Official 2015 Ice-Out Thread

GodSmile · 03-31-2015, 05:45 PM

Despite the dire comments still hoping for an April ice out. A little global warming wouldn't hurt

PaugusBayFireFighter · 03-31-2015, 05:52 PM

All it takes is a few mild days and some rain and wind. Last year proved that.

2DAMTS · 03-31-2015, 05:55 PM

Wow looking at the lake today, looks still solid as a rock. I have a feeling the Mount will have to cancel or postpone its Mothers Day cruise this year.This is outside my house on Paugus Bay at 4:30 today.

Sheesh! Still waiting for my pool to have ice out! Still one solid block of ice!

Merrymeeting · 03-31-2015, 06:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GodSmile

Despite the dire comments still hoping for an April ice out. A little global warming wouldn't hurt

Like this? Warmer than New Durham today!

http://www.examiner.com/article/anta...place-on-earth

Happy Gourmand · 04-01-2015, 07:13 AM

Ice out was declared this morning at 8:13 AM. Let summer begin!!

Island Girl · 04-01-2015, 07:32 AM

The last time the lake temp was this low on April 1 was in 2001 (4-2-01 34 degrees)

Ice-Out that year was May 2.

We could use some incredibly warm days. The 10-day forecast is not promising for 03810.

JakeLake · 04-01-2015, 07:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Island Girl

The last time the lake temp was this low on April 1 was in 2001 (4-2-01 34 degrees)

Ice-Out that year was May 2.

We could use some incredibly warm days. The 10-day forecast is not promising for 03810.

Friday Into Saturday holds some promise.. sustained winds around 20MPH for a couple hours in Laconia on Saturday following a warm Friday.. Still a long way to go. (May 5th-10th

)

Steveo · 04-01-2015, 04:20 PM

I wish this was an April's Fools joke but it is not...

Pictures taken from scenic view on Rt 11 in Alton and my home in the middle of Alton Bay. This stuff will never melt, at least a month to go:

Chaos · 04-02-2015, 03:48 PM

Just checked the BlackCat cam and the water temp is trending nicely upward. I realize the sun has a big effect, but at these temps, the ice has to be melting from below, please someone agree

Island Girl · 04-02-2015, 03:53 PM

Chaos, I agree that the ice will melt from the bottom as well as the top. The rising temps indicate we are on the way... a slow start for sure. The reading from the Winnipesaukee Data Phone is 34 degrees. That is up a degree from earlier in the week.

PaugusBayFireFighter · 04-03-2015, 05:41 AM

Mild and raining last night after a sunny day. Today we come close to 70 with sun and more rain to follow tonight. Lots of wind tomorrow afternoon, 30mph+ and some sun. Temps for next week are in the 40's with the pattern turning milder towards weeks end.
Patriot's Day is looking better and better for ice out.
Lake temp up a couple degrees since last week. Lake level rising too.

Blue Thunder · 04-03-2015, 02:14 PM

Great write up by Barry at Silver Sands.
http://nhboat.com/Nhboat/Features/ice/ice-out2015.htm
BT

Paugus bay girl · 04-03-2015, 04:44 PM

Was out by Paugus today you could see the heat waves rising off the ice! Sign of serious melting, then rain and wind tonight and early morning tomorrow!

Steveo · 04-04-2015, 04:15 PM

I look forward to Silver Sands cam shots and Barry's forecast every year and can't wait to follow the evolving cam shots. I really appreciate that they show the previous years so you get excited that it might happen earlier than it is looking.

Thanks Barry and Silver Sands!!!

Blue Thunder · 04-05-2015, 04:21 PM

Today's MODIS view shows just a hint of darkening on the Big Lake. Sebago, however is looking way ahead at this point with a couple of areas of open water visible in the center of Big Bay.

meredith weekender · 04-05-2015, 05:55 PM

we seem to be making progress. the top pick is from today and the bottom pic from the beginning of the week.

Merrymeeting · 04-06-2015, 07:58 AM

While the daytime temps this week will continue to be below normal, the nights are going to stay above, or slightly below, freezing. The melting does accelerate when there is little to no refreezing during the nights. The water temps below also continue to rise (up a degree, to 35, yesterday).

Three weeks from today, April 27th, that's my plan! :-)

MAXUM · 04-06-2015, 08:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Merrymeeting

While the daytime temps this week will continue to be below normal, the nights are going to stay above, or slightly below, freezing. The melting does accelerate when there is little to no refreezing during the nights. The water temps below also continue to rise (up a degree, to 35, yesterday).

Three weeks from today, April 27th, that's my plan! :-)

That's my plan too ;-) It may actually be sooner.

PaugusBayFireFighter · 04-06-2015, 09:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Merrymeeting

While the daytime temps this week will continue to be below normal, the nights are going to stay above, or slightly below, freezing. The melting does accelerate when there is little to no refreezing during the nights. The water temps below also continue to rise (up a degree, to 35, yesterday).

Three weeks from today, April 27th, that's my plan! :-)

Some rain/wind in the forecast will also help. I noticed the overnight lows are favorable for melting. That's a big factor.
The forecast is much warmer and sunnier starting Saturday through next week.

The lake has risen a few inches over the past few days and Lakeport reports water temp at 36.

These floats were not visible a week ago. The snow atop Paugus is gone and the ice is being eaten both above and below. I still say April 20, Patriot's Day, will be the day.

Water Camper · 04-06-2015, 10:18 AM

Was up to the lake yesterday, no ice along shore line. Looking good, I may be too much of an optimist, but I'm sticking with April 15th.

Maybe wishful thinking,
Bill

03-31-2015, 05:45 PM	#1
GodSmile Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2014 Location: Alton Bay Posts: 190 Thanks: 91 Thanked 57 Times in 37 Posts	April Ice out Despite the dire comments still hoping for an April ice out. A little global warming wouldn't hurt

04-01-2015, 07:13 AM	#5
Happy Gourmand Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Ruskin FL Posts: 1,027 Thanks: 188 Thanked 322 Times in 179 Posts	Ice out declared !! Ice out was declared this morning at 8:13 AM. Let summer begin!!

04-01-2015, 07:32 AM	#6
Island Girl Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: Central MA Posts: 2,352 Thanks: 18 Thanked 535 Times in 179 Posts	Lake Temp only 33 The last time the lake temp was this low on April 1 was in 2001 (4-2-01 34 degrees) Ice-Out that year was May 2. We could use some incredibly warm days. The 10-day forecast is not promising for 03810. Attached Images __________________ Island Girl ....... Make Lemonade

04-01-2015, 04:20 PM	#8
Steveo Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 524 Thanks: 47 Thanked 123 Times in 63 Posts	April Fools Day I wish this was an April's Fools joke but it is not... Pictures taken from scenic view on Rt 11 in Alton and my home in the middle of Alton Bay. This stuff will never melt, at least a month to go: Attached Images

04-02-2015, 03:48 PM	#9
Chaos Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Danville, NH and West Alton Marina Posts: 134 Thanks: 111 Thanked 32 Times in 20 Posts	Water temp Just checked the BlackCat cam and the water temp is trending nicely upward. I realize the sun has a big effect, but at these temps, the ice has to be melting from below, please someone agree Attached Images

03-31-2015, 05:52 PM	#2
PaugusBayFireFighter Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2012 Posts: 837 Thanks: 361 Thanked 674 Times in 264 Posts	All it takes is a few mild days and some rain and wind. Last year proved that.

03-31-2015, 05:55 PM	#3
2DAMTS Member Join Date: Jan 2015 Location: Nashua/Laconia/Moultonborough Posts: 25 Thanks: 5 Thanked 10 Times in 6 Posts	Wow looking at the lake today, looks still solid as a rock. I have a feeling the Mount will have to cancel or postpone its Mothers Day cruise this year.This is outside my house on Paugus Bay at 4:30 today. Sheesh! Still waiting for my pool to have ice out! Still one solid block of ice!

The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Merrymeeting For This Useful Post:
bkelly13 (03-31-2015), JakeLake (04-01-2015)

The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Happy Gourmand For This Useful Post:
chipj29 (04-01-2015), Merrymeeting (04-01-2015)

The Following User Says Thank You to Steveo For This Useful Post:
meredith weekender (04-02-2015)

The Following User Says Thank You to Chaos For This Useful Post:
meredith weekender (04-02-2015)

04-02-2015, 03:53 PM	#10
Island Girl Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: Central MA Posts: 2,352 Thanks: 18 Thanked 535 Times in 179 Posts	Lake Temp up to 34 degrees Chaos, I agree that the ice will melt from the bottom as well as the top. The rising temps indicate we are on the way... a slow start for sure. The reading from the Winnipesaukee Data Phone is 34 degrees. That is up a degree from earlier in the week. __________________ Island Girl ....... Make Lemonade

The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Island Girl For This Useful Post:
Chaos (04-03-2015), meredith weekender (04-02-2015)

04-03-2015, 05:41 AM	#11
PaugusBayFireFighter Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2012 Posts: 837 Thanks: 361 Thanked 674 Times in 264 Posts	Mild and raining last night after a sunny day. Today we come close to 70 with sun and more rain to follow tonight. Lots of wind tomorrow afternoon, 30mph+ and some sun. Temps for next week are in the 40's with the pattern turning milder towards weeks end. Patriot's Day is looking better and better for ice out. Lake temp up a couple degrees since last week. Lake level rising too.

The Following User Says Thank You to PaugusBayFireFighter For This Useful Post:
Chaos (04-03-2015)

04-03-2015, 02:14 PM	#12
Blue Thunder Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Eastern MA & Frye Island/Sebago Lake, Maine Posts: 951 Thanks: 252 Thanked 351 Times in 158 Posts	Silver Sands page is up... Great write up by Barry at Silver Sands. http://nhboat.com/Nhboat/Features/ice/ice-out2015.htm BT __________________ " Live for today because yesterday is gone and tomorrow may never come"

The Following 3 Users Say Thank You to Blue Thunder For This Useful Post:
GodSmile (04-03-2015), Lakegeezer (04-05-2015), smith point boater (04-04-2015)

04-03-2015, 04:44 PM	#13
Paugus bay girl Member Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 47 Thanks: 2 Thanked 7 Times in 7 Posts	Was out by Paugus today you could see the heat waves rising off the ice! Sign of serious melting, then rain and wind tonight and early morning tomorrow!

The Following User Says Thank You to Paugus bay girl For This Useful Post:
GodSmile (04-03-2015)

04-04-2015, 04:15 PM	#14
Steveo Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 524 Thanks: 47 Thanked 123 Times in 63 Posts	Thank you Silver Sands I look forward to Silver Sands cam shots and Barry's forecast every year and can't wait to follow the evolving cam shots. I really appreciate that they show the previous years so you get excited that it might happen earlier than it is looking. Thanks Barry and Silver Sands!!!

04-05-2015, 04:21 PM	#15
Blue Thunder Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Eastern MA & Frye Island/Sebago Lake, Maine Posts: 951 Thanks: 252 Thanked 351 Times in 158 Posts	Slow progression...if any Today's MODIS view shows just a hint of darkening on the Big Lake. Sebago, however is looking way ahead at this point with a couple of areas of open water visible in the center of Big Bay. Attached Images __________________ " Live for today because yesterday is gone and tomorrow may never come"

The Following User Says Thank You to Blue Thunder For This Useful Post:
pontoonbarge (04-05-2015)

04-05-2015, 05:55 PM	#16
meredith weekender Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: Meredith / Manchester Posts: 373 Thanks: 87 Thanked 84 Times in 57 Posts	we seem to be making progress. the top pick is from today and the bottom pic from the beginning of the week. Attached Images

The Following 4 Users Say Thank You to meredith weekender For This Useful Post:
Accipiter290 (04-06-2015), Dog's Ear (04-07-2015), Greene's Basin Girl (04-05-2015), pontoonbarge (04-05-2015)

04-06-2015, 07:58 AM	#17
Merrymeeting Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Merrymeeting Lake, New Durham Posts: 2,226 Thanks: 302 Thanked 800 Times in 368 Posts	While the daytime temps this week will continue to be below normal, the nights are going to stay above, or slightly below, freezing. The melting does accelerate when there is little to no refreezing during the nights. The water temps below also continue to rise (up a degree, to 35, yesterday). Three weeks from today, April 27th, that's my plan! :-)

04-06-2015, 10:18 AM	#20
Water Camper Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2004 Location: Pembroke, NH / Laconia, NH Posts: 450 Thanks: 10 Thanked 206 Times in 88 Posts	Was up to the lake yesterday, no ice along shore line. Looking good, I may be too much of an optimist, but I'm sticking with April 15th. Maybe wishful thinking, Bill