2018 Ice Out Progress

Taz · 04-10-2018, 02:23 PM

Lily Pond now 100% ice free. How long after Lily Pond is ice free does Winni usually declare ice out? Is it typically 2 weeks?

ishoot308 · 04-10-2018, 02:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Taz

Lily Pond now 100% ice free. How long after Lily Pond is ice free does Winni usually declare ice out? Is it typically 2 weeks?

Lily Pond was ice free a few days ago....usually one week later for Winni but doubt that will happen this year. It seems all usual indicators will be way off. Mother Nature proving she is still Queen!!

Paugus bay girl · 04-10-2018, 07:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ishoot308

Lily Pond was ice free a few days ago....usually one week later for Winni but doubt that will happen this year. It seems all usual indicators will be way off. Mother Nature proving she is still Queen!!

I wore my flip flops today, screw it. I don't care how cold it is, I refuse to wear anymore winter stuff till next winter. I put away all the boots, jackets, and shovels. It's flip flops, sneakers, and hoodies now.

ishoot308 · 04-10-2018, 09:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paugus bay girl

I wore my flip flops today, screw it. I don't care how cold it is, I refuse to wear anymore winter stuff till next winter. I put away all the boots, jackets, and shovels. It's flip flops, sneakers, and hoodies now.

That sounds like an awesome plan to me! Count me in! Maybe Mother Nature will get the hint!

Dan

8gv · 04-10-2018, 09:26 PM

As I was putting my snow shovels and snow pullers away this evening it started to snow.

Grrrrrrrrrrrrr!

Paugus bay girl · 04-10-2018, 10:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 8gv

As I was putting my snow shovels and snow pullers away this evening it started to snow.

Grrrrrrrrrrrrr!

I walked in the snow thru my front yard with flip flops on to my car,about an inch, didn't care.

jeffk · 04-11-2018, 07:44 AM

I only put ONE of my snow shovels away.

I live next to a pond in Center Harbor and usually it is thawed a little before Winnipesaukee has ice out. It is still solidly iced in.

The 10 day forecast is for cooler than normal temps and quite a bit of cloudiness. There is some heavy rain forecast for over the weekend but the temps won't be above mid 40's so I don't think it will help that much. The long range forecast predicts we won't break into a weeks of 50/60 degree highs until the week after next.

I think progress will be slow.

Merrymeeting · 04-11-2018, 08:04 AM

The good news is if you check the water temps, the ice must be eroding from below. Trexler site https://www.trexlers.com/lake-winnipesaukee-live-feed, shows temps approaching and sometimes exceeding 38, which typically is the magic tipping point for ice-out melting.

The water temps posted on this site seem to be high, but overall increasing.

MAXUM · 04-11-2018, 01:08 PM

Hey 50-60 degrees may not seem terribly warm, but it's still 18-28 degrees north of freezing and that's not nothing!

With all the ice pull back from around the shore line once this stuff starts to move around it will actually begin to destroy itself and anything in it's path if the wind is kicking at a good clip.

I think we're less than a week out.

JasJackson · 04-11-2018, 04:01 PM

If you check the camera and time lapse for Flightcraft, you can see how much the ice melted away from the shore just today...

https://flightcraft.lakehost.net/index.php/webcam/

dt5150 · 04-11-2018, 04:57 PM

glendale today. it's gettin there...

MikeF-NH · 04-12-2018, 06:45 AM

anyone with eyes on Alton Bay....any chance ice is out to Sandy point by tomorrow morning???

upthesaukee · 04-12-2018, 08:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeF-NH

anyone with eyes on Alton Bay....any chance ice is out to Sandy point by tomorrow morning???

Yesterday, the ice was maybe 20 yards beyond the bandstand. Ice along the shoreline is redeeming but not fast. I think it is unlikely, but you never know...

Better idea tonight, maybe.

Dave

rsmlp · 04-12-2018, 09:12 AM

So based on latest info/data, what's best guess for ice out now?

Igione · 04-12-2018, 09:35 AM

I live on Rust Pond and this morning there was still a good 3 inches of ice about 2 feet from the shore. The top is getting mushy which is a good sign. But other than that, the rest of the lake is solid.
Since Rust Pond is just a few 'blocks' from South Wolfeboro Bay, it's not looking great for ice out before the 23rd at best for us.

steve-on-mark · 04-12-2018, 09:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rsmlp

So based on latest info/data, what's best guess for ice out now?

April 22nd @ 1:15 p.m.!

Grady223 · 04-12-2018, 10:14 AM

Water temp was 42 degrees Monday. Won’t be long.

AC2717 · 04-12-2018, 10:41 AM

April 23rd 10:22am is the best looking time as of now

04-10-2018, 02:23 PM	#1
Taz Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 347 Thanks: 3 Thanked 70 Times in 47 Posts	Ice out Lily Pond now 100% ice free. How long after Lily Pond is ice free does Winni usually declare ice out? Is it typically 2 weeks?

04-11-2018, 04:57 PM	#11
dt5150 Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 401 Thanks: 4 Thanked 107 Times in 72 Posts	glendale today. it's gettin there... Attached Images

04-12-2018, 09:12 AM	#14
rsmlp Senior Member Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 495 Thanks: 5 Thanked 169 Times in 87 Posts	ice out So based on latest info/data, what's best guess for ice out now?

04-12-2018, 09:35 AM	#15
Igione Junior Member Join Date: Sep 2017 Posts: 6 Thanks: 2 Thanked 1 Time in 1 Post	Ice out on Rust Pond I live on Rust Pond and this morning there was still a good 3 inches of ice about 2 feet from the shore. The top is getting mushy which is a good sign. But other than that, the rest of the lake is solid. Since Rust Pond is just a few 'blocks' from South Wolfeboro Bay, it's not looking great for ice out before the 23rd at best for us.

04-12-2018, 10:41 AM	#18
AC2717 Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Maynard, MA & Paugus Bay Posts: 2,585 Thanks: 756 Thanked 356 Times in 268 Posts	April 23rd 10:22am is the best looking time as of now __________________ Capt. of the "No Worries"

04-10-2018, 09:26 PM	#5
8gv Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 2,121 Thanks: 64 Thanked 751 Times in 485 Posts	As I was putting my snow shovels and snow pullers away this evening it started to snow. Grrrrrrrrrrrrr!

04-11-2018, 07:44 AM	#7
jeffk Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2004 Location: Center Harbor Posts: 1,185 Thanks: 210 Thanked 451 Times in 260 Posts	I only put ONE of my snow shovels away. I live next to a pond in Center Harbor and usually it is thawed a little before Winnipesaukee has ice out. It is still solidly iced in. The 10 day forecast is for cooler than normal temps and quite a bit of cloudiness. There is some heavy rain forecast for over the weekend but the temps won't be above mid 40's so I don't think it will help that much. The long range forecast predicts we won't break into a weeks of 50/60 degree highs until the week after next. I think progress will be slow.

04-11-2018, 08:04 AM	#8
Merrymeeting Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Merrymeeting Lake, New Durham Posts: 2,227 Thanks: 304 Thanked 800 Times in 368 Posts	The good news is if you check the water temps, the ice must be eroding from below. Trexler site https://www.trexlers.com/lake-winnipesaukee-live-feed, shows temps approaching and sometimes exceeding 38, which typically is the magic tipping point for ice-out melting. The water temps posted on this site seem to be high, but overall increasing.

04-11-2018, 01:08 PM	#9
MAXUM Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Kuna ID Posts: 2,755 Thanks: 246 Thanked 1,942 Times in 802 Posts	Hey 50-60 degrees may not seem terribly warm, but it's still 18-28 degrees north of freezing and that's not nothing! With all the ice pull back from around the shore line once this stuff starts to move around it will actually begin to destroy itself and anything in it's path if the wind is kicking at a good clip. I think we're less than a week out.

04-11-2018, 04:01 PM	#10
JasJackson Junior Member Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 4 Thanks: 0 Thanked 3 Times in 2 Posts	If you check the camera and time lapse for Flightcraft, you can see how much the ice melted away from the shore just today... https://flightcraft.lakehost.net/index.php/webcam/

04-12-2018, 06:45 AM	#12
MikeF-NH Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 318 Thanks: 2 Thanked 120 Times in 80 Posts	anyone with eyes on Alton Bay....any chance ice is out to Sandy point by tomorrow morning???

04-12-2018, 10:14 AM	#17
Grady223 Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: New Hope, PA & Barndoor Island Posts: 465 Thanks: 93 Thanked 24 Times in 18 Posts	Water temp was 42 degrees Monday. Won’t be long.