Official 2015 Ice-Out Thread

Merrymeeting · 04-06-2015, 07:58 AM

While the daytime temps this week will continue to be below normal, the nights are going to stay above, or slightly below, freezing. The melting does accelerate when there is little to no refreezing during the nights. The water temps below also continue to rise (up a degree, to 35, yesterday).

Three weeks from today, April 27th, that's my plan! :-)

MAXUM · 04-06-2015, 08:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Merrymeeting

While the daytime temps this week will continue to be below normal, the nights are going to stay above, or slightly below, freezing. The melting does accelerate when there is little to no refreezing during the nights. The water temps below also continue to rise (up a degree, to 35, yesterday).

Three weeks from today, April 27th, that's my plan! :-)

That's my plan too ;-) It may actually be sooner.

PaugusBayFireFighter · 04-06-2015, 09:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Merrymeeting

While the daytime temps this week will continue to be below normal, the nights are going to stay above, or slightly below, freezing. The melting does accelerate when there is little to no refreezing during the nights. The water temps below also continue to rise (up a degree, to 35, yesterday).

Three weeks from today, April 27th, that's my plan! :-)

Some rain/wind in the forecast will also help. I noticed the overnight lows are favorable for melting. That's a big factor.
The forecast is much warmer and sunnier starting Saturday through next week.

The lake has risen a few inches over the past few days and Lakeport reports water temp at 36.

These floats were not visible a week ago. The snow atop Paugus is gone and the ice is being eaten both above and below. I still say April 20, Patriot's Day, will be the day.

Water Camper · 04-06-2015, 10:18 AM

Was up to the lake yesterday, no ice along shore line. Looking good, I may be too much of an optimist, but I'm sticking with April 15th.

Maybe wishful thinking,
Bill

MDoug · 04-06-2015, 11:12 AM

Got our reservation to fly up May 2 on Jet Blue!

Misha888 · 04-07-2015, 12:04 AM

snowmobiling in and out of Smith Cove, as of yesterday. Brave souls.

Paugus bay girl · 04-07-2015, 02:20 PM

The Weather Cam shows 39 degrees at 10 ft! Ice out happens not long after we reach that point.

Merrymeeting · 04-07-2015, 05:12 PM

I was on my waterfront for a short time this afternoon. While on the surface, the ice looks solid, and there is little to no indication of melting along the shoreline, the ice was making noises like I haven't heard since it first formed. Lots of gurgling and expansion noises. Something is changing...

CoastalWx · 04-07-2015, 06:34 PM

No way by April 15th. Enjoy the snow tomorrow night too. My guess is close to last year.

Mink Islander · 04-08-2015, 07:54 AM

My ip camera caught this group of geniuses passing in front of my place on Mink Island this morning. Yeah yeah, plenty of ice... Well not so much over by Mark Island in the channel they're heading towards. And Cattle Landing is quite sketchy at this point too. And no snow to lube the track or cool the engine. What could possibly go wrong?

Nice view of Mount Washington this morning, however....

Pine Island Guy · 04-08-2015, 08:59 AM

Doesn't look like we can get out to the island this weekend... but with predicted temps over 60 degrees and sunny all next week... maybe next weekend!

today's shot looking down the Pine/Bear channel -PIG

Mr Cooke's Crew · 04-09-2015, 06:09 AM

My guess is April 29.

Winnisquamguy · 04-10-2015, 11:21 AM

Ice out May 1 @ 10:40 am

Merrymeeting · 04-10-2015, 03:09 PM

In the FWIW dept. If anyone is interested in following ice-out on a lake other than Winni, you can follow the Merrymeeting one here, www.mmlake.org

At the very bottom of the page are links to two prior years for comparison.

AmericanBoatClub · 04-10-2015, 04:29 PM

Rain and warm temps coming are going to do some real damage as you all know. Mix in a little wind.

It is sorta creepy and beautiful out this afternoon

Paugus bay girl · 04-11-2015, 01:10 AM

I highly doubt it will happen in May, this week is going to be almost in the 60's, with a couple days close to 70. A lot can happen with just a week of warm temps. Also, the long range looks like the warm temps will stay.Lets hope!

GodSmile · 04-11-2015, 03:53 AM

My original guess, and I think with the forecast that's still a good one. Lake seems to be rising nicely as well over the last week or so
.

Merrymeeting · 04-11-2015, 11:14 AM

Took some pictures while walking the Cotton Valley Rail Trail from Wolfeboro this morning.

The 1st is Back Bay, along the trail toward the end. You can see open water at the top where the Smith River enters the Bay. The river is flowing strongly and the Bay is open on both ends.

The 2nd photo shows Crescent Lake, between Back Bay and Lake Wentworth, beginning to open up. The 3rd photo is also on Crescent, capturing four of everyone's favorite birds. I didn't take pictures, but when we drove by Wentworth, I didn't see any openings.

4th - Back Bay heading to bridge out to Wolfeboro Bay.
5th - other side of bridge
6th - More of the favorite birds off the Wolfeboro docks.
7th - looking down the bay toward Goodhue Hawkins Marina

04-06-2015, 11:12 AM	#5
MDoug Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 342 Thanks: 116 Thanked 42 Times in 39 Posts	Hurry Up Got our reservation to fly up May 2 on Jet Blue!

04-07-2015, 12:04 AM	#6
Misha888 Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Gilford, NH Posts: 340 Thanks: 280 Thanked 90 Times in 62 Posts	They're still . . . snowmobiling in and out of Smith Cove, as of yesterday. Brave souls. __________________ ☮ _/♥\_ & (✿ˆ◡ˆ✿)

04-07-2015, 02:20 PM	#7
Paugus bay girl Member Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 47 Thanks: 2 Thanked 7 Times in 7 Posts	The Weather Cam shows 39 degrees at 10 ft! Ice out happens not long after we reach that point. Attached Images

04-08-2015, 07:54 AM	#10
Mink Islander Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 753 Thanks: 59 Thanked 271 Times in 129 Posts	This is nuts My ip camera caught this group of geniuses passing in front of my place on Mink Island this morning. Yeah yeah, plenty of ice... Well not so much over by Mark Island in the channel they're heading towards. And Cattle Landing is quite sketchy at this point too. And no snow to lube the track or cool the engine. What could possibly go wrong? Nice view of Mount Washington this morning, however.... Attached Images

04-08-2015, 08:59 AM	#11
Pine Island Guy Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: pine island of course! Posts: 406 Thanks: 244 Thanked 246 Times in 112 Posts	melt melt melt... Doesn't look like we can get out to the island this weekend... but with predicted temps over 60 degrees and sunny all next week... maybe next weekend! today's shot looking down the Pine/Bear channel -PIG Attached Images

04-06-2015, 07:58 AM	#1
Merrymeeting Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Merrymeeting Lake, New Durham Posts: 2,226 Thanks: 302 Thanked 800 Times in 368 Posts	While the daytime temps this week will continue to be below normal, the nights are going to stay above, or slightly below, freezing. The melting does accelerate when there is little to no refreezing during the nights. The water temps below also continue to rise (up a degree, to 35, yesterday). Three weeks from today, April 27th, that's my plan! :-)

04-06-2015, 10:18 AM	#4
Water Camper Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2004 Location: Pembroke, NH / Laconia, NH Posts: 451 Thanks: 10 Thanked 207 Times in 89 Posts	Was up to the lake yesterday, no ice along shore line. Looking good, I may be too much of an optimist, but I'm sticking with April 15th. Maybe wishful thinking, Bill

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04-07-2015, 05:12 PM	#8
Merrymeeting Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Merrymeeting Lake, New Durham Posts: 2,226 Thanks: 302 Thanked 800 Times in 368 Posts	I was on my waterfront for a short time this afternoon. While on the surface, the ice looks solid, and there is little to no indication of melting along the shoreline, the ice was making noises like I haven't heard since it first formed. Lots of gurgling and expansion noises. Something is changing...

04-07-2015, 06:34 PM	#9
CoastalWx Member Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 23 Thanks: 0 Thanked 3 Times in 2 Posts	No way by April 15th. Enjoy the snow tomorrow night too. My guess is close to last year.

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04-09-2015, 06:09 AM	#12
Mr Cooke's Crew Member Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 45 Thanks: 99 Thanked 21 Times in 16 Posts	Ice Out My guess is April 29.

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04-10-2015, 11:21 AM	#13
Winnisquamguy Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2010 Location: Winnisquam, NH Posts: 613 Thanks: 419 Thanked 163 Times in 115 Posts	Ice out May 1 @ 10:40 am __________________ "I'd rather be ridin than rolling"

04-10-2015, 03:09 PM	#14
Merrymeeting Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Merrymeeting Lake, New Durham Posts: 2,226 Thanks: 302 Thanked 800 Times in 368 Posts	In the FWIW dept. If anyone is interested in following ice-out on a lake other than Winni, you can follow the Merrymeeting one here, www.mmlake.org At the very bottom of the page are links to two prior years for comparison.

04-10-2015, 04:29 PM	#15
AmericanBoatClub Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2010 Location: Laconia Wiers Beach Posts: 76 Thanks: 21 Thanked 28 Times in 16 Posts	Rain Rain and warm temps coming are going to do some real damage as you all know. Mix in a little wind. It is sorta creepy and beautiful out this afternoon Attached Images __________________ https://www.akwamarina.com/american-boat-club

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04-11-2015, 01:10 AM	#16
Paugus bay girl Member Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 47 Thanks: 2 Thanked 7 Times in 7 Posts	I highly doubt it will happen in May, this week is going to be almost in the 60's, with a couple days close to 70. A lot can happen with just a week of warm temps. Also, the long range looks like the warm temps will stay.Lets hope!

04-11-2015, 03:53 AM	#17
GodSmile Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2014 Location: Alton Bay Posts: 190 Thanks: 91 Thanked 57 Times in 37 Posts	April 24 My original guess, and I think with the forecast that's still a good one. Lake seems to be rising nicely as well over the last week or so .

04-11-2015, 11:14 AM	#18
Merrymeeting Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Merrymeeting Lake, New Durham Posts: 2,226 Thanks: 302 Thanked 800 Times in 368 Posts	Took some pictures while walking the Cotton Valley Rail Trail from Wolfeboro this morning. The 1st is Back Bay, along the trail toward the end. You can see open water at the top where the Smith River enters the Bay. The river is flowing strongly and the Bay is open on both ends. The 2nd photo shows Crescent Lake, between Back Bay and Lake Wentworth, beginning to open up. The 3rd photo is also on Crescent, capturing four of everyone's favorite birds. I didn't take pictures, but when we drove by Wentworth, I didn't see any openings. 4th - Back Bay heading to bridge out to Wolfeboro Bay. 5th - other side of bridge 6th - More of the favorite birds off the Wolfeboro docks. 7th - looking down the bay toward Goodhue Hawkins Marina Attached Images

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