FOR MOST AREAS ESPECIALLY AWAY FROM THE
EAST COAST. HOWEVER...DEPENDING UPON THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF
THE ONSHORE WINDS...WILL LIKELY SEE SOME MIX OR A PERIOD OF
CHANGEOVER TO RAIN ACROSS THE CAPE AND ISLANDS...AND POSSIBLY A BIT
FURTHER UP THE COAST. AS WE SEE IT THIS MORNING...THIS LOOKS TO BE A
MAJOR SNOW EVENT FOR MOST OF THE REGION...ESPECIALLY NEAR AND SOUTH
OF THE MASS PIKE. THE POTENTIAL CONTINUES FOR AT LEAST SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW FROM THIS STORM. THE MODELS HAVE NOT SERVED US WELL
LATELY...SO HAVE SOME SKEPTICISM THAT SOMETHING DIFFERENT MAY
HAPPEN. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION VERY CLOSELY.

So at this point, it doesn't look like anything big for the Lakes Region but we are still 3 days away.....stay tuned.

BT
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