2018 Ice Out Progress

Paugus bay girl · 04-09-2018, 07:17 PM

Lily Pond is ICE FREE. 10 days. I'm thinking April 19th. Typical 3rd week of April Ice out.

MikeF-NH · 04-09-2018, 07:42 PM

Chaos, any updated pictures from Alton Bay? I'm hoping for ice to pull back to Sandy Point and I will be on the water Friday. I think it would take a small miracle. A nice start would be rain and no snow from tomorrows front. We get 50s and 60s the rest of the week around my neck of the woods but nighttime temps just aren't low enough to sustain rapid melting. Only hope is those warming waters coming into the Bay.

Chaos · 04-10-2018, 08:11 AM

Sorry, nothing new. I won't be up again until my boat is unwrapped and I start the multi-day polish and wax before launch. My guess, with the weather we've had, it's not much past the bandstand since I took that picture last week. Ugggh!

upthesaukee · 04-10-2018, 09:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeF-NH

Chaos, any updated pictures from Alton Bay? I'm hoping for ice to pull back to Sandy Point and I will be on the water Friday. I think it would take a small miracle. A nice start would be rain and no snow from tomorrows front. We get 50s and 60s the rest of the week around my neck of the woods but nighttime temps just aren't low enough to sustain rapid melting. Only hope is those warming waters coming into the Bay.

There are narrow openings along the shoreline, and from the bridge it is still open only just barely post the bandstand.

Dave

Taz · 04-10-2018, 02:23 PM

Lily Pond now 100% ice free. How long after Lily Pond is ice free does Winni usually declare ice out? Is it typically 2 weeks?

ishoot308 · 04-10-2018, 02:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Taz

Lily Pond now 100% ice free. How long after Lily Pond is ice free does Winni usually declare ice out? Is it typically 2 weeks?

Lily Pond was ice free a few days ago....usually one week later for Winni but doubt that will happen this year. It seems all usual indicators will be way off. Mother Nature proving she is still Queen!!

Paugus bay girl · 04-10-2018, 07:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ishoot308

Lily Pond was ice free a few days ago....usually one week later for Winni but doubt that will happen this year. It seems all usual indicators will be way off. Mother Nature proving she is still Queen!!

I wore my flip flops today, screw it. I don't care how cold it is, I refuse to wear anymore winter stuff till next winter. I put away all the boots, jackets, and shovels. It's flip flops, sneakers, and hoodies now.

ishoot308 · 04-10-2018, 09:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paugus bay girl

I wore my flip flops today, screw it. I don't care how cold it is, I refuse to wear anymore winter stuff till next winter. I put away all the boots, jackets, and shovels. It's flip flops, sneakers, and hoodies now.

That sounds like an awesome plan to me! Count me in! Maybe Mother Nature will get the hint!

Dan

8gv · 04-10-2018, 09:26 PM

As I was putting my snow shovels and snow pullers away this evening it started to snow.

Grrrrrrrrrrrrr!

Paugus bay girl · 04-10-2018, 10:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 8gv

As I was putting my snow shovels and snow pullers away this evening it started to snow.

Grrrrrrrrrrrrr!

I walked in the snow thru my front yard with flip flops on to my car,about an inch, didn't care.

jeffk · 04-11-2018, 07:44 AM

I only put ONE of my snow shovels away.

I live next to a pond in Center Harbor and usually it is thawed a little before Winnipesaukee has ice out. It is still solidly iced in.

The 10 day forecast is for cooler than normal temps and quite a bit of cloudiness. There is some heavy rain forecast for over the weekend but the temps won't be above mid 40's so I don't think it will help that much. The long range forecast predicts we won't break into a weeks of 50/60 degree highs until the week after next.

I think progress will be slow.

Merrymeeting · 04-11-2018, 08:04 AM

The good news is if you check the water temps, the ice must be eroding from below. Trexler site https://www.trexlers.com/lake-winnipesaukee-live-feed, shows temps approaching and sometimes exceeding 38, which typically is the magic tipping point for ice-out melting.

The water temps posted on this site seem to be high, but overall increasing.

MAXUM · 04-11-2018, 01:08 PM

Hey 50-60 degrees may not seem terribly warm, but it's still 18-28 degrees north of freezing and that's not nothing!

With all the ice pull back from around the shore line once this stuff starts to move around it will actually begin to destroy itself and anything in it's path if the wind is kicking at a good clip.

I think we're less than a week out.

JasJackson · 04-11-2018, 04:01 PM

If you check the camera and time lapse for Flightcraft, you can see how much the ice melted away from the shore just today...

https://flightcraft.lakehost.net/index.php/webcam/

dt5150 · 04-11-2018, 04:57 PM

glendale today. it's gettin there...

MikeF-NH · 04-12-2018, 06:45 AM

anyone with eyes on Alton Bay....any chance ice is out to Sandy point by tomorrow morning???

upthesaukee · 04-12-2018, 08:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeF-NH

anyone with eyes on Alton Bay....any chance ice is out to Sandy point by tomorrow morning???

Yesterday, the ice was maybe 20 yards beyond the bandstand. Ice along the shoreline is redeeming but not fast. I think it is unlikely, but you never know...

Better idea tonight, maybe.

Dave

rsmlp · 04-12-2018, 09:12 AM

So based on latest info/data, what's best guess for ice out now?

04-09-2018, 07:17 PM	#1
Paugus bay girl Member Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 47 Thanks: 2 Thanked 7 Times in 7 Posts	Lily Pond Lily Pond is ICE FREE. 10 days. I'm thinking April 19th. Typical 3rd week of April Ice out.

04-10-2018, 08:11 AM	#3
Chaos Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Danville, NH and West Alton Marina Posts: 134 Thanks: 111 Thanked 32 Times in 20 Posts	MikeF-NH Sorry, nothing new. I won't be up again until my boat is unwrapped and I start the multi-day polish and wax before launch. My guess, with the weather we've had, it's not much past the bandstand since I took that picture last week. Ugggh!

04-10-2018, 02:23 PM	#5
Taz Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 347 Thanks: 3 Thanked 70 Times in 47 Posts	Ice out Lily Pond now 100% ice free. How long after Lily Pond is ice free does Winni usually declare ice out? Is it typically 2 weeks?

04-11-2018, 04:57 PM	#15
dt5150 Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 401 Thanks: 4 Thanked 107 Times in 72 Posts	glendale today. it's gettin there... Attached Images

04-12-2018, 09:12 AM	#18
rsmlp Senior Member Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 481 Thanks: 5 Thanked 167 Times in 86 Posts	ice out So based on latest info/data, what's best guess for ice out now?

04-09-2018, 07:42 PM	#2
MikeF-NH Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 318 Thanks: 2 Thanked 120 Times in 80 Posts	Chaos, any updated pictures from Alton Bay? I'm hoping for ice to pull back to Sandy Point and I will be on the water Friday. I think it would take a small miracle. A nice start would be rain and no snow from tomorrows front. We get 50s and 60s the rest of the week around my neck of the woods but nighttime temps just aren't low enough to sustain rapid melting. Only hope is those warming waters coming into the Bay.

04-10-2018, 09:26 PM	#9
8gv Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 2,114 Thanks: 64 Thanked 749 Times in 483 Posts	As I was putting my snow shovels and snow pullers away this evening it started to snow. Grrrrrrrrrrrrr!

04-11-2018, 07:44 AM	#11
jeffk Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2004 Location: Center Harbor Posts: 1,173 Thanks: 206 Thanked 437 Times in 253 Posts	I only put ONE of my snow shovels away. I live next to a pond in Center Harbor and usually it is thawed a little before Winnipesaukee has ice out. It is still solidly iced in. The 10 day forecast is for cooler than normal temps and quite a bit of cloudiness. There is some heavy rain forecast for over the weekend but the temps won't be above mid 40's so I don't think it will help that much. The long range forecast predicts we won't break into a weeks of 50/60 degree highs until the week after next. I think progress will be slow.

04-11-2018, 08:04 AM	#12
Merrymeeting Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Merrymeeting Lake, New Durham Posts: 2,226 Thanks: 302 Thanked 800 Times in 368 Posts	The good news is if you check the water temps, the ice must be eroding from below. Trexler site https://www.trexlers.com/lake-winnipesaukee-live-feed, shows temps approaching and sometimes exceeding 38, which typically is the magic tipping point for ice-out melting. The water temps posted on this site seem to be high, but overall increasing.

04-11-2018, 01:08 PM	#13
MAXUM Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Kuna ID Posts: 2,755 Thanks: 246 Thanked 1,942 Times in 802 Posts	Hey 50-60 degrees may not seem terribly warm, but it's still 18-28 degrees north of freezing and that's not nothing! With all the ice pull back from around the shore line once this stuff starts to move around it will actually begin to destroy itself and anything in it's path if the wind is kicking at a good clip. I think we're less than a week out.

04-11-2018, 04:01 PM	#14
JasJackson Junior Member Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 4 Thanks: 0 Thanked 3 Times in 2 Posts	If you check the camera and time lapse for Flightcraft, you can see how much the ice melted away from the shore just today... https://flightcraft.lakehost.net/index.php/webcam/

04-12-2018, 06:45 AM	#16
MikeF-NH Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 318 Thanks: 2 Thanked 120 Times in 80 Posts	anyone with eyes on Alton Bay....any chance ice is out to Sandy point by tomorrow morning???

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